01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Sigma Olomouc to win48%
- Under 3.5 goals75%
Czech First League9°0,6 mm12 km/h
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ZlínLow block & direct1–1
Sigma OlomoucCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 2 · Sigma Olomouc (48%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 1.92 (+3 %)
Zlín vs Sigma Olomouc · Czech First League
1 · Zlín 24%X 28%48% Sigma Olomouc · 2
24%
28%
48%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Zlín vs Sigma Olomouc (Czech First League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Zlín win 24%, draw 28%, Sigma Olomouc win 48%. Expected goals (xG): Zlín 1.00, Sigma Olomouc 1.52. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: Zlín or draw 52%, Sigma Olomouc or draw 76%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Zlín – Sigma Olomouc
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
TEXT CONTAINS AN ERROR: In the final paragraph, "a 1-0 victory to the visitors" is incorrect — a 1-0 scoreline would mean the home team (Zlín) wins, not Sigma Olomouc. The facts list 0-1 (Sigma Olomouc winning away) as a top scoreline, consistent with the earlier correct reference to "a 0-1 victory for Sigma Olomouc."
Corrected text:
Sigma Olomouc's counter-attacking prowess and reliance on crosses have been pivotal so far this season, propelling them to a solid position with 20 points. This tactical approach contrasts sharply with Zlín's low defense and direct play, which has left them languishing at the bottom with just a single point. The expected goals model underscores a clear advantage for the visitors, projecting them to net 1.52 goals compared to the hosts' 1.00.
The numbers suggest a tough evening for Zlín. While their style aims to disrupt and frustrate, the defensive liabilities are glaring, conceded by an xGA of 1.8 per match. This vulnerability is something Sigma Olomouc can exploit, given their record of 1.1 xG per match. Even though the head-to-head record since 2023 is evenly split with one win apiece, the sample size is small and hardly overshadows the broader form and metrics favoring the away team.
Looking at the probable scorelines, the model points to a 1-1 draw as the most likely outcome at 13%, followed closely by a 0-1 victory for Sigma Olomouc at 12%. These predictions are consistent with the relatively low overall goal expectancy of the match. The under 2.5 goals market sits at 46%, with bookmakers like Betsafe, LeoVegas, and Nordicbet offering odds of 1.88, providing a small value edge given the model's 54% likelihood.
In essence, while Zlín may hope to slow the game down and capitalize on rare chances, Sigma Olomouc’s ability to counter-attack effectively positions them as favorites. A tight match seems likely, with a 0-1 victory to the visitors the most plausible scenario. For those eyeing value, the under 2.5 goals market presents a slight edge worth considering.
ZlínForm LLDLL
League ranking xG #16xGA #14xT #16xP/match #15Points #16
Key players
- Marian PisojaRWxG 0.03 · xT 0.04
- Daniel ŠmigaFxG 0.19 · xT 0.09
- Jakub CerninCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
Sigma OlomoucForm WWLDW
League ranking xG #13xGA #10xT #13xP/match #12Points #4
Key players
- Abdoulaye SyllaCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
- Péter BaráthCDMxG 0.21 · xT 0.04
- Dominik JanosekCMxG 0.10 · xT 0.11
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Zlín 24% · Draw 28% · Sigma Olomouc 48%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - ZlínBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 14,12fair 20,11-30 %
MissMatchresultat - Sigma OlomoucBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,59fair 8,87-37 %
MissMatch prediction: Zlín – Sigma Olomouc
Predicted score matrix
Sigma Olomouc →
Zlín →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.4%
0–111.8%
0–29.3%
0–34.7%
0–4+2.5%
1
1–07.7%
1–112.6%
1–29.3%
1–34.7%
1–4+2.5%
2
2–04.0%
2–16.1%
2–24.7%
2–32.4%
2–4+1.3%
3
3–01.3%
3–12.0%
3–21.6%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–00.4%
4+–10.6%
4+–20.5%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-112%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.0-29%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,00–1,52
Both teams to score
50%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,508%
120%
226%
321%
414%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
@1.92EV+3%
Over 2,546%
@1.78
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Sigma Olomouc to win48%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Václav Sejk to score37%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score50%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Václav Sejk to score37%
- Abdoulaye Sylla to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.554% probability@1.92BetsafeEV+3%reference odds
- Under 2.554% probability@1.92LeoVegasEV+3%reference odds
- Under 2.554% probability@1.92NordicbetEV+3%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Zlín | X | 2 · Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 2% 4.20 | 3.55 | 1.75 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 1% 4.15 | 3.55 | 1.75 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 2% 4.20 | 3.55 | 1.75 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Sigma Olomouc win since 21 October — the odds have shortened from 1.88 to 1.75 (−7%).
1+12 %
26 %21 %
3.70 → 4.15
X+4 %
29 %24 %
3.40 → 3.55
2-7 %
53 %48 %
1.88 → 1.75
Over 2,5-3 %
54 %49 %
1.80 → 1.75
LeoVegas · 15 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesZlín 1Draw 0Sigma Olomouc 1
Goals: 5–1 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Zlín
Sigma Olomouc
Zlín (8–23)
Sigma Olomouc (18–14)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Zlín
Sigma Olomouc
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Zlín
Sigma Olomouc
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Zlín | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 1 | 20 |
| xPoints | 10.5 | 12.9 |
| xG per match | 0.74 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.2 |
| Playing style | Zlín | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| xT per match | 0.62 | 0.89 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 18 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 8 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 17 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.66 | 0.8 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| Passes per match | 218 | 396 |
| Passes against per match | 386 | 311 |
| Switches of play per match | 24.1 | 25.3 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Zlín | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.6 | 6.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.34 | 0.6 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.65 |
| Other | Zlín | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Stanislav Dostal (Zlín) | Jan Koutny (Sigma Olomouc) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 31 | 35 |
| Save % | 60% | 75% |
| xG prevented | 32% | 61% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Zlín vs Sigma Olomouc according to our model?
The model gives Sigma Olomouc a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zlín 24%, draw 28%, Sigma Olomouc 48%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Zlín vs Sigma Olomouc?
The model expects 1.00 goals (xG) for Zlín and 1.52 for Sigma Olomouc, 2.52 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Zlín or draw (1X) 52%, Sigma Olomouc or draw (X2) 76% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.