Belgian Pro LeagueStayen, Sint-Truiden9°7 km/h

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    Sint-TruidenSint-TruidenPossession & high press
    vs
    OH LeuvenOH LeuvenLow block & direct
    The model's lean: 1 · Sint-Truiden (66%)

    Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven · Belgian Pro League

    1 · Sint-Truiden 66%X 21%13% OH Leuven · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven (Belgian Pro League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Sint-Truiden win 66%, draw 21%, OH Leuven win 13%. Expected goals (xG): Sint-Truiden 2.18, OH Leuven 0.94. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%. Double chance: Sint-Truiden or draw 87%, OH Leuven or draw 34%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Sint-Truiden – OH Leuven

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    Sint-Truiden's recent form might not inspire confidence, but the numbers suggest a different story. Despite a run of three consecutive losses, the hosts have the statistical edge over OH Leuven. The model assigns a hefty 66% win probability to the home side, highlighting their potential dominance in this fixture. While past encounters between these teams show a balanced record since 2023, this small sample of eight matches pales against the weight of form and expected goals.

    The expected goals (xG) figures favor Sint-Truiden significantly. With an xG of 2.18 compared to Leuven's 0.94, it’s clear that the home side is generating higher quality chances. This aligns with their playing style: a possession-based game complemented by a high press. In contrast, their visitors rely on a low defensive block and direct play, which has not translated effectively into goals or points this season.

    The most probable scorelines — 2-0 and 2-1 — further emphasize Sint-Truiden's potential to secure a win. The hosts have a slight edge in xPoints and overall points, lending further credence to their superiority. Furthermore, although the over 2.5 goals probability sits at 60%, and both teams to score at 54%, the lean is towards a controlled Sint-Truiden victory. Given their defensive frailties indicated by a 1.7 xGA, a clean sheet isn't guaranteed, but their attack should prevail.

    For those seeking value, bet365 offers odds of 2.10 for a Sint-Truiden win. This presents a reasonable opportunity given their statistical dominance and the visitors' defensive weaknesses. A 2-0 or 2-1 result looks likely, with the hosts poised to break their losing streak against a struggling OH Leuven side.

    Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden
    Form LWLLL
    League ranking xG #3xGA #12xT #1xP/match #12Points #12
    Key players
    • Wolke JanssensCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.09
    • Visar MusliuCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
    • Abdoulaye SissakoCMxG 0.07 · xT 0.12
    OH LeuvenOH Leuven
    Form LLDWD
    League ranking xG #12xGA #18xT #6xP/match #18Points #15
    Key players
    • Wouter GeorgeRWxG 0.10 · xT 0.31
    • Jamie LawrenceCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.11
    • Siebe SchrijversLWxG 0.17 · xT 0.12

    Match prediction: Sint-Truiden – OH Leuven

    Predicted score matrix

    OH Leuven →
    Sint-Truiden →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.7%
    0–13.9%
    0–21.9%
    0–30.6%
    0–4+0.2%
    1
    1–09.4%
    1–19.3%
    1–24.2%
    1–31.3%
    1–4+0.4%
    2
    2–010.5%
    2–19.9%
    2–24.6%
    2–31.5%
    2–4+0.4%
    3
    3–07.6%
    3–17.2%
    3–23.4%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–06.9%
    4+–16.5%
    4+–23.1%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-011%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.1-19%
    5. 5.3-08%
    Expected goals
    2,18–0,94
    Both teams to score
    54%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    –
    Over 2,560%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sint-Truiden to win66%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    56%

    Fair odds

    1.79

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Sint-Truiden to win66%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%
    • Samed Baždar to score37%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score54%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%
    • Samed Baždar to score37%
    • Birger Danny Verstraete to be booked23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    8 matches
    Sint-Truiden 3Draw 2OH Leuven 3
    Goals: 9–12 (⌀ 2,6)

    Head-to-head based on Belgian Pro League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Sint-Truidense VV have lost 3 in a row.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Sint-Truiden
    OH Leuven
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Sint-Truiden (15–16)
    OH Leuven (6–14)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Sint-Truiden
    Visar Musliu: 311 passningar, xT 0.41MusliuRobert-Jan Vanwesemael: 274 passningar, xT 0.81VanwesemaelAbdoulaye Sissako: 244 passningar, xT 0.6SissakoTaiga Hata: 198 passningar, xT 1.18HataRyan Merlen: 191 passningar, xT 0.8MerlenLeo Brian Kokubo: 172 passningar, xT 0.08KokuboWolke Janssens: 164 passningar, xT 0.18JanssensIlias Sebaoui: 162 passningar, xT 1.32SebaouiShogo Taniguchi: 148 passningar, xT 0.23TaniguchiRyotaro Araki: 123 passningar, xT 0.23ArakiJoedrick Pupe: 83 passningar, xT 0.18Pupe
    OH Leuven
    Jamie Lawrence: 241 passningar, xT 0.53LawrenceNoë Georges Dussenne: 205 passningar, xT 0.24DussenneOscar Gil: 158 passningar, xT 0.39GilBirger Verstraete: 132 passningar, xT 0.31VerstraeteEwoud Pletinckx: 131 passningar, xT 0.12PletinckxWouter George: 127 passningar, xT 0.81GeorgeDavis Opoku: 105 passningar, xT 0.31OpokuSiebe Schrijvers: 103 passningar, xT 0.35SchrijversRoggerio Nyakossi: 100 passningar, xT 0.09NyakossiDani Van Den Heuvel: 95 passningar, xT 0.05HeuvelAbdoul Karim Traoré: 51 passningar, xT 0.38Traoré
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Sint-Truiden
    Visar Musliu: 311 passningar, xT 0.41MusliuRobert-Jan Vanwesemael: 274 passningar, xT 0.81VanwesemaelAbdoulaye Sissako: 244 passningar, xT 0.6SissakoTaiga Hata: 198 passningar, xT 1.18HataRyan Merlen: 191 passningar, xT 0.8MerlenLeo Brian Kokubo: 172 passningar, xT 0.08KokuboWolke Janssens: 164 passningar, xT 0.18JanssensIlias Sebaoui: 162 passningar, xT 1.32SebaouiShogo Taniguchi: 148 passningar, xT 0.23TaniguchiRyotaro Araki: 123 passningar, xT 0.23ArakiJoedrick Pupe: 83 passningar, xT 0.18Pupe
    OH Leuven
    Jamie Lawrence: 241 passningar, xT 0.53LawrenceNoë Georges Dussenne: 205 passningar, xT 0.24DussenneOscar Gil: 158 passningar, xT 0.39GilBirger Verstraete: 132 passningar, xT 0.31VerstraeteEwoud Pletinckx: 131 passningar, xT 0.12PletinckxWouter George: 127 passningar, xT 0.81GeorgeDavis Opoku: 105 passningar, xT 0.31OpokuSiebe Schrijvers: 103 passningar, xT 0.35SchrijversRoggerio Nyakossi: 100 passningar, xT 0.09NyakossiDani Van Den Heuvel: 95 passningar, xT 0.05HeuvelAbdoul Karim Traoré: 51 passningar, xT 0.38Traoré

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceSint-TruidenOH Leuven
    Points85
    xPoints10.17.6
    xG per match1.91.2
    xGA per match1.72.1
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.280.29
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.310.2
    Playing styleSint-TruidenOH Leuven
    Build-up efficiency0.290.31
    Field tilt0.60.44
    xT per match1.81.2
    xTA per match0.871.3
    Won balls, offensive half2731
    Pressing intensity0.230.24
    Pressing efficiency0.30.32
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.260.26
    Entries into the box per match1814
    Entries into the box against1318
    Pass completion %0.790.74
    Pass completion % under pressure0.720.71
    Passes per match451346
    Passes against per match326382
    Switches of play per match4026.5
    Long balls per match4537
    Set piecesSint-TruidenOH Leuven
    xG from free kicks0.110.03
    Corners per match5.43.4
    Corners against per match3.78.4
    xG per corner0.030.04
    xGA per corner against0.050.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.40.7
    First touch, defensive corners %0.70.55
    OtherSint-TruidenOH Leuven
    Throw-in control0.770.71
    The goalkeepersLeo Brian Kokubo (Sint-Truiden)Dani Van Den Heuvel (OH Leuven)
    Saves2821
    Save %68%62%
    xG prevented43%42%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Sint-Truiden
    Fixtures, form & tips
    OH Leuven
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven according to our model?

    The model gives Sint-Truiden a 66% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sint-Truiden 66%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 13%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?

    The model expects 2.18 goals (xG) for Sint-Truiden and 0.94 for OH Leuven, 3.12 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Sint-Truiden or draw (1X) 87%, OH Leuven or draw (X2) 34% and no draw (12) 79%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.