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    FC ImabariFC ImabariCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    Ventforet KofuVentforet KofuLow block & direct
    The model's lean: 1 · FC Imabari (42%)Best value by the model: 2 · Ventforet Kofu @ 3.58 (+6 %)

    FC Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu · J2 League

    1 · FC Imabari 42%X 28%30% Ventforet Kofu · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for FC Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): FC Imabari win 42%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu win 30%. Expected goals (xG): FC Imabari 1.40, Ventforet Kofu 1.07. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: FC Imabari or draw 70%, Ventforet Kofu or draw 58%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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    Analysis: FC Imabari – Ventforet Kofu

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    1.07 expected goals for Ventforet Kofu puts a ceiling on this match. FC Imabari are rated 42% to win against 30% for the visitors, with the draw at 28%, and the analysis points to a narrow home edge rather than a statement result. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 9%. Under 2.5 is the lean: over lands only 45%.

    Imabari have scored in 8 consecutive league matches, but their 1.2 xG per match is modest. Kofu produce only 0.84 xG per match, although their 1.3 xGA beats the hosts’ 1.5. The home side’s counters and crosses meet visitors built around a low defence and direct football. That is not a recipe for open exchanges. Imabari lead points 11 to 10; Kofu lead xPoints 15.0 to 14.6.

    The head-to-head since 2023 is 2 matches, with Imabari at 0W 0D 2L. It is a small sample and weighs less than form and expected goals. Betsafe and Nordicbet both offer under 2.5 at 1.82; the model assesses it at 55%, though the stated edge is 0%. A dull 1-1 is the likeliest score, but under 2.5 is the stable angle.

    FC ImabariFC Imabari
    Form LWWDL
    League ranking xG #8xGA #19xT #8xP/match #16Points #19
    Key players
    • Rei UmekiRWBxG 0.16 · xT 0.13
    • Hikaru AraiRWxG 0.37 · xT 0.18
    • Yuki KajiuraCAMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
    Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu
    Form LLWLL
    League ranking xG #19xGA #16xT #17xP/match #15Points #20
    Key players
    • Sho ArakiCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
    • Kazushi FujiiFxG 0.31 · xT 0.03
    • Kojiro YasudaCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.04

    Match prediction: FC Imabari – Ventforet Kofu

    Predicted score matrix

    Ventforet Kofu →
    FC Imabari →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.8%
    0–18.6%
    0–24.8%
    0–31.7%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–011.4%
    1–113.0%
    1–26.8%
    1–32.4%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–08.3%
    2–18.9%
    2–24.8%
    2–31.7%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–03.9%
    3–14.2%
    3–22.2%
    3–30.8%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–01.9%
    4+–12.0%
    4+–21.1%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.2-19%
    4. 4.0-09%
    5. 5.0-19%
    Expected goals
    1,40–1,07
    Both teams to score
    50%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,5
    Under 2,555%
    @1.88EV+0%
    Over 2,545%
    @1.89

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance FC Imabari or draw (1X)72%
    • Under 3.5 goals76%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.84

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance FC Imabari or draw (1X)72%
    • Under 2.5 goals55%
    • Kenta Kikuchi to score19%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score50%
    • Over 2.5 goals45%
    • Yamato Naito to score27%
    • Yuta Koide to be booked18%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Ventforet Kofu30% probability@3.58PinnacleEV+6%reference odds
    • Under 2.555% probability@1.88PinnacleEV+3%reference odds
    • Under 2.555% probability@1.82BetsafeEV+0%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · FC ImabariX2 · Ventforet Kofu
    Betsafe2.023.253.35
    Nordicbet2.023.253.35
    Pinnacle1.983.47
    EV+ 6%
    3.58

    Odds updated 26 Oct, 17:03

    Odds movement

    10 %
    50 %45 %

    1.98 → 1.98

    X0 %
    29 %24 %

    3.46 → 3.47

    20 %
    29 %24 %

    3.58 → 3.58

    Over 2,50 %
    52 %47 %

    1.90 → 1.89

    Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    2 matches
    FC Imabari 0Draw 0Ventforet Kofu 2
    Goals: 2–5 (⌀ 3,5)

    Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • FC Imabari have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    FC Imabari
    Ventforet Kofu
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    FC Imabari (15–25)
    Ventforet Kofu (9–26)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    FC Imabari
    Gabriel Gomes Ferreira: 158 passningar, xT 0.38FerreiraKenta Kikuchi: 119 passningar, xT 0.94KikuchiAleksandar Paločević: 114 passningar, xT 0.2PaločevićKazuki Kushibiki: 109 passningar, xT 0.14KushibikiYamato Maruyama: 105 passningar, xT 0.12MaruyamaYuki Kajiura: 99 passningar, xT 0.53KajiuraYoshiaki Komai: 93 passningar, xT 0.38KomaiKota Mori: 80 passningar, xT 1.05MoriRei Umeki: 71 passningar, xT 0.53UmekiKyota Mochii: 62 passningar, xT 0.11MochiiEdigar Junio Teixeira Lima: 47 passningar, xT 0.75Lima
    Ventforet Kofu
    Seigo Takei: 168 passningar, xT 0.71TakeiHikaru Endo: 160 passningar, xT 0.13EndoYuta Koide: 130 passningar, xT 1.03KoideJohn Higashi: 88 passningar, xT 0.1HigashiYukito Murakami: 85 passningar, xT 0.13MurakamiIwana Kobayashi: 80 passningar, xT 0.31KobayashiShun Fukumoto: 77 passningar, xT 0.15FukumotoKojiro Yasuda: 69 passningar, xT -0.01YasudaTakuya Wada: 64 passningar, xT 0.04WadaYuto Hiratsuka: 61 passningar, xT 0.07HiratsukaHiroya Sueki: 60 passningar, xT 0.1Sueki
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    FC Imabari
    Gabriel Gomes Ferreira: 158 passningar, xT 0.38FerreiraKenta Kikuchi: 119 passningar, xT 0.94KikuchiAleksandar Paločević: 114 passningar, xT 0.2PaločevićKazuki Kushibiki: 109 passningar, xT 0.14KushibikiYamato Maruyama: 105 passningar, xT 0.12MaruyamaYuki Kajiura: 99 passningar, xT 0.53KajiuraYoshiaki Komai: 93 passningar, xT 0.38KomaiKota Mori: 80 passningar, xT 1.05MoriRei Umeki: 71 passningar, xT 0.53UmekiKyota Mochii: 62 passningar, xT 0.11MochiiEdigar Junio Teixeira Lima: 47 passningar, xT 0.75Lima
    Ventforet Kofu
    Seigo Takei: 168 passningar, xT 0.71TakeiHikaru Endo: 160 passningar, xT 0.13EndoYuta Koide: 130 passningar, xT 1.03KoideJohn Higashi: 88 passningar, xT 0.1HigashiYukito Murakami: 85 passningar, xT 0.13MurakamiIwana Kobayashi: 80 passningar, xT 0.31KobayashiShun Fukumoto: 77 passningar, xT 0.15FukumotoKojiro Yasuda: 69 passningar, xT -0.01YasudaTakuya Wada: 64 passningar, xT 0.04WadaYuto Hiratsuka: 61 passningar, xT 0.07HiratsukaHiroya Sueki: 60 passningar, xT 0.1Sueki

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceFC ImabariVentforet Kofu
    Points1110
    xPoints14.615
    xG per match1.20.84
    xGA per match1.51.3
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.120.17
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.160.15
    Playing styleFC ImabariVentforet Kofu
    Build-up efficiency0.340.33
    Field tilt0.370.44
    xT per match0.960.78
    xTA per match1.20.9
    Won balls, offensive half1519
    Pressing intensity0.240.22
    Pressing efficiency0.290.29
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.270.27
    Entries into the box per match119
    Entries into the box against1412
    Pass completion %0.720.7
    Pass completion % under pressure0.670.67
    Passes per match307297
    Passes against per match348400
    Switches of play per match18.223.6
    Long balls per match3331
    Set piecesFC ImabariVentforet Kofu
    xG from free kicks0.110.04
    Corners per match4.14.5
    Corners against per match4.75.3
    xG per corner0.040.02
    xGA per corner against0.020.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.410.44
    First touch, defensive corners %0.610.46
    OtherFC ImabariVentforet Kofu
    Throw-in control0.740.76
    The goalkeepersGenta Ito (FC Imabari)John Higashi (Ventforet Kofu)
    Saves1825
    Save %75%56%
    xG prevented63%35%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    FC Imabari
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Ventforet Kofu
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins FC Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu according to our model?

    The model gives FC Imabari a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Imabari 42%, draw 28%, Ventforet Kofu 30%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 45% and under at 55%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in FC Imabari vs Ventforet Kofu?

    The model expects 1.40 goals (xG) for FC Imabari and 1.07 for Ventforet Kofu, 2.48 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    FC Imabari or draw (1X) 70%, Ventforet Kofu or draw (X2) 58% and no draw (12) 72%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.