Shkëndija vs Bravo: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 2026

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Shkëndija

The model's lean: 2 · Bravo (37%)

Bravo

1 · Shkëndija 33%X 30%37% Bravo · 2

33%

30%

37%

Match prediction: Shkëndija – Bravo

Predicted score matrix

Bravo →

Shkëndija →

0–010.6%

0–112.3%

0–27.8%

0–33.2%

0–4+1.3%

1–010.3%

1–113.6%

1–28.2%

1–33.4%

1–4+1.4%

2–05.6%

2–16.9%

2–24.3%

2–31.8%

2–4+0.7%

3–01.9%

3–12.4%

3–21.5%

3–30.6%

3–4+0.2%

4+–00.6%

4+–10.8%

4+–20.5%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-114%
2.0-112%
3.0-011%
4.1-010%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,04–1,24

Both teams to score

46%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,3

011%

123%

227%

320%

412%

5+8%

Under 2,560%

@2.04EV+23%

Over 2,540%

@1.74

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Bravo or draw (X2)69%
Under 3.5 goals80%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Bravo or draw (X2)69%
Under 2.5 goals60%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score46%
Over 2.5 goals40%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Bravo37% probability@4.98PinnacleEV+85%
Under 2.560% probability@2.04PinnacleEV+23%
X · Draw30% probability@3.94PinnacleEV+17%

Bookmaker	1 · Shkëndija	X	2 · Bravo
Pinnacle	1.57	EV+ 17% 3.94	EV+ 85% 4.98

Odds updated 30 Jul, 00:08

Odds movement

1+1 %

61 %56 %

1.55 → 1.57

X+2 %

26 %21 %

3.88 → 3.94

2-3 %

21 %16 %

5.11 → 4.98

Over 2,50 %

56 %51 %

1.74 → 1.74

Pinnacle · 5 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Shkëndija vs Bravo according to our model?

The model gives Bravo a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Shkëndija 33%, draw 30%, Bravo 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40% and under at 60%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.