Nomme Kalju U21 vs Shelbourne: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 2026

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Nomme Kalju U21

The model's lean: 1 · Nomme Kalju U21 (38%)

Shelbourne

1 · Nomme Kalju U21 38%X 25%37% Shelbourne · 2

38%

25%

37%

Match prediction: Nomme Kalju U21 – Shelbourne

Predicted score matrix

Shelbourne →

Nomme Kalju U21 →

0–06.1%

0–17.9%

0–25.9%

0–32.8%

0–4+1.4%

1–07.8%

1–112.1%

1–28.4%

1–34.0%

1–4+2.0%

2–05.8%

2–18.3%

2–26.0%

2–32.9%

2–4+1.4%

3–02.7%

3–13.9%

3–22.8%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.7%

4+–01.3%

4+–11.9%

4+–21.4%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-28%
3.2-18%
4.0-18%
5.1-08%

Expected goals

1,42–1,44

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,546%

@2.18

Over 2,554%

@1.65

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Nomme Kalju U21 or draw (1X)63%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Nomme Kalju U21 or draw (1X)63%
Over 2.5 goals54%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Nomme Kalju U2138% probability@3.16PinnacleEV+21%

Bookmaker	1 · Nomme Kalju U21	X	2 · Shelbourne
Pinnacle	EV+ 21% 3.16	3.49	2.05

Odds updated 30 Jul, 04:53

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards over 2.5 goals since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 1.76 to 1.65 (−6%).

1-1 %

31 %26 %

3.20 → 3.16

X+4 %

29 %24 %

3.37 → 3.49

2-1 %

47 %42 %

2.07 → 2.05

Over 2,5-6 %

58 %53 %

1.76 → 1.65

Pinnacle · 5 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Nomme Kalju U21 vs Shelbourne according to our model?

The model gives Nomme Kalju U21 a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Nomme Kalju U21 38%, draw 25%, Shelbourne 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.