EFL League One: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for EFL League One — the third tier of English football, where storied clubs and upstarts battle across 46 rounds in front of some of the most loyal crowds in the country. Ahead of every round the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team.

    The predictions are compared against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

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    League table2025/26

    New season with no matches played yet — the table shows the most recently completed season until the rounds get going.

    PosTeamSW–D–LGF–GAPxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Lincoln City4631–10–589–4110379,970,850,6+20,244 %Low block & direct
    2Cardiff City4627–10–990–509159,973,154,7+18,471 %Possession & high press
    3Bolton Wanderers4922–18–976–538476,082,352,9+29,458 %Possession control
    4Stockport County4924–11–1475–628368,476,461,7+14,760 %Possession control
    5Bradford City4822–11–1558–537771,665,351,4+13,959 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    6Stevenage4821–12–1549–497574,657,649,9+7,747 %Low block & direct
    7Luton Town4621–11–1468–567466,569,054,3+14,758 %Possession control
    8Plymouth Argyle4622–7–1775–637370,372,758,9+13,844 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    9Huddersfield Town4618–13–1574–646769,765,353,4+11,950 %Possession control
    10Mansfield Town4616–17–1362–506570,261,660,3+1,343 %Possession control
    11Wycombe Wanderers4617–12–1769–586374,572,747,4+25,356 %Possession control
    12Reading4616–15–1564–606362,352,959,3−6,443 %Possession control
    13Blackpool4617–9–2054–656056,149,269,9−20,738 %Low block & direct
    14Doncaster Rovers4617–9–2050–696066,468,158,9+9,250 %Possession control
    15Barnsley4615–14–1768–735945,347,880,0−32,250 %Possession control
    16Wigan Athletic4614–14–1849–585659,352,964,4−11,543 %Low block & direct
    17Burton Albion4613–15–1850–605461,155,261,2−6,050 %Low block & direct
    18Peterborough United4615–8–2364–685349,453,873,1−19,344 %Possession control
    19Wimbledon4615–8–2351–725361,856,664,9−8,347 %Low block & direct
    20Leyton Orient4614–10–2259–715258,652,061,2−9,251 %Possession control
    21Exeter City4612–13–2152–614954,151,570,4−18,949 %Possession control
    22Port Vale4610–12–2436–614263,655,257,5−2,346 %Low block & direct
    23Rotherham United4610–11–2541–714155,949,266,7−17,546 %Low block & direct
    24Northampton Town469–8–2939–743553,948,377,7−29,439 %Low block & direct

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    Scouting Report: Dylan Lawlor (Cardiff City)

    2026-04-23 · 2 min

    Scouting Report: Dylan Lawlor (Cardiff City)

    Dylan Lawlor, 20-year-old centre-back at Cardiff City, stands out as one of League One's most promising defenders with a TransferIndex of 0.87 that far exceeds the league's average of 0.58. His exceptional ball progression (435 meters of progressive passes per match against the league's 158) and strong defensive statistics with 7.4 interventions per match make him an attractive candidate for future transfers.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record

    No settled matches yet for this selection — the scorecard fills in after every played round.

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.