01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Malmö FF or draw (X2)67%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Swedish AllsvenskanGuldfågeln Arena, Kalmar15°22,3 mm43 km/h
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Kalmar FF2–2
The model's lean: 2 · Malmö FF (37%)
Malmö FFKalmar FF – Malmö FF · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Kalmar FF 36%X 27%37% Malmö FF · 2
36%
27%
37%
Final score
2 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Kalmar FF 36% · Draw 27% · Malmö FF 37%
Match prediction: Kalmar FF – Malmö FF
Predicted score matrix
Malmö FF →
Kalmar FF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.2%
0–18.5%
0–26.6%
0–33.3%
0–4+1.7%
1
1–07.5%
1–112.1%
1–28.8%
1–34.4%
1–4+2.3%
2
2–05.2%
2–17.8%
2–25.9%
2–32.9%
2–4+1.5%
3
3–02.3%
3–13.5%
3–22.6%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.6%
4+–21.2%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-18%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.1-08%
Expected goals
1,33–1,50
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.25EV+4%
Over 2,554%
@1.70
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Malmö FF or draw (X2)67%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Malmö FF37% probability@2.84PinnacleEV+5%
- Under 2.546% probability@2.25Bet365EV+4%
- Under 3.568% probability@1.50Bet365EV+3%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Kalmar FF | X | 2 · Malmö FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.70 | EV+ 5% 2.84 |
Odds updated 20 Jul, 18:08
Odds movement
1-7 %
41 %36 %
2.58 → 2.40
X-2 %
28 %23 %
3.79 → 3.70
2+10 %
38 %33 %
2.58 → 2.84
Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 20/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Kalmar FF vs Malmö FF according to our model?
The model gives Malmö FF a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kalmar FF 36%, draw 27%, Malmö FF 37%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.