01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Viborg to win60%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Danish SuperligaEnergi Viborg Arena, Viborg
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ViborgCounter-attacks & crossesvs
HorsensPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Viborg (60%)
Viborg vs Horsens · Danish Superliga
1 · Viborg 60%X 22%18% Horsens · 2
60%
22%
18%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Viborg vs Horsens (Danish Superliga, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Viborg win 60%, draw 22%, Horsens win 18%. Expected goals (xG): Viborg 2.06, Horsens 1.10. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: Viborg or draw 82%, Horsens or draw 40%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Viborg – Horsens
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
The hosts assumption and bookmaker odds claim are not supported by the given facts.
With Viborg holding a 60% chance to secure victory against Horsens, they are well-positioned to assert their dominance. Viborg's playing style, which emphasizes counter-attacks and crosses, contrasts sharply with Horsens' focus on possession control. This strategic difference is likely to shape the game's flow, with Viborg exploiting defensive gaps on the break while Horsens looks to dictate the tempo.
The numbers heavily favor Viborg. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 2.06 compared to Horsens' 1.10, indicating a clear offensive edge. Defensively, Viborg also has the upper hand, with an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.2 versus Horsens' more porous 1.9. In a small head-to-head sample, Viborg has already bested Horsens once, but this single encounter is less telling than their consistent performance metrics this season.
While the model suggests a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood of both teams finding the net, the most probable scorelines—1-1 and 2-1—hint at a competitive yet slightly restrained affair. Viborg's defensive discipline could see them keeping Horsens at bay, nudging the game toward a likely 2-1 or 2-0 outcome. Though the prospect of over 2.5 goals is tempting for bettors, the tactical setup might lead to a more conservative goal count.
Given the model's probabilities, there is decent value in backing Viborg to win. The underlying metrics reflect the disparity in quality and form, making a straightforward Viborg victory an attractive play for those prioritizing solid returns over speculative wagers.
ViborgForm LDWWL
League ranking xG #5xGA #2xT #4xP/match #2Points #3
Key players
- Oliver BundgaardLWBxG 0.13 · xT 0.15
- Lukas KirkegaardCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
- Charly NouckLWxG 0.30 · xT 0.25
HorsensForm WLDDD
League ranking xG #9xGA #12xT #11xP/match #12Points #6
Key players
- Ivan MilicevicLBxG 0.07 · xT 0.25
- Alagie SaineLBxG 0.17 · xT 0.11
- Yamirou OuorouRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.12
Match prediction: Viborg – Horsens
Predicted score matrix
Horsens →
Viborg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.5%
0–14.4%
0–22.6%
0–30.9%
0–4+0.3%
1
1–08.5%
1–19.9%
1–25.3%
1–31.9%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–09.0%
2–19.9%
2–25.5%
2–32.0%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–06.2%
3–16.8%
3–23.7%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–05.1%
4+–15.6%
4+–23.1%
4+–31.1%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.2-09%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.3-17%
Expected goals
2,06–1,10
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
–
Over 2,561%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Viborg to win60%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Dorian Junior Hanza Meha to score29%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Dorian Junior Hanza Meha to score29%
- Alagie Saine to be booked21%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesViborg 1Draw 0Horsens 0
Goals: 3–2 (⌀ 5)
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Viborg
Horsens
Viborg (18–10)
Horsens (18–19)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Viborg
Horsens
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Viborg
Horsens
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Viborg | Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 13 |
| xPoints | 18.5 | 12 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.3 | 0.27 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Playing style | Viborg | Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.46 | 0.4 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 0.76 |
| xTA per match | 0.93 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 384 | 369 |
| Passes against per match | 410 | 412 |
| Switches of play per match | 31.1 | 24.3 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Viborg | Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Corners per match | 5 | 3.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.6 | 6.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.3 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Other | Viborg | Horsens |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Kasper Kiilerich (Viborg) | Matej Delac (Horsens) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 34 | 35 |
| Save % | 77% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 55% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Viborg vs Horsens according to our model?
The model gives Viborg a 60% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Viborg 60%, draw 22%, Horsens 18%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Viborg vs Horsens?
The model expects 2.06 goals (xG) for Viborg and 1.10 for Horsens, 3.16 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Viborg or draw (1X) 82%, Horsens or draw (X2) 40% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.