GKS Katowice vs Žilina: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 202628°14 km/h

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GKS Katowice

The model's lean: 1 · GKS Katowice (48%)

Best value by the model: 2 · Žilina @ 4.73 (+25 %)

Žilina

1 · GKS Katowice 48%X 25%26% Žilina · 2

48%

25%

26%

Match prediction: GKS Katowice – Žilina

Predicted score matrix

Žilina →

GKS Katowice →

0–05.7%

0–16.8%

0–24.7%

0–32.1%

0–4+0.9%

1–08.3%

1–111.7%

1–27.5%

1–33.3%

1–4+1.5%

2–06.9%

2–19.1%

2–26.0%

2–32.6%

2–4+1.2%

3–03.7%

3–14.9%

3–23.2%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.6%

4+–02.1%

4+–12.8%

4+–21.8%

4+–30.8%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.2-19%
3.1-08%
4.1-27%
5.2-07%

Expected goals

1,61–1,32

Both teams to score

59%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

115%

223%

322%

416%

5+17%

Under 2,544%

@2.14

Over 2,556%

@1.68

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

GKS Katowice to win48%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

GKS Katowice to win48%
Over 2.5 goals56%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score59%
Over 2.5 goals56%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Žilina26% probability@4.73PinnacleEV+25%
X · Draw25% probability@3.94PinnacleEV+0%

Bookmaker	1 · GKS Katowice	X	2 · Žilina
Pinnacle	1.61	EV+ 0% 3.94	EV+ 25% 4.73

Odds updated 30 Jul, 04:08

Odds movement

1-1 %

60 %55 %

1.63 → 1.61

X+2 %

26 %21 %

3.88 → 3.94

2+3 %

22 %17 %

4.58 → 4.73

Over 2,50 %

59 %54 %

1.68 → 1.68

Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins GKS Katowice vs Žilina according to our model?

The model gives GKS Katowice a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: GKS Katowice 48%, draw 25%, Žilina 26%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.