01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Komárno or draw (1X)66%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Slovak Super League9°2,0 mm17 km/h
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KomárnoPossession controlvs
TrenčínCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Komárno (42%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.99 (+14 %)
Komárno vs Trenčín · Slovak Super League
1 · Komárno 42%X 29%29% Trenčín · 2
42%
29%
29%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Komárno vs Trenčín (Slovak Super League, Sunday, 25 October 2026): Komárno win 42%, draw 29%, Trenčín win 29%. Expected goals (xG): Komárno 1.58, Trenčín 1.41. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. Double chance: Komárno or draw 71%, Trenčín or draw 58%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Komárno – Trenčín
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The clash in the Slovak Super League between Komárno and Trenčín highlights a compelling tactical duel. Komárno, with a focus on possession control, will likely dictate the tempo, while Trenčín aims to exploit counterattacks and crosses. This sets up a classic battle of styles where possession meets pace. Despite Trenčín's slight edge in head-to-heads since 2023, Komárno’s home advantage and their superior expected points (13.7 vs 13.0) suggest they can edge the visitors.
Numbers reveal a tight contest, with Komárno having a 42% chance of winning compared to Trenčín’s 29%. The expected goals are close: 1.58 for Komárno and 1.41 for Trenčín. Both teams are expected to find the net, as indicated by a 60% chance of both scoring. However, the forecasted rain of 7.5 mm might dampen the offensive output, tempering the 57% probability for over 2.5 goals. The weather's suppressive impact on goals is already factored into these numbers, suggesting the match may lean towards a tighter scoreline.
The model indicates the scoreline with the highest probability is 1-1 at 12%, followed by a 2-1 win for Komárno at 9%. This aligns with the possession-based approach of the hosts potentially controlling the game while maintaining defensive discipline. Trenčín’s counter-attack poses a threat but may struggle to fully capitalize in adverse weather conditions.
In terms of value bets, the odds for a draw at 3.55 with Betsafe and Nordicbet present an attractive option given the model’s 29% likelihood — a solid 1% edge. Additionally, considering the weather's effect and defensive tendencies, the under 3.5 goals at 1.55 with Betsafe is another value angle, with a 65% likelihood providing a slight edge.
KomárnoForm DDLDL
League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #5xP/match #9Points #12
Key players
- Ján BernátLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.14
- Dominik SpiriakCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
- Dominik ZakCDMxG 0.23 · xT 0.18
TrenčínForm LLLLW
League ranking xG #8xGA #8xT #7xP/match #8Points #11
Key players
- Richard KrizanCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.04
- Eynel Domingos Rocha SoaresLWxG 0.49 · xT 0.29
- Markus PoomCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
Match prediction: Komárno – Trenčín
Predicted score matrix
Trenčín →
Komárno →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.4%
0–16.8%
0–25.0%
0–32.3%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–07.7%
1–111.6%
1–27.9%
1–33.7%
1–4+1.8%
2
2–06.3%
2–18.9%
2–26.2%
2–32.9%
2–4+1.4%
3
3–03.3%
3–14.7%
3–23.3%
3–31.5%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–01.9%
4+–12.6%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,58–1,41
Both teams to score
60%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
@2.35EV+0%
Over 2,557%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Komárno or draw (1X)66%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Ján Bernát to score35%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score60%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Ján Bernát to score35%
- Kristóf Domonkos to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw29% probability@3.99PinnacleEV+14%reference odds
- 2 · Trenčín29% probability@3.81PinnacleEV+11%reference odds
- X · Draw29% probability@3.60BetsafeEV+3%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Komárno | X | 2 · Trenčín |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.85 | EV+ 3% 3.60 | EV+ 2% 3.50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85 | EV+ 3% 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Nordicbet | 1.85 | EV+ 3% 3.60 | EV+ 2% 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | EV+ 14% 3.99 | EV+ 11% 3.81 |
Odds updated 25 Oct, 09:35
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Komárno win since 18 October — the odds have shortened from 1.98 to 1.83 (−7%).
1-7 %
52 %47 %
1.98 → 1.83
X+8 %
27 %22 %
3.71 → 3.99
2+17 %
29 %24 %
3.26 → 3.81
Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
9 matchesKomárno 3Draw 2Trenčín 4
Goals: 7–8 (⌀ 1,7)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Komárno
Trenčín
Komárno (9–16)
Trenčín (12–21)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Komárno
Trenčín
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Komárno
Trenčín
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Komárno | Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 6 | 8 |
| xPoints | 13.7 | 13 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| Playing style | Komárno | Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 0.95 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 17 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 370 | 356 |
| Passes against per match | 307 | 331 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.5 | 21.2 |
| Long balls per match | 38 | 26 |
| Set pieces | Komárno | Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 5.9 | 5.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| Other | Komárno | Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Branislav Pindroch (Komárno) | Andrija Katic (Trenčín) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 31 | 29 |
| Save % | 72% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 63% | 33% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Komárno vs Trenčín according to our model?
The model gives Komárno a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Komárno 42%, draw 29%, Trenčín 29%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Komárno vs Trenčín?
The model expects 1.58 goals (xG) for Komárno and 1.41 for Trenčín, 2.98 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Komárno or draw (1X) 71%, Trenčín or draw (X2) 58% and no draw (12) 71%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.