Conference League25°19 km/h

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    NordsjællandNordsjælland
    6–0
    The model's lean: 1 · Nordsjælland (45%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · GAIS @ 5.78 (+84 %)
    GAISGAIS

    Nordsjælland – GAIS · Conference League

    1 · Nordsjælland 45%X 23%32% GAIS · 2
    Final score
    6 – 0
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Nordsjælland 45% · Draw 23% · GAIS 32%

    Match prediction: Nordsjælland – GAIS

    Predicted score matrix

    GAIS →
    Nordsjælland →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.0%
    0–15.2%
    0–24.1%
    0–32.0%
    0–4+1.0%
    1
    1–06.4%
    1–110.2%
    1–27.4%
    1–33.6%
    1–4+1.9%
    2
    2–06.1%
    2–19.0%
    2–26.7%
    2–33.3%
    2–4+1.7%
    3
    3–03.7%
    3–15.5%
    3–24.1%
    3–32.0%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–02.5%
    4+–13.8%
    4+–22.8%
    4+–31.4%
    4+–4+0.7%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-27%
    4. 4.2-27%
    5. 5.1-06%
    Expected goals
    1,82–1,48
    Both teams to score
    65%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,3
    Under 2,536%
    @2.11
    Over 2,564%
    @1.72EV+10%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Nordsjælland or draw (1X)69%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    58%

    Fair odds

    1.71

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Nordsjælland or draw (1X)69%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.38

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score65%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    55%

    Fair odds

    1.82

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · GAIS32% probability@5.78PinnacleEV+84%
    • Over 2.564% probability@1.72PinnacleEV+10%
    Bookmaker1 · NordsjællandX2 · GAIS
    Pinnacle1.504.19
    EV+ 84%
    5.78

    Odds updated 30 Jul, 06:08

    Odds movement

    1+2 %
    64 %59 %

    1.47 → 1.50

    X+2 %
    25 %20 %

    4.12 → 4.19

    2+2 %
    19 %14 %

    5.64 → 5.78

    Over 2,5+1 %
    58 %53 %

    1.69 → 1.72

    Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Nordsjælland vs GAIS according to our model?

    The model gives Nordsjælland a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Nordsjælland 45%, draw 23%, GAIS 32%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 65% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.