Pyunik vs Debrecen: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 2026

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Pyunik

0–0

The model's lean: 2 · Debrecen (44%)

Debrecen

1 · Pyunik 28%X 28%44% Debrecen · 2

28%

44%

Final score

0 – 0

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Pyunik 28% · Draw 28% · Debrecen 44%

Match prediction: Pyunik – Debrecen

Predicted score matrix

Debrecen →

Pyunik →

0–06.4%

0–19.4%

0–27.7%

0–34.1%

0–4+2.3%

1–07.0%

1–112.0%

1–29.3%

1–34.9%

1–4+2.8%

2–04.4%

2–17.1%

2–25.6%

2–33.0%

2–4+1.7%

3–01.8%

3–12.8%

3–22.3%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.7%

4+–11.1%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.0-19%
3.1-29%
4.0-28%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,20–1,59

Both teams to score

56%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+15%

Under 2,547%

@1.70

Over 2,553%

@2.10EV+11%

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Debrecen or draw (X2)71%
Over 1.5 goals77%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Debrecen or draw (X2)71%
Over 2.5 goals53%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score56%
Over 2.5 goals53%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Debrecen44% probability@3.47PinnacleEV+52%
Over 2.553% probability@2.10PinnacleEV+11%

Bookmaker	1 · Pyunik	X	2 · Debrecen
Pinnacle	2.09	3.08	EV+ 52% 3.47

Odds updated 30 Jul, 00:08

Odds movement

1+3 %

46 %41 %

2.03 → 2.09

X-1 %

33 %28 %

3.10 → 3.08

2-4 %

29 %24 %

3.63 → 3.47

Over 2,5-2 %

47 %42 %

2.15 → 2.10

Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Pyunik vs Debrecen according to our model?

The model gives Debrecen a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Pyunik 28%, draw 28%, Debrecen 44%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.