01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Komárno or draw (1X)69%
- Under 3.5 goals72%
Slovak Super League10°9 km/h
Läs på svenska
KomárnoCounter-attacks & crosses0–1
RužomberokLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Komárno (43%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.66 (+7 %)
Komárno vs Ružomberok · Slovak Super League
1 · Komárno 43%X 29%28% Ružomberok · 2
43%
29%
28%
Prediction summary
Final score 0–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Komárno vs Ružomberok (Slovak Super League, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Komárno win 43%, draw 29%, Ružomberok win 28%. Expected goals (xG): Komárno 1.47, Ružomberok 1.21. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. Double chance: Komárno or draw 72%, Ružomberok or draw 57%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Komárno – Ružomberok
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Komárno's counter-attacking flair has been a defining feature of their play this season, underscored by their 43% model probability to win against Ružomberok. This inclination towards quick transitions and crosses could exploit the visitors' tendency to sit deep and play direct. Ružomberok's compact defensive setup, however, might absorb the pressure, potentially limiting Komárno's attacking efficacy.
The teams' head-to-head record since 2023 reveals a tightly contested rivalry, with Komárno slightly ahead with four wins. But this sample of eight matches offers limited predictive power compared to current form and expected goals. Komárno's xGA of 1.3 per match edges out Ružomberok's 1.9, hinting at a more robust defense capable of withstanding the direct style of their opponents. Yet Ružomberok's higher xG per match (1.6) suggests they might find opportunities to score despite Komárno's defensive edge.
The model pegs the most likely scorelines at 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), and 2-1 (9%), indicating a close contest. The expected goals suggest a narrow game, with Komárno slightly favored at 1.47 compared to Ružomberok's 1.21. This aligns with the odds showing value in betting under 2.5 goals. Both Betsafe and Nordicbet offer odds of 2.15, which the model rates at a 50% likelihood—creating a 7% edge. The under 3.5 goal line also presents value at 1.46 with Betsafe, rated at 72% by the model, giving a 5% edge.
Overall, expect a tactically intriguing encounter with Komárno leveraging their counter-attack against Ružomberok's direct, low-defensive block. The model's lean towards a low-scoring affair, coupled with the statistical underpinnings, suggests a 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts. Thus, the value on under 2.5 goals at 2.15 with Betsafe and Nordicbet stands out as the sharpest betting angle.
KomárnoForm DDDLD
League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #7xP/match #8Points #10
Key players
- Dominik ZakCDMxG 0.22 · xT 0.20
- Robert PillarCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.11
- Ján BernátLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.12
RužomberokForm LDWLD
League ranking xG #7xGA #10xT #9xP/match #6Points #11
Key players
- Martin BačíkFxG 0.24 · xT 0.30
- Daniel KostlCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.16
- Alexander SeleckyLWBxG 0.15 · xT 0.11
Final score
0 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Komárno 43% · Draw 29% · Ružomberok 28%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - RužomberokBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 9,55fair 13,14-27 %
MissMatchresultat - KFC KomarnoBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 6,00fair 8,91-33 %
MissMatch prediction: Komárno – Ružomberok
Predicted score matrix
Ružomberok →
Komárno →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.2%
0–17.9%
0–25.0%
0–32.0%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–09.7%
1–112.5%
1–27.4%
1–33.0%
1–4+1.2%
2
2–07.4%
2–19.0%
2–25.4%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–03.6%
3–14.4%
3–22.7%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.9%
4+–12.2%
4+–21.4%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.2-07%
Expected goals
1,47–1,21
Both teams to score
54%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
118%
225%
322%
415%
5+13%
Under 2,550%
@2.12EV+2%
Over 2,550%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Komárno or draw (1X)69%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Ján Bernát to score32%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score54%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
- Ján Bernát to score32%
- Filip Souček to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw29% probability@3.66PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
- Under 2.550% probability@2.12PinnacleEV+6%reference odds
- Under 2.550% probability@2.05BetsafeEV+2%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Komárno | X | 2 · Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Nordicbet | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | EV+ 7% 3.66 | 3.36 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 12:37
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards under 2.5 goals since 11 October — the odds have shortened from 2.24 to 2.12 (−5%).
1-1 %
48 %43 %
2.08 → 2.06
X0 %
28 %23 %
3.66 → 3.66
2+10 %
32 %27 %
3.06 → 3.36
Over 2,5+8 %
59 %54 %
1.59 → 1.72
Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 11/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
8 matchesKomárno 4Draw 1Ružomberok 3
Goals: 12–8 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Komárno
Ružomberok
Komárno (9–15)
Ružomberok (10–20)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Komárno
Ružomberok
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Komárno
Ružomberok
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Komárno | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 6 | 6 |
| xPoints | 12.5 | 14.8 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.26 | 0.4 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Playing style | Komárno | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.5 | 0.39 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| Passes per match | 359 | 228 |
| Passes against per match | 323 | 375 |
| Switches of play per match | 22 | 18.4 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Komárno | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Corners per match | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Corners against per match | 6.1 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| Other | Komárno | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Branislav Pindroch (Komárno) | Ivan Krajčírik (Ružomberok) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 30 | 22 |
| Save % | 73% | 55% |
| xG prevented | 64% | 29% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Komárno vs Ružomberok according to our model?
The model gives Komárno a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Komárno 43%, draw 29%, Ružomberok 28%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Komárno vs Ružomberok?
The model expects 1.47 goals (xG) for Komárno and 1.21 for Ružomberok, 2.68 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Komárno or draw (1X) 72%, Ružomberok or draw (X2) 57% and no draw (12) 71%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.