01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Fenerbahçe to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Champions League14°13 km/h
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FenerbahçeCounter-attacks & crossesvs
Slavia PrahaLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Fenerbahçe (48%)
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha · Champions League
1 · Fenerbahçe 48%X 25%27% Slavia Praha · 2
48%
25%
27%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha (Champions League, Tuesday, 20 October 2026): Fenerbahçe win 48%, draw 25%, Slavia Praha win 27%. Expected goals (xG): Fenerbahçe 1.62, Slavia Praha 1.22. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Fenerbahçe or draw 73%, Slavia Praha or draw 52%. Prediction updated Monday, 12 October 2026.
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Analysis: Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT:
A glaring 15 to 0 points advantage for Fenerbahçe sets the stage against Slavia Praha. Fenerbahçe come into this match riding a wave of confidence with a seven-game unbeaten streak, while Slavia are reeling from four consecutive losses. Despite this, Slavia's higher xG per match of 1.9 hints at a side capable of creating chances, though their porous defense, with an xGA of 1.7, often lets them down.
Fenerbahçe's expected goals sit at 1.62, compared to Slavia's 1.22, which aligns with the model's 48% win probability for the Turkish side. Yet, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, suggesting a tighter affair than current form might imply. Fenerbahçe's counter-attacking style could exploit Slavia's defensive vulnerabilities, but their own defensive strength—an xGA of just 0.69—might stifle Prague's direct play.
For those seeking value, look to the 2-1 scoreline probability at 9% and over 2.5 goals market at 54%. The numbers suggest a narrow Fenerbahçe victory in a match likely to see both teams find the net, with a tilt towards over 2.5 goals.
FenerbahçeForm WWDWD
League ranking xG #25xGA #10xT #32xP/match #12Points #1
Key players
- Anderson Souza ConceiçãoFxG 0.81 · xT 0.04
- Milan SkriniarCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.05
- Jayden OosterwoldeLBxG 0.07 · xT 0.08
Slavia PrahaForm DLLLL
League ranking xG #16xGA #33xT #37xP/match #9Points #53
Key players
- Lukas ProvodFxG 0.17 · xT 0.24
- Tomas ChoryFxG 0.18 · xT 0.01
- David DouderaRWxG 0.15 · xT 0.44
Match prediction: Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha
Predicted score matrix
Slavia Praha →
Fenerbahçe →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.2%
0–16.8%
0–24.4%
0–31.8%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–09.1%
1–111.9%
1–27.1%
1–32.9%
1–4+1.2%
2
2–07.6%
2–19.3%
2–25.7%
2–32.3%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.1%
3–15.0%
3–23.1%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–02.4%
4+–12.9%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,62–1,22
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
–
Over 2,554%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Fenerbahçe to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Archibald Norman Brown to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Archibald Norman Brown to score26%
- Tomáš Holeš to be booked19%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Key facts
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.
- SK Slavia Prague have lost 4 in a row.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Fenerbahçe
Slavia Praha
Fenerbahçe (9–4)
Slavia Praha (2–3)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Fenerbahçe
Slavia Praha
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Fenerbahçe
Slavia Praha
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15 | 0 |
| xPoints | 13.6 | 2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| xGA per match | 0.69 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| Playing style | Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.55 | 0.33 |
| xT per match | 0.99 | 0.89 |
| xTA per match | 0.81 | 1.7 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 22 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| Passes per match | 438 | 198 |
| Passes against per match | 335 | 381 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 43 |
| Set pieces | Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Corners per match | 5.3 | 6.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.2 | 9.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| Other | Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| The goalkeepers | Ederson Santana de Moraes (Fenerbahçe) | Jakub Markovič (Slavia Praha) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 11 | 4 |
| Save % | 79% | 57% |
| xG prevented | 66% | 36% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Napoli – Bodø/Glimt20 October 2026
- Stuttgart – Atlético de Madrid20 October 2026
- Manchester City – AEK Athens20 October 2026
- Paris Saint-Germain – FC Barcelona20 October 2026
- Sabah – Borussia Dortmund20 October 2026
- Roma – Slovan Bratislava20 October 2026
- Porto – PSV Eindhoven20 October 2026
- Liverpool – Villarreal20 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha according to our model?
The model gives Fenerbahçe a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Fenerbahçe 48%, draw 25%, Slavia Praha 27%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
The model expects 1.62 goals (xG) for Fenerbahçe and 1.22 for Slavia Praha, 2.84 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Fenerbahçe or draw (1X) 73%, Slavia Praha or draw (X2) 52% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.