01 · 2 legs
Safe
- FC København to win58%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Danish SuperligaSydbank Park, Haderslev
Läs på svenska
SønderjyskELow block & directvs
FC KøbenhavnPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · FC København (58%)
SønderjyskE vs FC København · Danish Superliga
1 · SønderjyskE 18%X 24%58% FC København · 2
18%
24%
58%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for SønderjyskE vs FC København (Danish Superliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026): SønderjyskE win 18%, draw 24%, FC København win 58%. Expected goals (xG): SønderjyskE 1.14, FC København 1.92. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: SønderjyskE or draw 42%, FC København or draw 82%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: SønderjyskE – FC København
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
TEXT: Fifty-eight percent. That's the model's probability for FC Copenhagen to take all three points against Sønderjyske, and it's hard to argue against it. The visitors come in with a clear edge in points, expected goals, and a playing style that's likely to dominate possession. While the head-to-head record is small and less conclusive with only three matches, the current form and underlying numbers make Copenhagen the more compelling choice.
Sønderjyske leans on a low defense and direct play, but this approach has yielded just 8 points compared to Copenhagen's 25. Their expected goals reflect the same gap—1.14 for Sønderjyske to 1.92 for Copenhagen, underscoring the difference in attacking potential. Sønderjyske's defense could struggle under Copenhagen's high press, and their 1.7 xGA per match doesn't bode well against a team that averages 1.7 xG per match. The visitors should be able to break through, with the model favoring a 1-2 scoreline as the second most likely outcome.
The market leans towards over 2.5 goals, finding a 59% probability for a more open game. Given the styles and xG figures, the over seems a strong angle. FC Copenhagen to win at odds of 2.00 or better holds clear value, especially for those seeing their possession play outmatch Sønderjyske's direct approach.
SønderjyskEForm LDWLW
League ranking xG #11xGA #11xT #9xP/match #11Points #11
Key players
- Maxime SoulasCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.13
- Mohamed Cherif HaidaraCAMxG 0.28 · xT 0.00
- Ismaïl SeydiRWxG 0.13 · xT 0.14
FC KøbenhavnForm WWWLD
League ranking xG #3xGA #1xT #7xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- William ClemCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.05
- Gabriel PereiraCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
- Mohamed ElyounoussiFxG 0.43 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: SønderjyskE – FC København
Predicted score matrix
FC København →
SønderjyskE →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.0%
0–18.7%
0–28.6%
0–35.5%
0–4+4.1%
1
1–05.0%
1–110.6%
1–29.9%
1–36.3%
1–4+4.7%
2
2–03.0%
2–15.8%
2–25.6%
2–33.6%
2–4+2.7%
3
3–01.2%
3–12.2%
3–22.1%
3–31.4%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–00.4%
4+–10.8%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-29%
- 5.1-36%
Expected goals
1,14–1,92
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+20%
Under 2,541%
–
Over 2,559%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- FC København to win58%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Mohamed Amine Elyounoussi to score24%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Mohamed Amine Elyounoussi to score24%
- Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg to be booked24%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesSønderjyskE 1Draw 0FC København 2
Goals: 4–5 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
SønderjyskE
FC København
SønderjyskE (16–24)
FC København (25–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
SønderjyskE
FC København
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
SønderjyskE
FC København
The teams in numbers
| Performance | SønderjyskE | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 25 |
| xPoints | 13.1 | 18.5 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| Playing style | SønderjyskE | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.53 |
| xT per match | 0.86 | 1 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.88 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 302 | 412 |
| Passes against per match | 454 | 383 |
| Switches of play per match | 24.1 | 31.6 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 36 |
| Set pieces | SønderjyskE | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| Corners against per match | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| Other | SønderjyskE | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Nick Shinton (SønderjyskE) | Diant Ramaj (FC København) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 15 | 16 |
| Save % | 60% | 80% |
| xG prevented | 35% | 65% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins SønderjyskE vs FC København according to our model?
The model gives FC København a 58% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: SønderjyskE 18%, draw 24%, FC København 58%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in SønderjyskE vs FC København?
The model expects 1.14 goals (xG) for SønderjyskE and 1.92 for FC København, 3.06 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
SønderjyskE or draw (1X) 42%, FC København or draw (X2) 82% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.