01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Cambridge United to win49%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
EFL League OneAbbey Stadium, Cambridge12°1,0 mm23 km/h
Läs på svenska
Cambridge UnitedLow block & directvs
BlackpoolPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Cambridge United (49%)
Cambridge United vs Blackpool · EFL League One
1 · Cambridge United 49%X 27%25% Blackpool · 2
49%
27%
25%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Cambridge United – Blackpool
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Cambridge United's unbeaten run in their last five league matches contrasts sharply with Blackpool's struggle for form, reflected in their eight points compared to the hosts' thirteen. Despite Blackpool's possession-focused style, the model strongly favors the home side with a 49% chance of victory. Key metrics show Cambridge's ability to consistently find the net, scoring in 12 consecutive league outings, while the visitors have done so in 11.
Expected goals provide further insight, with Cambridge posting an xG of 1.73 against Blackpool's 1.12, suggesting the home side might edge the offensive battle. The odds of over 2.5 goals sit at 54%, hinting at a likely open game despite Cambridge's lower defensive profile. The most frequent predicted scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 12%, but a 1-0 or 2-1 win for Cambridge isn't far behind, both at 10%.
The model's lean towards Cambridge at 49% implies a reasonable favorite, though no specific bookmaker odds are available to assess value. Blackpool's head-to-head edge is too slim and recent to override current forms and expectations. Expect Cambridge to capitalize on their momentum and edge this contest, likely by a 2-1 margin.
Cambridge UnitedForm WDWDD
League ranking xG #16xGA #14xT #19xP/match #11Points #5
Key players
- Sulaiman Borbor KaikaiLWxG 0.13 · xT 0.16
- Benjamin Leo KnightRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.15
- Zak Dominic BradshawLWxG 0.14 · xT 0.18
BlackpoolForm WLLDL
League ranking xG #4xGA #23xT #17xP/match #12Points #15
Key players
- Cj HamiltonFxG 0.08 · xT 0.14
- Joshua Luke BowlerRWxG 0.31 · xT 0.20
- Thomas Joel BloxhamFxG 0.40 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Cambridge United – Blackpool
Predicted score matrix
Blackpool →
Cambridge United →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.2%
0–16.2%
0–23.6%
0–31.4%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–09.7%
1–111.6%
1–26.3%
1–32.3%
1–4+0.8%
2
2–08.7%
2–19.7%
2–25.4%
2–32.0%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–05.0%
3–15.6%
3–23.1%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–03.2%
4+–13.5%
4+–22.0%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.2-09%
- 5.1-26%
Expected goals
1,73–1,12
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.12
Over 2,554%
@1.65
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Cambridge United to win49%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Louis George Pierre Appéré to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Louis George Pierre Appéré to score26%
- Karoy Zidane Lovebourne Anderson to be booked21%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Cambridge United | X | 2 · Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Nordicbet | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
Odds updated 2 Oct, 10:36
Odds movement
1+4 %
48 %43 %
1.98 → 2.05
X-4 %
29 %24 %
3.60 → 3.45
2-4 %
31 %26 %
3.35 → 3.20
Over 2,50 %
59 %54 %
1.65 → 1.65
Nordicbet · 3 recorded price levels · 02/10/2026 → 02/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesCambridge United 0Draw 1Blackpool 1
Goals: 5–6 (⌀ 5,5)
Head-to-head based on League One data since 2023.
Key facts
- Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
- Cambridge United have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
- Blackpool have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Cambridge United
Blackpool
Cambridge United (13–11)
Blackpool (13–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Cambridge United
Blackpool
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Cambridge United
Blackpool
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Cambridge United | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13 | 8 |
| xPoints | 11.2 | 9.7 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Playing style | Cambridge United | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 1.6 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.62 | 0.7 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| Passes per match | 251 | 292 |
| Passes against per match | 325 | 322 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.5 | 18 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 25 |
| Set pieces | Cambridge United | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| Corners per match | 6.2 | 4.6 |
| Corners against per match | 4.1 | 8 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.73 | 0.54 |
| Other | Cambridge United | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.68 | 0.7 |
| The goalkeepers | Jake Eastwood (Cambridge United) | Bailey Peacock Farrell (Blackpool) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 21 | 35 |
| Save % | 66% | 75% |
| xG prevented | 45% | 54% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Plymouth Argyle – Wimbledon10 October 2026
- Notts County – Oxford United10 October 2026
- Mansfield Town – Bromley10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Huddersfield Town – Sheffield Wednesday10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Leicester City – Peterborough United10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Bradford City – Leyton Orient10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Stockport County – Barnsley10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Wycombe Wanderers – Luton Town10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Milton Keynes Dons – Reading10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Cambridge United vs Blackpool according to our model?
The model gives Cambridge United a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Cambridge United 49%, draw 27%, Blackpool 25%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.