Vestri vs RFS: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 2026

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Vestri

The model's lean: 2 · RFS (83%)

RFS

1 · Vestri 6%X 10%83% RFS · 2

83%

Match prediction: Vestri – RFS

Predicted score matrix

RFS →

Vestri →

0–03.2%

0–18.2%

0–211.5%

0–310.6%

0–4+14.2%

1–02.1%

1–16.4%

1–28.5%

1–37.8%

1–4+10.5%

2–00.8%

2–12.3%

2–23.2%

2–32.9%

2–4+3.9%

3–00.2%

3–10.6%

3–20.8%

3–30.7%

3–4+1.0%

4+–00.0%

4+–10.1%

4+–20.2%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.0-212%
2.0-311%
3.1-29%
4.0-18%
5.1-38%

Expected goals

0,74–2,75

Both teams to score

49%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,5

110%

219%

322%

419%

5+27%

Under 2,532%

–

Over 2,568%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

RFS to win83%
Over 1.5 goals87%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

RFS to win83%
Over 2.5 goals68%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score49%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · RFS83% probability@1.23PinnacleEV+2%

Bookmaker	1 · Vestri	X	2 · RFS
Pinnacle	8.92	5.96	EV+ 2% 1.23

Odds updated 29 Jul, 22:08

Odds movement

1+2 %

13 %8 %

8.73 → 8.92

X+2 %

18 %13 %

5.83 → 5.96

2-1 %

77 %72 %

1.23 → 1.23

Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 29/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Vestri vs RFS according to our model?

The model gives RFS a 83% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vestri 6%, draw 10%, RFS 83%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and under at 32%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.