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    SionSion
    4–0
    The model's lean: 1 · Sion (62%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · BATE @ 19.94 (+304 %)
    BATEBATE

    Sion – BATE · Conference League

    1 · Sion 62%X 17%20% BATE · 2
    Final score
    4 – 0
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Sion 62% · Draw 17% · BATE 20%

    Match prediction: Sion – BATE

    Predicted score matrix

    BATE →
    Sion →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.9%
    0–14.0%
    0–22.5%
    0–31.0%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–07.6%
    1–19.4%
    1–25.3%
    1–32.1%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–08.4%
    2–19.8%
    2–25.7%
    2–32.2%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–06.0%
    3–17.0%
    3–24.1%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–05.3%
    4+–16.2%
    4+–23.6%
    4+–31.4%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-19%
    3. 3.2-08%
    4. 4.1-08%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,14–1,16
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,3
    Under 2,536%
    –
    Over 2,564%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sion to win62%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.94

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Sion to win62%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    43%

    Fair odds

    2.31

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.94

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · BATE20% probability@19.94PinnacleEV+304%
    • X · Draw17% probability@10.04PinnacleEV+75%
    Bookmaker1 · SionX2 · BATE
    Pinnacle1.07
    EV+ 75%
    10.04
    EV+ 304%
    19.94

    Odds updated 30 Jul, 04:53

    Odds movement

    1-2 %
    91 %81 %

    1.09 → 1.07

    X+13 %
    15 %5 %

    8.91 → 10.04

    2+10 %
    10 %0 %

    18.20 → 19.94

    Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sion vs BATE according to our model?

    The model gives Sion a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sion 62%, draw 17%, BATE 20%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.