01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slavia Praha to win65%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Czech First League11°11 km/h
Läs på svenska
Slavia PrahaPossession & high press0–0
Hradec KrálovéPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Slavia Praha (65%)Best value by the model: 2 · Hradec Králové @ 7.60 (+8 %)
Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové · Czech First League
1 · Slavia Praha 65%X 20%14% Hradec Králové · 2
65%
20%
14%
Prediction summary
Final score 0–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové (Czech First League, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Slavia Praha win 65%, draw 20%, Hradec Králové win 14%. Expected goals (xG): Slavia Praha 2.13, Hradec Králové 0.86. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Slavia Praha or draw 86%, Hradec Králové or draw 35%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Slavia Praha – Hradec Králové
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Slavia Praha's current five-match winning streak paints them as clear favorites against Hradec Králové, who have struggled to keep pace in the Czech First League. The model assigns a 65% win probability to the hosts, bolstered by an impressive run of scoring in 17 straight league matches. Expected goals further underline Slavia's superiority, with a 2.13 projection compared to the visitors' 0.86. This suggests a likely scoreline of 2-0 or 2-1, but the real intrigue lies in the historical head-to-head.
Despite Slavia's heated form, Hradec Králové have proven themselves competitive in past encounters. Across a limited sample of five meetings since 2023, they have a slight upper hand with two wins to Slavia's one. This record injects a note of caution into simply backing the hosts without question. While such head-to-head data carries less weight than current form and xG stats, it hints at Hradec’s potential to disrupt Slavia's rhythm.
Stylistically, both teams favor possession, yet they diverge in execution. Slavia's high press could impose on Hradec's possession control, potentially leading to turnovers and quick transitions. This tactical clash might create an open game, aligning with the 57% chance of over 2.5 goals. However, the model's 51% both teams to score probability suggests that while goals may come, they might not be shared equally.
From a betting angle, Slavia Praha's win could hold value, but the sharper play might be in the goals market. Given the historical average of 3.2 goals per fixture between them and the current form, over 2.5 goals presents a compelling option. The slight edge in xG further supports this wager, indicating likely goalmouth action at both ends.
Slavia PrahaForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #2xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- David ZimaCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.04
- Tomas ChoryFxG 0.88 · xT 0.06
- Tomas HolesCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.21
Hradec KrálovéForm WDWLL
League ranking xG #9xGA #5xT #12xP/match #6Points #10
Key players
- Filip CihakCBxG 0.17 · xT 0.11
- Frantisek CechCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.08
- Jakub UhrincatCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.09
Final score
0 – 0
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Slavia Praha 65% · Draw 20% · Hradec Králové 14%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Hradec KraloveBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 25,81fair 31,60-18 %
MissMatchresultat - Slavia PragBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,84fair 5,16-26 %
MissMatch prediction: Slavia Praha – Hradec Králové
Predicted score matrix
Hradec Králové →
Slavia Praha →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–14.1%
0–21.9%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–010.5%
1–19.5%
1–24.0%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–011.4%
2–19.8%
2–24.2%
2–31.2%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–08.1%
3–17.0%
3–23.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–07.1%
4+–16.1%
4+–22.6%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.1-19%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
2,13–0,86
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
115%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
@2.35EV+0%
Over 2,557%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slavia Praha to win65%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Danijel Sturm to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Danijel Sturm to score26%
- Filip Čihák to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Hradec Králové14% probability@7.60BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
- 2 · Hradec Králové14% probability@7.60NordicbetEV+8%reference odds
- X · Draw20% probability@4.95BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Slavia Praha | X | 2 · Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.32 | EV+ 1% 4.95 | EV+ 8% 7.60 |
| Nordicbet | 1.32 | EV+ 1% 4.95 | EV+ 8% 7.60 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 13:37
Odds movement
1+1 %
74 %64 %
1.31 → 1.32
X0 %
23 %13 %
4.95 → 4.95
2-3 %
17 %7 %
7.80 → 7.60
Over 2,5-2 %
65 %55 %
1.55 → 1.52
Nordicbet · 18 recorded price levels · 10/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesSlavia Praha 1Draw 2Hradec Králové 2
Goals: 7–9 (⌀ 3,2)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FC Hradec Kralove dominate this fixture historically: 2 wins to 1 in 5 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.2 goals per meeting on average.
- SK Slavia Prague come into this round on 5 straight wins.
- SK Slavia Prague have scored in 17 consecutive league matches.
- SK Slavia Prague win 90% of their home matches all-time (41 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Slavia Praha
Hradec Králové
Slavia Praha (26–6)
Hradec Králové (10–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Slavia Praha
Hradec Králové
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Slavia Praha
Hradec Králové
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Slavia Praha | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26 | 14 |
| xPoints | 19.3 | 15 |
| xG per match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 0.88 | 1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.54 | 0.18 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.28 |
| Playing style | Slavia Praha | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 0.92 |
| xTA per match | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 21 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 18 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 8 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 320 | 396 |
| Passes against per match | 228 | 317 |
| Switches of play per match | 30.1 | 22.9 |
| Long balls per match | 40 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Slavia Praha | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 5.9 | 5 |
| Corners against per match | 4 | 6.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| Other | Slavia Praha | Hradec Králové |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Jakub Markovič (Slavia Praha) | Adam Zadrazil (Hradec Králové) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 18 | 36 |
| Save % | 75% | 75% |
| xG prevented | 47% | 56% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové according to our model?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slavia Praha 65%, draw 20%, Hradec Králové 14%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Hradec Králové?
The model expects 2.13 goals (xG) for Slavia Praha and 0.86 for Hradec Králové, 2.99 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Slavia Praha or draw (1X) 86%, Hradec Králové or draw (X2) 35% and no draw (12) 80%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.