J2 League13°23,4 mm25 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Blaublitz AkitaBlaublitz AkitaLow block & direct
    vs
    Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFCLow block & direct
    The model's lean: 1 · Blaublitz Akita (46%)

    Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC · J2 League

    1 · Blaublitz Akita 46%X 29%25% Fujieda MYFC · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC (J2 League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Blaublitz Akita win 46%, draw 29%, Fujieda MYFC win 25%. Expected goals (xG): Blaublitz Akita 1.26, Fujieda MYFC 0.91. Most likely score: 1-0 (14%). Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%. Double chance: Blaublitz Akita or draw 75%, Fujieda MYFC or draw 54%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

    Bet on this match

    NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
    BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
    LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

    18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

    Analysis: Blaublitz Akita – Fujieda MYFC

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    Blaublitz Akita are the value side despite three straight losses: the model makes the hosts 46% to win, ahead of Fujieda MYFC at 25%, with the draw at 29%. This is not a case for chasing form blindly. Akita’s underlying numbers point to a team priced below its likely level.

    The hosts have only 13 points to Fujieda’s 15, but expected points reverse that picture: 18.2 against 17.6. Akita also hold the xG-per-match edge, 0.93 to 0.87. Fujieda have the xGA edge, even though both sides sit at 1.1 per match. Margins are thin, yet the model’s 1.26 expected goals for Akita versus 0.91 for the visitors supports the home lean.

    Their head-to-head since 2023 favours Fujieda, with Akita posting 1W 1D 2L across 4 matches. That sample is small and weighs less than form and expected goals. More relevant is the shape of this game: both teams profile as low defence & direct, a combination unlikely to produce sustained attacking control.

    The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, just ahead of 1-1 at 13% and 0-0 at 12%. Under 2.5 is the clear lean, with over 2.5 rated only 37%, while both teams to score lands at 43%. The forecast of 13.0°C and 23.4 mm of rain should further suppress goals, and that effect is already baked into the model’s numbers.

    Betsafe and Nordicbet both offer 2.3 on the home win, assessed as EV+ with the model’s 46% rating and a 6% edge. The sharper secondary angle is under 1.5 at 2.92 with Betsafe: the model gives it 36%, a 4% edge, and 1-0 is the scoreline the numbers point to most clearly.

    Blaublitz AkitaBlaublitz Akita
    Form DWLLL
    League ranking xG #17xGA #9xT #13xP/match #5Points #16
    Key players
    • Ryuhei OishiRWxG 0.09 · xT 0.30
    • Kazuma NagaiLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.20
    • Hiroto MorookaCAMxG 0.11 · xT 0.04
    Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC
    Form DLDDL
    League ranking xG #18xGA #8xT #20xP/match #12Points #12
    Key players
    • Yusuke KikuiFxG 0.06 · xT 0.13
    • Yuri MoriCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.08
    • Yuto NakamuraLBxG 0.10 · xT 0.13

    Match prediction: Blaublitz Akita – Fujieda MYFC

    Predicted score matrix

    Fujieda MYFC →
    Blaublitz Akita →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–011.8%
    0–110.0%
    0–24.7%
    0–31.4%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–014.0%
    1–113.5%
    1–25.9%
    1–31.8%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.1%
    2–18.3%
    2–23.8%
    2–31.1%
    2–4+0.3%
    3
    3–03.8%
    3–13.5%
    3–21.6%
    3–30.5%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–01.6%
    4+–11.5%
    4+–20.7%
    4+–30.2%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-014%
    2. 2.1-113%
    3. 3.0-012%
    4. 4.0-110%
    5. 5.2-09%
    Expected goals
    1,26–0,91
    Both teams to score
    43%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,2
    Under 2,563%
    @1.66EV+4%
    Over 2,537%
    @2.16

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Blaublitz Akita to win46%
    • Under 3.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    35%

    Fair odds

    2.84

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Blaublitz Akita to win46%
    • Under 2.5 goals63%
    • Koya Handa to score32%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score43%
    • Over 2.5 goals37%
    • Koya Handa to score32%
    • Uheiji Uehata to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Blaublitz Akita46% probability@2.33PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
    • 1 · Blaublitz Akita46% probability@2.30BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
    • 1 · Blaublitz Akita46% probability@2.30NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Blaublitz AkitaX2 · Fujieda MYFC
    Betsafe
    EV+ 6%
    2.30    		3.102.90
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 6%
    2.30    		3.102.90
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 7%
    2.33    		3.392.90

    Odds updated 26 Oct, 17:03

    Odds movement

    1+1 %
    43 %38 %

    2.31 → 2.33

    X-1 %
    30 %25 %

    3.41 → 3.39

    2-1 %
    35 %30 %

    2.92 → 2.90

    Over 2,50 %
    46 %41 %

    2.16 → 2.16

    Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    4 matches
    Blaublitz Akita 1Draw 1Fujieda MYFC 2
    Goals: 2–3 (⌀ 1,2)

    Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Blaublitz Akita have lost 3 in a row.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Blaublitz Akita
    Fujieda MYFC
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Blaublitz Akita (13–14)
    Fujieda MYFC (15–14)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Blaublitz Akita
    Kazuma Nagai: 134 passningar, xT 0.82NagaiRyoya Iizumi: 80 passningar, xT 0.82IizumiHidenori Takahashi: 79 passningar, xT 0.37TakahashiTomofumi Fujiyama: 76 passningar, xT 0.25FujiyamaGenki Yamada: 57 passningar, xT 0.21YamadaKoki Doi: 55 passningar, xT -0.03DoiTakato Nonomura: 49 passningar, xT 0.18NonomuraShota Suzuki: 45 passningar, xT 0.13SuzukiRyuhei Oishi: 40 passningar, xT 0.91OishiMasakazu Yoshioka: 35 passningar, xT 0.09YoshiokaTakumi Hasegawa: 34 passningar, xT 0.3Hasegawa
    Fujieda MYFC
    Yuto Nagao: 170 passningar, xT 0.25NagaoRyota Kajikawa: 158 passningar, xT 0.35KajikawaTakumi Kusumoto: 155 passningar, xT 0.25KusumotoYuri Mori: 118 passningar, xT 0.26MoriRei Shimano: 97 passningar, xT 0.28ShimanoShun Yoshida: 96 passningar, xT 0.04YoshidaShota Suzuki: 95 passningar, xT 0.15SuzukiTakuya Okamoto: 80 passningar, xT 0.2OkamotoRiyo Kawamoto: 59 passningar, xT 0.12KawamotoUheiji Uehata: 57 passningar, xT 0.19UehataShunsuke Aoki: 51 passningar, xT 0.46Aoki
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Blaublitz Akita
    Kazuma Nagai: 134 passningar, xT 0.82NagaiRyoya Iizumi: 80 passningar, xT 0.82IizumiHidenori Takahashi: 79 passningar, xT 0.37TakahashiTomofumi Fujiyama: 76 passningar, xT 0.25FujiyamaGenki Yamada: 57 passningar, xT 0.21YamadaKoki Doi: 55 passningar, xT -0.03DoiTakato Nonomura: 49 passningar, xT 0.18NonomuraShota Suzuki: 45 passningar, xT 0.13SuzukiRyuhei Oishi: 40 passningar, xT 0.91OishiMasakazu Yoshioka: 35 passningar, xT 0.09YoshiokaTakumi Hasegawa: 34 passningar, xT 0.3Hasegawa
    Fujieda MYFC
    Yuto Nagao: 170 passningar, xT 0.25NagaoRyota Kajikawa: 158 passningar, xT 0.35KajikawaTakumi Kusumoto: 155 passningar, xT 0.25KusumotoYuri Mori: 118 passningar, xT 0.26MoriRei Shimano: 97 passningar, xT 0.28ShimanoShun Yoshida: 96 passningar, xT 0.04YoshidaShota Suzuki: 95 passningar, xT 0.15SuzukiTakuya Okamoto: 80 passningar, xT 0.2OkamotoRiyo Kawamoto: 59 passningar, xT 0.12KawamotoUheiji Uehata: 57 passningar, xT 0.19UehataShunsuke Aoki: 51 passningar, xT 0.46Aoki

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceBlaublitz AkitaFujieda MYFC
    Points1315
    xPoints18.217.6
    xG per match0.930.87
    xGA per match1.11.1
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.150.14
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.210.22
    Playing styleBlaublitz AkitaFujieda MYFC
    Build-up efficiency0.350.33
    Field tilt0.350.45
    xT per match0.890.69
    xTA per match0.991.1
    Won balls, offensive half1916
    Pressing intensity0.230.23
    Pressing efficiency0.330.32
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.320.32
    Entries into the box per match1210
    Entries into the box against1513
    Pass completion %0.50.69
    Pass completion % under pressure0.50.67
    Passes per match147263
    Passes against per match353327
    Switches of play per match10.224
    Long balls per match2833
    Set piecesBlaublitz AkitaFujieda MYFC
    xG from free kicks0.150.03
    Corners per match4.35.6
    Corners against per match6.35.7
    xG per corner0.020.03
    xGA per corner against0.030.02
    First touch, offensive corners %0.350.45
    First touch, defensive corners %0.590.48
    OtherBlaublitz AkitaFujieda MYFC
    Throw-in control0.710.74
    The goalkeepersGenki Yamada (Blaublitz Akita)Shun Yoshida (Fujieda MYFC)
    Saves2955
    Save %67%81%
    xG prevented33%59%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Blaublitz Akita
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Fujieda MYFC
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC according to our model?

    The model gives Blaublitz Akita a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Blaublitz Akita 46%, draw 29%, Fujieda MYFC 25%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 14% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 37% and under at 63%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 43% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Blaublitz Akita vs Fujieda MYFC?

    The model expects 1.26 goals (xG) for Blaublitz Akita and 0.91 for Fujieda MYFC, 2.17 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Blaublitz Akita or draw (1X) 75%, Fujieda MYFC or draw (X2) 54% and no draw (12) 71%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    2–0
    Kataller ToyamaKataller Toyama
    1 33%X 31%2 36%
    The model missed the outcome
    Hokkaido Consadole SapporoHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    2–0
    Tokushima VortisTokushima Vortis
    1 43%X 28%2 29%
    The model called the outcome
    Jubilo IwataJubilo Iwata
    1–1
    Blaublitz AkitaBlaublitz Akita
    1 33%X 31%2 36%
    The model missed the outcome
    LeoVegas
    LeoVegas
    100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen

    Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80

    Hämta bonus
    ComeOn
    ComeOn
    Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.

    Se ComeOns villkor

    Hämta bonus
    Hajper
    Hajper
    Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.

    Se Hajpers villkor

    Hämta bonus

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.