UNA Strassen vs Partizan Belgrade: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 202624°1,2 mm35 km/h

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UNA Strassen

The model's lean: 2 · Partizan Belgrade (52%)

Best value by the model: 1 · UNA Strassen @ 5.23 (+15 %)

Partizan Belgrade

1 · UNA Strassen 22%X 26%52% Partizan Belgrade · 2

22%

26%

52%

Match prediction: UNA Strassen – Partizan Belgrade

Predicted score matrix

Partizan Belgrade →

UNA Strassen →

0–05.0%

0–18.1%

0–27.5%

0–34.5%

0–4+3.1%

1–05.6%

1–110.9%

1–29.6%

1–35.7%

1–4+3.9%

2–03.7%

2–16.7%

2–26.1%

2–33.6%

2–4+2.5%

3–01.6%

3–12.8%

3–22.6%

3–31.5%

3–4+1.0%

4+–00.7%

4+–11.2%

4+–21.1%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-18%
4.0-28%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,27–1,80

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

@2.15

Over 2,559%

@1.67

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Partizan Belgrade to win52%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Partizan Belgrade to win52%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · UNA Strassen22% probability@5.23PinnacleEV+15%
X · Draw26% probability@4.07PinnacleEV+5%

Bookmaker	1 · UNA Strassen	X	2 · Partizan Belgrade
Pinnacle	EV+ 15% 5.23	EV+ 5% 4.07	1.53

Odds updated 30 Jul, 04:08

Odds movement

1+2 %

20 %15 %

5.11 → 5.23

X+2 %

25 %20 %

3.99 → 4.07

2-1 %

62 %57 %

1.55 → 1.53

Over 2,5-1 %

59 %54 %

1.68 → 1.67

Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins UNA Strassen vs Partizan Belgrade according to our model?

The model gives Partizan Belgrade a 52% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: UNA Strassen 22%, draw 26%, Partizan Belgrade 52%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.