01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Podbrezová or draw (X2)69%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Slovak Super League9°8 km/h
Läs på svenska
Zemplín MichalovceLow block & direct1–4
PodbrezováPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Podbrezová (44%)
Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová · Slovak Super League
1 · Zemplín Michalovce 29%X 27%44% Podbrezová · 2
29%
27%
44%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–4. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová (Slovak Super League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Zemplín Michalovce win 29%, draw 27%, Podbrezová win 44%. Expected goals (xG): Zemplín Michalovce 1.43, Podbrezová 1.76. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%. Double chance: Zemplín Michalovce or draw 56%, Podbrezová or draw 71%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Zemplín Michalovce – Podbrezová
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
The odds for a Podbrezová victory at 2.30 with Bet365 are not supported by the provided facts and should be removed.
Corrected TEXT:
Podbrezová's dominance in their meetings with Zemplín Michalovce is a pattern that stands out. Over seven encounters since 2023, the visitors have secured four victories against Michalovce's solitary win. This historical edge is backed by their superior expected goals (xG) metrics: Podbrezová generates 1.8 xG per match compared to Michalovce's 1.0. This indicates a consistent ability to create quality chances.
Zemplín Michalovce tend to adopt a low-defense, direct approach, which might struggle against Podbrezová's possession control. The visitors are adept at maintaining control and exploiting opportunities quickly, as evidenced by their 0.29 xG within eight seconds of regaining possession, more than double Michalovce's 0.13. This swift transition game could prove crucial in breaking down a defensively set home side.
The expected goals against (xGA) further highlight the difference in defensive solidity, with Michalovce conceding an average of 1.9 xGA per match, notably higher than Podbrezová's 1.5. This defensive frailty of the hosts suggests they might find it tough to contain Podbrezová's attacks, potentially leading to a higher-scoring game.
The model leans towards a Podbrezová win, giving them a 44% chance compared to Michalovce's 29%, with the most likely scorelines pointing to a 1-1 draw or a 1-2 Podbrezová victory. The over 2.5 goals probability stands at 62%, aligning with the history of this fixture averaging 3.3 goals per game, suggesting a proclivity for more open and high-scoring affairs.
For those looking for value, Podbrezová's historical record, superior xG stats, and the likelihood of defensive lapses from Michalovce make backing them a pragmatic choice for those inclined towards well-supported, lower-risk wagers.
Zemplín MichalovceForm WLWLD
League ranking xG #11xGA #10xT #12xP/match #10Points #6
Key players
- Abdul ZubairuCDMxG 0.08 · xT 0.18
- Ben CottrellFxG 0.12 · xT 0.11
- Tornike DzotsenidzeCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
PodbrezováForm LDWLL
League ranking xG #4xGA #6xT #3xP/match #5Points #7
Key players
- Filip MielkeCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.10
- Peter KováčikRWxG 0.37 · xT 0.22
- Karlo MiljanicRWxG 0.32 · xT 0.09
Final score
1 – 4
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Zemplín Michalovce 29% · Draw 27% · Podbrezová 44%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FK Zeleziarne PodbrezovaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,90fair 6,13-4 %
HitMatchresultat - MFK Zemplin MichalovceBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 7,07fair 9,23-23 %
MissMatch prediction: Zemplín Michalovce – Podbrezová
Predicted score matrix
Podbrezová →
Zemplín Michalovce →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.4%
0–16.9%
0–26.4%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.4%
1
1–05.6%
1–110.7%
1–29.1%
1–35.3%
1–4+3.5%
2
2–04.2%
2–17.4%
2–26.5%
2–33.8%
2–4+2.5%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.5%
3–23.1%
3–31.8%
3–4+1.2%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.7%
4+–21.5%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.6%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.2-17%
- 4.0-17%
- 5.2-27%
Expected goals
1,43–1,76
Both teams to score
63%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+22%
Under 2,538%
@2.18
Over 2,562%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Podbrezová or draw (X2)69%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Martin Chrien to score20%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score63%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Martin Chrien to score20%
- Filip Mielke to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Podbrezová44% probability@2.39PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Zemplín Michalovce | X | 2 · Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Nordicbet | 2.75 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 3.48 | EV+ 4% 2.39 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 12:36
Odds movement
1+5 %
36 %31 %
2.75 → 2.88
X-5 %
29 %24 %
3.65 → 3.48
2+6 %
43 %38 %
2.26 → 2.39
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesZemplín Michalovce 1Draw 2Podbrezová 4
Goals: 7–16 (⌀ 3,3)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- Podbrezova dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 1 in 7 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.3 goals per meeting on average.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Zemplín Michalovce
Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce (10–15)
Podbrezová (14–20)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Zemplín Michalovce
Podbrezová
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Zemplín Michalovce
Podbrezová
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14 | 14 |
| xPoints | 12.6 | 16.2 |
| xG per match | 1 | 1.8 |
| xGA per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.13 | 0.29 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| Playing style | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.55 |
| xT per match | 0.81 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 19 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.67 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 275 | 322 |
| Passes against per match | 361 | 335 |
| Switches of play per match | 11.1 | 20.8 |
| Long balls per match | 26 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 6 |
| Corners against per match | 7.7 | 5.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| Other | Zemplín Michalovce | Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Adam Jakubech (Zemplín Michalovce) | Lukáš Domaniský (Podbrezová) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 50 | 18 |
| Save % | 78% | 60% |
| xG prevented | 59% | 33% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová according to our model?
The model gives Podbrezová a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zemplín Michalovce 29%, draw 27%, Podbrezová 44%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová?
The model expects 1.43 goals (xG) for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.76 for Podbrezová, 3.19 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Zemplín Michalovce or draw (1X) 56%, Podbrezová or draw (X2) 71% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.