01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Košice or draw (X2)69%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Slovak Super League12°1,4 mm18 km/h
Läs på svenska
Zemplín MichalovceLow block & direct1–1
KošicePossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Košice (43%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.67 (+4 %)
Zemplín Michalovce vs Košice · Slovak Super League
1 · Zemplín Michalovce 31%X 26%43% Košice · 2
31%
26%
43%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Zemplín Michalovce vs Košice (Slovak Super League, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Zemplín Michalovce win 31%, draw 26%, Košice win 43%. Expected goals (xG): Zemplín Michalovce 1.39, Košice 1.72. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Zemplín Michalovce or draw 57%, Košice or draw 69%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Zemplín Michalovce – Košice
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Košice's recent form and statistical edge suggest they are the likelier victors against Zemplín Michalovce. The visitors have scored in their last nine league matches, showcasing a consistent attacking threat. In contrast, the hosts' defensive frailties are reflected in their expected goals against (1.7 per match), which is higher than Košice's 1.5. This defensive vulnerability could be exploited by Košice's possession-based, high-pressing style.
While the head-to-head record shows Košice leading with three wins from four encounters, the sample size is small and less significant than current form and expected goals. Michalovce's direct approach might create opportunities, yet their expected goals of 1.39 pales in comparison to Košice's 1.72. The model's most likely scoreline is actually 1-1, slightly ahead of 1-2, though both scenarios reflect Košice's edge, aligning with their 43% model probability to win.
Despite the attacking prowess on display, the model hints at a 60% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability of both teams scoring. Košice's effective high press, generating an xG of 0.37 within eight seconds of winning the ball, is particularly noteworthy. Michalovce's comparative figure of 0.14 indicates a lesser ability to capitalize on quick turnovers.
The betting market offers a compelling opportunity: under 3.5 goals at 1.62 odds with Betsafe and Nordicbet, with the model rating this outcome at 62%, providing a 1% edge. While it might seem counterintuitive given the high likelihood for over 2.5 goals, this bet is a calculated move, offering value due to the odds provided. The safest prediction leans towards a Košice victory, with an eye on the under 3.5 goals market for bettors seeking value.
Zemplín MichalovceForm WWLWL
League ranking xG #10xGA #8xT #10xP/match #9Points #7
Key players
- Abdul ZubairuCDMxG 0.08 · xT 0.18
- Tornike DzotsenidzeCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
- Ben CottrellCAMxG 0.13 · xT 0.13
KošiceForm DWLWD
League ranking xG #4xGA #5xT #4xP/match #3Points #6
Key players
- Dominik KruzliakCBxG 0.14 · xT 0.08
- Matej MadlenakLWBxG 0.10 · xT 0.20
- Osman KakayRWxG 0.21 · xT 0.17
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Zemplín Michalovce 31% · Draw 26% · Košice 43%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FC Kosice 2018Båda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 4,76fair 6,41-26 %
MissMatchresultat - MFK Zemplin MichalovceBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 7,02fair 9,77-28 %
MissMatch prediction: Zemplín Michalovce – Košice
Predicted score matrix
Košice →
Zemplín Michalovce →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.8%
0–17.3%
0–26.6%
0–33.8%
0–4+2.4%
1
1–05.9%
1–111.0%
1–29.2%
1–35.2%
1–4+3.3%
2
2–04.3%
2–17.4%
2–26.4%
2–33.7%
2–4+2.3%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.4%
3–23.0%
3–31.7%
3–4+1.1%
4+
4+–00.9%
4+–11.6%
4+–21.4%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.2-17%
- 4.0-17%
- 5.0-27%
Expected goals
1,39–1,72
Both teams to score
62%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
113%
222%
322%
417%
5+20%
Under 2,540%
@2.45
Over 2,560%
@1.49
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Košice or draw (X2)69%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Aleksa Maras to score25%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score62%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Aleksa Maras to score25%
- Sebastián Kóša to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 3.562% probability@1.67PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
- X · Draw26% probability@3.89PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
- Under 3.562% probability@1.62BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Zemplín Michalovce | X | 2 · Košice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.02 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
| Nordicbet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.02 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13 | EV+ 1% 3.89 | 2.09 |
Odds updated 18 Oct, 12:15
Odds movement
1+5 %
33 %28 %
2.97 → 3.13
X+5 %
27 %22 %
3.72 → 3.89
2-3 %
48 %43 %
2.15 → 2.09
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 11/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesZemplín Michalovce 1Draw 0Košice 3
Goals: 7–10 (⌀ 4,2)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FC Kosice have scored in 9 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Zemplín Michalovce
Košice
Zemplín Michalovce (9–14)
Košice (22–19)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Zemplín Michalovce
Košice
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Zemplín Michalovce
Košice
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Zemplín Michalovce | Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13 | 13 |
| xPoints | 12.3 | 14.5 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.37 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.33 | 0.3 |
| Playing style | Zemplín Michalovce | Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| xT per match | 0.89 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 0.94 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 33 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 18 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 286 | 327 |
| Passes against per match | 347 | 373 |
| Switches of play per match | 11.8 | 14.3 |
| Long balls per match | 26 | 30 |
| Set pieces | Zemplín Michalovce | Košice |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Corners against per match | 7.4 | 5.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| Other | Zemplín Michalovce | Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Adam Jakubech (Zemplín Michalovce) | Matus Kira (Košice) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 42 | 24 |
| Save % | 76% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 61% | 56% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Zemplín Michalovce vs Košice according to our model?
The model gives Košice a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zemplín Michalovce 31%, draw 26%, Košice 43%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Zemplín Michalovce vs Košice?
The model expects 1.39 goals (xG) for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.72 for Košice, 3.11 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Zemplín Michalovce or draw (1X) 57%, Košice or draw (X2) 69% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.