01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slavia Praha to win75%
- Over 1.5 goals86%
Czech First League9°22 km/h
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Slavia PrahaPossession & high press1–1
Mladá BoleslavPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Slavia Praha (75%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.82 (+2 %)
Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav · Czech First League
1 · Slavia Praha 75%X 15%10% Mladá Boleslav · 2
75%
15%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav (Czech First League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Slavia Praha win 75%, draw 15%, Mladá Boleslav win 10%. Expected goals (xG): Slavia Praha 2.49, Mladá Boleslav 0.90. Most likely score: 2-0 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Slavia Praha or draw 90%, Mladá Boleslav or draw 25%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Slavia Praha – Mladá Boleslav
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
Slavia Praha's remarkable 88% home-win rate over 42 matches stands out, a formidable statistic that cements them as clear favorites against Mladá Boleslav. Their unbeaten streak of 12 league matches only reinforces their dominance, aligning well with the model's 75% probability of a home win. While the visitors' possession control style might aim to frustrate, it is unlikely to topple the high-pressing hosts, who boast a stronger xG and xGA profile.
The likelihood of a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline reflects Slavia's attacking prowess and defensive solidity. With expected goals of 2.49 for the home side versus 0.90 for the visitors, Mladá Boleslav will struggle to penetrate the well-organized defense of the league leaders. Despite the 55% chance for both teams to score, Slavia's past performances suggest this could be a one-sided affair. The small head-to-head sample since 2023 — all wins for Slavia — further underscores the gulf in class.
For bettors seeking value, the under 3.5 goals market offers a slight edge. Betsafe and Nordicbet provide odds of 1.82, where the model sees a 56% chance of hitting, yielding a modest 2% value edge. While Slavia's attacking form could hint at goals, cautious bettors might consider this angle given the value presented.
Slavia PrahaForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #2xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- David ZimaCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.05
- Tomas ChoryFxG 0.73 · xT 0.06
- Tomas HolesCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.25
Mladá BoleslavForm LWLLW
League ranking xG #9xGA #12xT #12xP/match #11Points #3
Key players
- Solomon JohnRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.12
- Martin KralikCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.10
- Jan ZikaCDMxG 0.12 · xT 0.07
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Slavia Praha 75% · Draw 15% · Mladá Boleslav 10%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Slavia PragBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,05fair 3,94-23 %
MissMatchresultat - Mladá BoleslavBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 23,56fair 30,92-24 %
MissMatch prediction: Slavia Praha – Mladá Boleslav
Predicted score matrix
Mladá Boleslav →
Slavia Praha →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.6%
0–12.8%
0–21.4%
0–30.4%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–08.1%
1–17.8%
1–23.4%
1–31.0%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–010.4%
2–19.4%
2–24.3%
2–31.3%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–08.6%
3–17.8%
3–23.5%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–09.8%
4+–18.8%
4+–24.0%
4+–31.2%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-010%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.3-09%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.3-18%
Expected goals
2,49–0,90
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,40
111%
220%
322%
419%
5+26%
Under 2,534%
@2.92
Over 2,566%
@1.35
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slavia Praha to win75%
- Over 2.5 goals66%
- Tomáš Chorý to score38%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals66%
- Tomáš Chorý to score38%
- Martin Králik to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 3.556% probability@1.82BetsafeEV+2%reference odds
- Under 3.556% probability@1.82NordicbetEV+2%reference odds
- Under 4.574% probability@1.35BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Slavia Praha | X | 2 · Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.24 | 5.70 | 8.80 |
| Nordicbet | 1.24 | 5.70 | 8.80 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 09:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
76 %71 %
1.23 → 1.24
X-3 %
18 %13 %
5.90 → 5.70
2-2 %
13 %8 %
9.00 → 8.80
Over 2,5-1 %
70 %65 %
1.37 → 1.35
Nordicbet · 11 recorded price levels · 17/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesSlavia Praha 4Draw 0Mladá Boleslav 0
Goals: 10–1 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Key facts
- SK Slavia Prague are unbeaten in their last 12 league matches.
- SK Slavia Prague win 88% of their home matches all-time (42 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Slavia Praha
Mladá Boleslav
Slavia Praha (26–6)
Mladá Boleslav (18–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Slavia Praha
Mladá Boleslav
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Slavia Praha
Mladá Boleslav
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Slavia Praha | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27 | 20 |
| xPoints | 21 | 13.6 |
| xG per match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 0.86 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.49 | 0.19 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.35 |
| Playing style | Slavia Praha | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| xTA per match | 0.73 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 19 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 8 | 17 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 334 | 408 |
| Passes against per match | 231 | 345 |
| Switches of play per match | 31 | 14.5 |
| Long balls per match | 40 | 25 |
| Set pieces | Slavia Praha | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Corners against per match | 3.8 | 5.7 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| Other | Slavia Praha | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| The goalkeepers | Jakub Markovič (Slavia Praha) | Jiri Floder (Mladá Boleslav) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 19 | 36 |
| Save % | 76% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav according to our model?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 75% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slavia Praha 75%, draw 15%, Mladá Boleslav 10%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 66% and under at 34%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav?
The model expects 2.49 goals (xG) for Slavia Praha and 0.90 for Mladá Boleslav, 3.40 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Slavia Praha or draw (1X) 90%, Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2) 25% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.