Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 202625°0,1 mm14 km/h

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Gent

The model's lean: 1 · Gent (55%)

Best value by the model: 2 · LNZ Cherkasy @ 6.43 (+42 %)

LNZ Cherkasy

1 · Gent 55%X 23%22% LNZ Cherkasy · 2

55%

23%

22%

Match prediction: Gent – LNZ Cherkasy

Predicted score matrix

LNZ Cherkasy →

Gent →

0–05.5%

0–15.9%

0–23.8%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.6%

1–08.8%

1–111.3%

1–26.6%

1–32.6%

1–4+1.0%

2–08.0%

2–19.6%

2–25.8%

2–32.3%

2–4+0.9%

3–04.7%

3–15.6%

3–23.4%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.5%

4+–03.1%

4+–13.7%

4+–22.2%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-09%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,76–1,20

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

115%

223%

322%

417%

5+18%

Under 2,543%

@1.88

Over 2,557%

@1.91EV+8%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Gent to win55%
Over 1.5 goals80%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Gent to win55%
Over 2.5 goals57%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals57%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · LNZ Cherkasy22% probability@6.43PinnacleEV+42%
Over 2.557% probability@1.91PinnacleEV+8%

Bookmaker	1 · Gent	X	2 · LNZ Cherkasy
Pinnacle	1.44	4.15	EV+ 42% 6.43

Odds updated 30 Jul, 06:08

Odds movement

1-2 %

68 %58 %

1.47 → 1.44

X+10 %

27 %17 %

3.79 → 4.15

2+12 %

20 %10 %

5.74 → 6.43

Over 2,5-4 %

56 %46 %

1.98 → 1.91

Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy according to our model?

The model gives Gent a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Gent 55%, draw 23%, LNZ Cherkasy 22%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.