01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X)63%
- Under 3.5 goals76%
Czech First League9°0,5 mm14 km/h
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Zbrojovka BrnoPossession control2–2
Bohemians PrahaLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Zbrojovka Brno (36%)Best value by the model: 2 · Bohemians Praha @ 3.15 (+7 %)
Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians Praha · Czech First League
1 · Zbrojovka Brno 36%X 30%34% Bohemians Praha · 2
36%
30%
34%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians Praha (Czech First League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Zbrojovka Brno win 36%, draw 30%, Bohemians Praha win 34%. Expected goals (xG): Zbrojovka Brno 1.24, Bohemians Praha 1.26. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Zbrojovka Brno or draw 66%, Bohemians Praha or draw 64%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians Praha
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
With both teams nearly neck-and-neck, Zbrojovka Brno holds a slight edge in terms of recent performance, accumulating 19 points to Bohemians Praha's 15. The clash is poised to be a tightly contested affair, with each side's style further complicating the prediction. Brno's approach of controlling possession might clash with the visitors' defensive discipline and direct counter-attacks.
The expected goals paint a picture of near parity: Brno at 1.24 and Bohemians at 1.26. This suggests a narrow margin for error. Although Brno shows a marginal advantage in expected points and quick transition effectiveness, the model’s probabilities (36% for Brno and 34% for Bohemians) indicate the match could swing either way. A 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely result, with a 13% chance, while both a 1-0 victory for Brno and a 0-1 triumph for Bohemians stand at 10%.
While the over/under for 2.5 goals leans slightly under at 46%, the chance of both teams scoring remains a coin flip at 51%. This reinforces the perception of a game built on slender margins and potentially limited scoring opportunities. The visitors' xG per match edges just above Brno, but the latter’s incisiveness in transitional play could prove decisive.
Bohemians offer a compelling betting angle with a significant edge at odds of 3.2, available with Betsafe and Nordicbet, where the model shows a 9% value. For those inclined towards a calculated risk, backing the visitors might reflect better value in a match that promises to be a tight contest between two closely matched sides.
Zbrojovka BrnoForm LWLLW
League ranking xG #8xGA #6xT #8xP/match #3Points #6
Key players
- Amadou DanteLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.16
- Jaromír ZmrhalLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.22
- Kauan Carneiro da SilvaCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.09
Bohemians PrahaForm LWLWW
League ranking xG #6xGA #8xT #4xP/match #8Points #10
Key players
- Roman KvětCAMxG 0.12 · xT 0.14
- Ales CermakCMxG 0.28 · xT 0.21
- David LischkaCBxG 0.17 · xT 0.06
Final score
2 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Zbrojovka Brno 36% · Draw 30% · Bohemians Praha 34%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - BohemiansBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 9,82fair 12,20-19 %
MissMatchresultat - FC Zbrojovka BrnoBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 6,97fair 12,70-45 %
MissMatch prediction: Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians Praha
Predicted score matrix
Bohemians Praha →
Zbrojovka Brno →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.6%
0–110.0%
0–26.5%
0–32.8%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–09.8%
1–113.2%
1–28.1%
1–33.4%
1–4+1.4%
2
2–06.3%
2–17.9%
2–25.0%
2–32.1%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–02.6%
3–13.3%
3–22.1%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.1%
4+–11.3%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-110%
- 3.1-010%
- 4.0-09%
- 5.1-28%
Expected goals
1,24–1,26
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,509%
120%
226%
321%
413%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
@1.85EV+0%
Over 2,546%
@1.85
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X)63%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Daniel Vašulín to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Daniel Vašulín to score26%
- Patrik Čavoš to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Bohemians Praha34% probability@3.15BetsafeEV+7%reference odds
- 2 · Bohemians Praha34% probability@3.15NordicbetEV+7%reference odds
- 2 · Bohemians Praha34% probability@3.10LeoVegasEV+6%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Zbrojovka Brno | X | 2 · Bohemians Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.20 | 3.15 | EV+ 7% 3.15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18 | 3.20 | EV+ 6% 3.10 |
| Nordicbet | 2.20 | 3.15 | EV+ 7% 3.15 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 12:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
44 %39 %
2.15 → 2.18
X-2 %
31 %26 %
3.25 → 3.20
2+3 %
32 %27 %
3.00 → 3.10
Over 2,50 %
53 %48 %
1.80 → 1.80
LeoVegas · 15 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Zbrojovka Brno
Bohemians Praha
Zbrojovka Brno (14–14)
Bohemians Praha (11–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Zbrojovka Brno
Bohemians Praha
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Zbrojovka Brno
Bohemians Praha
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Zbrojovka Brno | Bohemians Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19 | 15 |
| xPoints | 17.8 | 14.5 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| Playing style | Zbrojovka Brno | Bohemians Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 0.85 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| Passes per match | 278 | 299 |
| Passes against per match | 373 | 341 |
| Switches of play per match | 20.9 | 22.7 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Zbrojovka Brno | Bohemians Praha |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| Other | Zbrojovka Brno | Bohemians Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| The goalkeepers | Adam Hrdina (Zbrojovka Brno) | Tomas Fruhwald (Bohemians Praha) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 36 | 27 |
| Save % | 75% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 41% | 51% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians Praha according to our model?
The model gives Zbrojovka Brno a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zbrojovka Brno 36%, draw 30%, Bohemians Praha 34%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians Praha?
The model expects 1.24 goals (xG) for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.26 for Bohemians Praha, 2.50 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Zbrojovka Brno or draw (1X) 66%, Bohemians Praha or draw (X2) 64% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.