01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Sheffield Wednesday or draw (1X)72%
- Under 3.5 goals72%
EFL League OneHillsborough, Sheffield14°5,8 mm19 km/h
Läs på svenska
Sheffield WednesdayPossession controlvs
Cambridge UnitedLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Sheffield Wednesday (43%)
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United · EFL League One
1 · Sheffield Wednesday 43%X 25%32% Cambridge United · 2
43%
25%
32%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Sheffield Wednesday's unbeaten streak of five matches stands out as a testament to their recent form. Their style of possession control aligns well with their xG of 2.0 per match, suggesting an ability to create significant scoring opportunities. The visitors, on the other hand, have managed to find the net in 11 consecutive league matches, a streak that complements their direct approach. However, their xG of only 1.1 per match and a higher xGA of 1.5 reveal vulnerabilities, particularly against a team that can dominate possession and create chances.
The model gives a slight edge to Wednesday, with a 43% win probability compared to Cambridge's 32%. This tilt is further supported by the expected goals: 1.51 for the hosts and 1.14 for the visitors. While the historical head-to-head data is too limited to influence this analysis significantly, Wednesday's superior xPoints and xGA figures suggest they have the upper hand. The most likely scorelines, a tight 1-1 or a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts, reflect the model's cautious optimism towards Wednesday.
For those eyeing a betting angle, Sheffield Wednesday to win at odds around 2.3 offers potential value, based on their stronger underlying metrics. The over/under 2.5 goals remains finely poised at 50%, but given the trends, a 1-1 draw or slim home victory seems the prudent call.
Sheffield WednesdayForm WWWDD
League ranking xG #3xGA #7xT #9xP/match #4Points #2
Key players
- Jamal LoweFxG 0.94 · xT 0.09
- Kieran Yusuf MorrisonFxG 0.18 · xT 0.12
- Callum SlatteryRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.08
Cambridge UnitedForm LWDWD
League ranking xG #17xGA #17xT #20xP/match #15Points #5
Key players
- Sulaiman Borbor KaikaiLWxG 0.13 · xT 0.16
- Benjamin Leo KnightRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.07
- Mamadou Ousmane JobeCBxG 0.18 · xT 0.22
Match prediction: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United
Predicted score matrix
Cambridge United →
Sheffield Wednesday →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.4%
0–17.7%
0–24.6%
0–31.7%
0–4+0.6%
1
1–010.3%
1–112.5%
1–26.9%
1–32.6%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–08.0%
2–19.2%
2–25.2%
2–32.0%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–04.1%
3–14.6%
3–22.6%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–02.2%
4+–12.5%
4+–21.4%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.0-18%
Expected goals
1,51–1,14
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
118%
225%
322%
415%
5+13%
Under 2,550%
–
Over 2,550%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Sheffield Wednesday or draw (1X)72%
- Under 2.5 goals50%
- Jamal Akua Lowe to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Jamal Akua Lowe to score28%
- Dominic Martin Ball to be booked19%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Key facts
- Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
- Cambridge United have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Sheffield Wednesday (13–6)
Cambridge United (12–10)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14 | 12 |
| xPoints | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| xG per match | 2 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.61 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| Playing style | Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 0.74 |
| xTA per match | 0.89 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.32 | 0.3 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.63 |
| Passes per match | 345 | 233 |
| Passes against per match | 278 | 342 |
| Switches of play per match | 21.6 | 16.1 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 6.6 | 6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.72 |
| Other | Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| The goalkeepers | Joseph Patrick Lumley (Sheffield Wednesday) | Jake Eastwood (Cambridge United) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 17 | 19 |
| Save % | 77% | 66% |
| xG prevented | 45% | 44% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United according to our model?
The model gives Sheffield Wednesday a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sheffield Wednesday 43%, draw 25%, Cambridge United 32%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.