EFL League One: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    Model-based predictions for EFL League One — the third tier of English football, where storied clubs and upstarts battle across 46 rounds in front of some of the most loyal crowds in the country. Ahead of every round the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team.

    The predictions are compared against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.

    Upcoming matches

    Stockport CountyStockport County
    vs
    Peterborough UnitedPeterborough United
    1 69%X 17%2 14%
    Leicester CityLeicester City
    vs
    Wigan AthleticWigan Athletic
    1 52%X 23%2 25%
    Notts CountyNotts County
    vs
    BlackpoolBlackpool
    1 39%X 30%2 31%
    Huddersfield TownHuddersfield Town
    vs
    Luton TownLuton Town
    1 48%X 29%2 23%
    Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
    vs
    BromleyBromley
    1 52%X 26%2 23%
    Mansfield TownMansfield Town
    vs
    Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
    1 50%X 26%2 25%
    Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle
    vs
    Burton AlbionBurton Albion
    1 56%X 26%2 19%
    Bradford CityBradford City
    vs
    BarnsleyBarnsley
    1 57%X 23%2 21%
    Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers
    vs
    Oxford UnitedOxford United
    1 43%X 27%2 29%
    Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
    vs
    WimbledonWimbledon
    1 45%X 27%2 28%
    Soft draw
    Wycombe WanderersWycombe Wanderers
    vs
    ReadingReading
    1 36%X 27%2 37%
    StevenageStevenage
    vs
    Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
    1 41%X 29%2 30%
    Oxford UnitedOxford United
    vs
    Stockport CountyStockport County
    1 23%X 25%2 52%
    ReadingReading
    vs
    Bradford CityBradford City
    1 39%X 33%2 28%
    WimbledonWimbledon
    vs
    StevenageStevenage
    1 27%X 30%2 43%
    BlackpoolBlackpool
    vs
    Leicester CityLeicester City
    1 35%X 24%2 41%
    BromleyBromley
    vs
    Wycombe WanderersWycombe Wanderers
    1 26%X 26%2 48%
    Soft draw
    Wigan AthleticWigan Athletic
    vs
    Mansfield TownMansfield Town
    1 37%X 31%2 32%
    BarnsleyBarnsley
    vs
    Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
    1 30%X 28%2 42%
    Luton TownLuton Town
    vs
    Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers
    1 54%X 27%2 20%
    Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
    vs
    Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
    1 43%X 25%2 32%
    Leyton OrientLeyton Orient
    vs
    Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle
    1 22%X 25%2 52%
    Peterborough UnitedPeterborough United
    vs
    Notts CountyNotts County
    1 41%X 27%2 32%
    Burton AlbionBurton Albion
    vs
    Huddersfield TownHuddersfield Town
    1 24%X 27%2 49%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Bradford City1575–0–27–410,37,46,0+1,459 %Possession control
    2Sheffield Wednesday1474–2–113–611,313,98,4+5,552 %Possession control
    3Plymouth Argyle1374–1–214–1011,710,49,7+0,745 %Low block & direct
    4Huddersfield Town1273–3–111–613,114,66,6+8,053 %Possession control
    5Cambridge United1273–3–112–109,57,910,3−2,445 %Low block & direct
    6Oxford United1163–2–113–76,97,010,0−3,055 %Possession control
    7Wimbledon1173–2–25–78,47,49,7−2,353 %Low block & direct
    8Reading1063–1–214–712,212,44,9+7,547 %Possession control
    9Stockport County1073–1–316–109,912,88,3+4,573 %Possession & high press
    10Leyton Orient1073–1–313–97,46,211,5−5,348 %Balanced & physical
    11Stevenage972–3–211–89,67,27,20,048 %Possession control
    12Burton Albion972–3–212–129,65,69,0−3,440 %Low block & direct
    13Leicester City972–3–29–116,99,78,8+0,965 %Possession control
    14Wycombe Wanderers972–3–211–149,19,510,3−0,844 %Possession control
    15Blackpool872–2–313–139,713,714,6−0,943 %Possession control
    16Luton Town872–2–312–1410,010,68,0+2,646 %Possession control
    17Mansfield Town872–2–310–138,69,010,6−1,650 %Possession & high press
    18Barnsley872–2–37–129,710,29,4+0,849 %Possession control
    19Bromley872–2–38–187,15,915,3−9,436 %Low block & direct
    20Notts County771–4–27–910,17,59,0−1,542 %Possession control
    21Doncaster Rovers671–3–38–910,29,48,6+0,842 %Possession control
    22Milton Keynes Dons670–6–18–1010,512,010,2+1,837 %Low block & direct
    23Peterborough United571–2–44–127,99,411,3−1,959 %Possession control
    24Wigan Athletic471–1–55–128,310,712,5−1,859 %Possession control

    Latest articles

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    2026-09-24 · 3 min

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    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    EFL League One FAQ

    Where do I find EFL League One predictions?

    Right here: every match in EFL League One has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the EFL League One predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which EFL League One teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in EFL League One 2026/27?

    EFL League One 2026/27 has 24 teams: Bradford City, Sheffield Wednesday, Plymouth Argyle, Huddersfield Town, Cambridge United, Oxford United, Wimbledon, Reading, Stockport County, Leyton Orient, Stevenage, Burton Albion, Leicester City, Wycombe Wanderers, Blackpool, Luton Town, Mansfield Town, Barnsley, Bromley, Notts County, Doncaster Rovers, Milton Keynes Dons, Peterborough United, Wigan Athletic.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.