Lommel vs Gent Prediction: Away win 60% (31 Oct 2026)

Belgian Pro League31 October 2026Soevereinstadion, Lommel10°10 km/h

Läs på svenska

LommelCounter-attacks & crosses

GentBalanced & physical

The model's lean: 2 · Gent (60%)

1 · Lommel 18%X 23%60% Gent · 2

18%

23%

60%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Lommel vs Gent (Belgian Pro League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Lommel win 18%, draw 23%, Gent win 60%. Expected goals (xG): Lommel 0.95, Gent 1.96. Most likely score: 0-2 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Lommel or draw 40%, Gent or draw 82%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

Bet on this match

NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet

BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe

LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

Analysis: Lommel – Gent

Anna Karlsson · 23 October 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

KAA Gent's unbeaten run of nine league matches sets the stage for their visit to Lommel, a team they are statistically poised to overcome. With a 60% probability of victory, the visitors carry a clear edge into this fixture. The most likely scorelines of 0-2, 1-1, and 0-1 suggest a tussle that leans in favor of Gent, emphasizing their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. They have scored in each of their last nine matches, a streak that bolsters their confidence.

Despite Lommel's penchant for counterattacks and crosses, their defense remains vulnerable, with an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.7 per match. This weakness is stark compared to Gent's 0.78 xGA, highlighting a key area where the visitors can capitalize. Gent's balanced and physical style is likely to neutralize Lommel's strategies, reinforcing the model's expectation of a win for the visitors.

Anticipate a 0-2 win for the visitors, with a lean towards over 2.5 goals at 56%, aligning with Gent's potent attack.

Lommel

Form WLLDW

League ranking xG #17xGA #13xT #18xP/match #13Points #9

Key players

Lucas SchoofsCMxG 0.10 · xT 0.05
Jason van DuivenRWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.15
Tom ReynersLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.08

Gent

Form WWDWW

League ranking xG #11xGA #1xT #13xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Tiago AraujoLBxG 0.08 · xT 0.22
Maksim PaskotsiCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.06
Siebe Van der HeydenCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.10

Match prediction: Lommel – Gent

Predicted score matrix

Gent →

Lommel →

0–05.7%

0–110.4%

0–210.5%

0–36.8%

0–4+5.3%

1–04.9%

1–110.4%

1–29.9%

1–36.5%

1–4+5.0%

2–02.4%

2–14.8%

2–24.7%

2–33.1%

2–4+2.4%

3–00.8%

3–11.5%

3–21.5%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.8%

4+–00.2%

4+–10.4%

4+–20.4%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.0-210%
2.1-110%
3.0-110%
4.1-210%
5.0-37%

Expected goals

0,95–1,96

Both teams to score

53%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

115%

223%

322%

416%

5+17%

Under 2,544%

–

Over 2,556%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Gent to win60%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Gent to win60%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Josué Yamir Vergara Ortega to score25%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score53%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Josué Yamir Vergara Ortega to score25%
Dries Wouters to be booked19%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Key facts

KAA Gent are unbeaten in their last 9 league matches.
KAA Gent have scored in 9 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Lommel

Gent

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Lommel (9–9)

Gent (15–4)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Lommel

Gent

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Lommel

Gent

The teams in numbers

Performance	Lommel	Gent
Points	11	22
xPoints	9.8	14.9
xG per match	1.1	1.3
xGA per match	1.7	0.78
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.1	0.17
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.27	0.17

Playing style	Lommel	Gent
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.3
Field tilt	0.3	0.42
xT per match	0.64	0.93
xTA per match	1.5	0.89
Won balls, offensive half	19	24
Pressing intensity	0.26	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.25
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.18	0.2
Entries into the box per match	9	11
Entries into the box against	20	11
Pass completion %	0.76	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.74	0.74
Passes per match	348	399
Passes against per match	450	457
Switches of play per match	23.3	39.7
Long balls per match	33	45

Set pieces	Lommel	Gent
xG from free kicks	0.07	0.04
Corners per match	3.7	4.4
Corners against per match	8	4.2
xG per corner	0.04	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.53	0.4
First touch, defensive corners %	0.55	0.65

Other	Lommel	Gent
Throw-in control	0.68	0.68

The goalkeepers	Matthias Pieklak (Lommel)	Davy Roef (Gent)
Saves	28	22
Save %	78%	85%
xG prevented	77%	56%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Lommel

Fixtures, form & tips

Gent

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Lommel vs Gent according to our model?

The model gives Gent a 60% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Lommel 18%, draw 23%, Gent 60%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Lommel vs Gent?

The model expects 0.95 goals (xG) for Lommel and 1.96 for Gent, 2.91 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Lommel or draw (1X) 40%, Gent or draw (X2) 82% and no draw (12) 77%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.