01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Djurgården to win62%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
Swedish AllsvenskanGamla Ullevi, Göteborg18°25 km/h
Läs på svenska
Örgryte0–0
The model's lean: 2 · Djurgården (62%)
Best value by the model: 1 · Örgryte @ 8.00 (+45 %)
DjurgårdenÖrgryte – Djurgården · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Örgryte 18%X 19%62% Djurgården · 2
18%
19%
62%
Final score
0 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Örgryte 18% · Draw 19% · Djurgården 62%
Match prediction: Örgryte – Djurgården
Predicted score matrix
Djurgården →
Örgryte →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.5%
0–17.1%
0–28.2%
0–36.2%
0–4+5.9%
1
1–03.6%
1–18.8%
1–29.7%
1–37.3%
1–4+6.9%
2
2–02.2%
2–15.0%
2–25.7%
2–34.3%
2–4+4.1%
3
3–00.9%
3–12.0%
3–22.2%
3–31.7%
3–4+1.6%
4+
4+–00.3%
4+–10.7%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.6%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-210%
- 2.1-19%
- 3.0-28%
- 4.1-37%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,17–2,25
Both teams to score
62%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,40
111%
219%
322%
419%
5+26%
Under 2,533%
@2.88
Over 2,567%
@1.40
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Djurgården to win62%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score62%
- Over 2.5 goals67%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Örgryte18% probability@8.00Bet365EV+45%
- 1 · Örgryte18% probability@7.56PinnacleEV+37%
- X · Draw19% probability@5.77PinnacleEV+12%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Örgryte | X | 2 · Djurgården |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | EV+ 45% 8.00 | EV+ 2% 5.25 | 1.36 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 37% 7.56 | EV+ 12% 5.77 | 1.35 |
Odds updated 20 Jul, 18:08
Odds movement
1+3 %
15 %10 %
7.32 → 7.56
X+4 %
19 %14 %
5.54 → 5.77
2-2 %
73 %68 %
1.37 → 1.35
Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 20/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Örgryte vs Djurgården according to our model?
The model gives Djurgården a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Örgryte 18%, draw 19%, Djurgården 62%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.