DAC vs Ružomberok: Prediction & Odds (24 Oct 2026)

Slovak Super League24 October 2026 19:00 CESTMOL Aréna, Dunajská Streda9°1,1 mm16 km/h

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DACPossession control

5–0

RužomberokLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · DAC (72%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.94 (+9 %)

1 · DAC 72%X 18%10% Ružomberok · 2

72%

18%

Prediction summary

Final score 5–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for DAC vs Ružomberok (Slovak Super League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): DAC win 72%, draw 18%, Ružomberok win 10%. Expected goals (xG): DAC 2.59, Ružomberok 0.80. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: DAC or draw 90%, Ružomberok or draw 28%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: DAC – Ružomberok

Oscar Nilsson · 23 October 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

DAC has consistently held the upper hand in their recent clashes against Ružomberok, with three wins from five encounters since 2023. Although this sample is small and not definitive, it aligns well with the current form and underlying numbers. The home side boasts an unbeaten streak of 11 league matches, underlining their dominant domestic form. Ružomberok, in contrast, finds themselves struggling, evidenced by their scant 9 points compared to DAC's imposing 26.

Looking deeper into the metrics, DAC's offensive machinery seems well-oiled, generating 2.2 expected goals per match against Ružomberok's 1.6. This offensive prowess is further supported by the fact that DAC has scored in 12 consecutive league outings, suggesting a high probability of them finding the net once again. Defensively, the hosts also hold the edge, with a lower xGA of 1.1 compared to the visitors' 1.8. The model sees a 72% chance of a home win, with DAC's possession-based style likely to control the game against Ružomberok's low-block approach.

The probabilities hint at a commanding performance by DAC, with 2-0 and 3-0 emerging as the most likely scorelines. The over 2.5 goals scenario also holds a 66% chance, suggesting a relatively open game, though both teams scoring is more evenly balanced at 51%. However, there is an intriguing betting angle on offer. Despite the lean towards goals, both Betsafe and Nordicbet present value in the under 3.5 goals market at odds of 1.92, with the model identifying an 8% edge.

In conclusion, while DAC looks set to continue their fine form, the under 3.5 goals bet provides a sharp angle, especially given the historical fixture dominance and the defensive resilience DAC often shows at home.

DAC

Form WWDWW

League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #2xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Ammar RamadanLWxG 0.35 · xT 0.42
Giorgi GaguaCAMxG 0.23 · xT 0.23
Klemen NemanicCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08

Ružomberok

Form DWLDW

League ranking xG #7xGA #9xT #9xP/match #6Points #9

Key players

Daniel KostlCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
Alexander SeleckyLWBxG 0.14 · xT 0.10
Martin BačíkFxG 0.19 · xT 0.24

Final score

5 – 0

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: DAC 72% · Draw 18% · Ružomberok 10%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - DAC Dunajská StredaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 2,98fair 3,98-25 %

Miss

Matchresultat - RužomberokBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 19,10fair 42,64-55 %

Miss

Match prediction: DAC – Ružomberok

Predicted score matrix

Ružomberok →

DAC →

0–03.6%

0–12.5%

0–21.1%

0–30.3%

0–4+0.1%

1–08.5%

1–17.2%

1–22.8%

1–30.8%

1–4+0.2%

2–011.3%

2–19.1%

2–23.6%

2–31.0%

2–4+0.2%

3–09.7%

3–17.8%

3–23.1%

3–30.8%

3–4+0.2%

4+–011.7%

4+–19.4%

4+–23.8%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-011%
2.3-010%
3.2-19%
4.1-09%
5.3-18%

Expected goals

2,59–0,80

Both teams to score

51%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,4

111%

220%

322%

419%

5+25%

Under 2,534%

@3.00EV+2%

Over 2,566%

@1.34

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

DAC to win72%
Over 1.5 goals85%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

DAC to win72%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Matej Trusa to score45%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score51%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Matej Trusa to score45%
Tomáš Marušin to be booked23%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 3.556% probability@1.94PinnacleEV+9%reference odds
X · Draw18% probability@5.79PinnacleEV+6%reference odds
Under 3.556% probability@1.85BetsafeEV+4%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · DAC	X	2 · Ružomberok
Betsafe	1.26	EV+ 1% 5.55	7.60
LeoVegas	1.28	5.40	7.20
Nordicbet	1.26	EV+ 1% 5.55	7.60
Pinnacle	1.31	EV+ 6% 5.79	7.59

Odds updated 24 Oct, 13:36

Odds movement

1-2 %

72 %67 %

1.33 → 1.31

X+9 %

20 %15 %

5.33 → 5.79

2+9 %

16 %11 %

6.99 → 7.59

Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 19/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

5 matches

DAC 3Draw 2Ružomberok 0

Goals: 8–2 (⌀ 2)

Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

DAC dominate this fixture historically: 3 wins to 0 in 5 meetings.
DAC are unbeaten in their last 11 league matches.
DAC have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
DAC win 61% of their home matches all-time (38 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

DAC

Ružomberok

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

DAC (31–7)

Ružomberok (11–20)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

DAC

Ružomberok

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

DAC

Ružomberok

The teams in numbers

Performance	DAC	Ružomberok
Points	26	9
xPoints	18.6	16.2
xG per match	2.2	1.6
xGA per match	1.1	1.8
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.56	0.38
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.21	0.23

Playing style	DAC	Ružomberok
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.34
Field tilt	0.52	0.37
xT per match	1.5	0.88
xTA per match	0.77	1.3
Won balls, offensive half	26	26
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.32	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.26	0.23
Entries into the box per match	15	12
Entries into the box against	12	17
Pass completion %	0.79	0.65
Pass completion % under pressure	0.74	0.6
Passes per match	364	221
Passes against per match	295	384
Switches of play per match	38.4	18.1
Long balls per match	44	30

Set pieces	DAC	Ružomberok
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.07
Corners per match	5.1	5
Corners against per match	4.5	4.4
xG per corner	0.04	0.05
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.53	0.33
First touch, defensive corners %	0.53	0.47

Other	DAC	Ružomberok
Throw-in control	0.74	0.75

The goalkeepers	Leandro Filipe de Almeida Dornelles (DAC)	Ivan Krajčírik (Ružomberok)
Saves	26	24
Save %	79%	57%
xG prevented	51%	30%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

DAC

Fixtures, form & tips

Ružomberok

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins DAC vs Ružomberok according to our model?

The model gives DAC a 72% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: DAC 72%, draw 18%, Ružomberok 10%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 66% and under at 34%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in DAC vs Ružomberok?

The model expects 2.59 goals (xG) for DAC and 0.80 for Ružomberok, 3.39 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

DAC or draw (1X) 90%, Ružomberok or draw (X2) 28% and no draw (12) 82%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.