Žilina vs DAC: Prediction & Odds (18 Oct 2026)

Slovak Super League18 October 2026 18:00 CESTŠtadión pod Dubňom, Žilina10°14 km/h

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ŽilinaPossession & high press

2–3

DACPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · DAC (41%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.72 (+7 %)

1 · Žilina 33%X 26%41% DAC · 2

33%

26%

41%

Prediction summary

Final score 2–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Žilina vs DAC (Slovak Super League, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Žilina win 33%, draw 26%, DAC win 41%. Expected goals (xG): Žilina 1.41, DAC 1.70. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Žilina or draw 59%, DAC or draw 67%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.

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Analysis: Žilina – DAC

Anna Karlsson · 16 October 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

TEXT: A clash of styles awaits as Žilina's high-pressure game meets DAC's possession control. The two approaches suggest a dynamic encounter, yet it's the numbers that sketch the more vivid picture. DAC, with a 41% chance of victory and an expected goal tally of 1.70, have the edge. Žilina, although unbeaten in seven league matches, find themselves as slight underdogs with a 33% chance and 1.41 expected goals.

Both teams' recent form hints at goals. Žilina has found the net in ten consecutive matches, while DAC have scored in eleven straight. The likelihood of both teams scoring sits at 62%, bolstered by their offensive consistency. Moreover, the model suggests a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals, aligning with the attacking inclination of both sides.

The head-to-head record, albeit even at 3 wins each in eight games, loses weight against the backdrop of DAC's slightly superior season performance. The visitors, leading by two points and boasting a better xPoints tally of 17.1 versus Žilina's 13.4, appear more resilient. Their defense, with an xGA of just 1.0 per game, could prove pivotal against Žilina's attacking threats.

The sharpest angle lies in the model's preference for DAC, supported by odds of 2.50 with Bet365. The projected scoreline leans towards a tight 1-1 draw as the most likely outcome, with a 1-2 DAC win as the next most probable scoreline, fitting their edge in expected goal creation. While nothing is certain, the data suggests value lies with the visitors, hinting at a profitable narrative for those believing in DAC's continued unbeaten run.

Žilina

Form WWDWD

League ranking xG #6xGA #7xT #6xP/match #7Points #3

Key players

Tobias PaliscakCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.11
Patrik IlkoLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.08
Michal FaskoFxG 0.40 · xT 0.13

DAC

Form WWWDW

League ranking xG #1xGA #3xT #2xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Ammar RamadanLWxG 0.36 · xT 0.45
Giorgi GaguaCAMxG 0.23 · xT 0.25
Klemen NemanicCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08

Final score

2 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Žilina 33% · Draw 26% · DAC 41%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - DAC Dunajská StredaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 4,78fair 6,50-26 %

Hit

Matchresultat - MŠK ŽilinaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 6,36fair 9,51-33 %

Miss

Match prediction: Žilina – DAC

Predicted score matrix

DAC →

Žilina →

0–04.8%

0–17.3%

0–26.5%

0–33.7%

0–4+2.3%

1–05.9%

1–111.0%

1–29.1%

1–35.2%

1–4+3.2%

2–04.4%

2–17.5%

2–26.4%

2–33.6%

2–4+2.3%

3–02.1%

3–13.5%

3–23.0%

3–31.7%

3–4+1.1%

4+–01.0%

4+–11.7%

4+–21.4%

4+–30.8%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.2-18%
4.0-17%
5.0-26%

Expected goals

1,41–1,70

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,540%

@2.52EV+0%

Over 2,560%

@1.46

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance DAC or draw (X2)69%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance DAC or draw (X2)69%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Matej Trusa to score28%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Matej Trusa to score28%
Julien Eymard Bationo to be booked25%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 3.562% probability@1.72PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
X · Draw26% probability@3.92PinnacleEV+3%reference odds
Under 3.562% probability@1.65BetsafeEV+3%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Žilina	X	2 · DAC
Betsafe	2.90	3.50	2.10
LeoVegas	2.85	3.55	2.10
Nordicbet	2.90	3.50	2.10
Pinnacle	3.06	EV+ 3% 3.92	2.11

Odds updated 18 Oct, 12:35

Odds movement

1+4 %

34 %29 %

2.95 → 3.06

X+1 %

27 %22 %

3.87 → 3.92

20 %

46 %41 %

2.11 → 2.11

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 12/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

8 matches

Žilina 3Draw 2DAC 3

Goals: 11–10 (⌀ 2,6)

Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

MSK Zilina are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.
MSK Zilina have scored in 10 consecutive league matches.
DAC are unbeaten in their last 10 league matches.
DAC have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
MSK Zilina win 57% of their home matches all-time (37 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Žilina

DAC

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Žilina (25–19)

DAC (28–5)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Žilina

DAC

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Žilina

DAC

The teams in numbers

Performance	Žilina	DAC
Points	21	23
xPoints	13.4	17.1
xG per match	1.7	2.3
xGA per match	1.6	1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.34	0.51
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.23	0.12

Playing style	Žilina	DAC
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.32
Field tilt	0.52	0.54
xT per match	1.1	1.5
xTA per match	1.1	0.73
Won balls, offensive half	21	25
Pressing intensity	0.22	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.28	0.33
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.25	0.28
Entries into the box per match	14	15
Entries into the box against	13	12
Pass completion %	0.77	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.74	0.74
Passes per match	385	382
Passes against per match	314	284
Switches of play per match	20.9	41
Long balls per match	31	47

Set pieces	Žilina	DAC
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.02
Corners per match	5.6	5.2
Corners against per match	5.2	4.9
xG per corner	0.03	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.43	0.49
First touch, defensive corners %	0.63	0.52

Other	Žilina	DAC
Throw-in control	0.75	0.74

The goalkeepers	David Sipos (Žilina)	Leandro Filipe de Almeida Dornelles (DAC)
Saves	35	22
Save %	70%	82%
xG prevented	44%	58%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Žilina

Fixtures, form & tips

DAC

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Žilina vs DAC according to our model?

The model gives DAC a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Žilina 33%, draw 26%, DAC 41%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Žilina vs DAC?

The model expects 1.41 goals (xG) for Žilina and 1.70 for DAC, 3.11 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Žilina or draw (1X) 59%, DAC or draw (X2) 67% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.