Odense vs Brøndby: Prediction & Odds (18 Oct 2026)

Danish Superliga18 October 2026 16:00 CESTNature Energy Park, Odense10°31 km/h

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OdensePossession & high press

2–1

BrøndbyPossession & high press

The model's lean: 1 · Odense (41%)

1 · Odense 41%X 26%33% Brøndby · 2

41%

26%

33%

Prediction summary

Final score 2–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Odense vs Brøndby (Danish Superliga, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Odense win 41%, draw 26%, Brøndby win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Odense 1.41, Brøndby 1.37. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Odense or draw 67%, Brøndby or draw 59%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.

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Analysis: Odense – Brøndby

Oscar Nilsson · 17 October 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

Odense heads into their clash against Brøndby with a narrow edge in expected goals and a significant model-backed lean, despite their inferior points total. The model gives the hosts a 41% chance of victory, translating into value bets at 2.92 with Nordicbet and 2.9 at both Betsafe and LeoVegas. With expected goals slightly favoring Odense, their xPoints also suggest they might have been slightly unlucky this season.

Despite Odense's winless head-to-head record against Brøndby in the past two encounters, that small sample should be weighed less than their current form and underlying performance metrics. Both sides employ a possession-based, high-pressing style, which, coupled with the forecasted rain, might slightly suppress the scoring potential. However, the model still suggests a 53% chance for over 2.5 goals, with a 57% probability of both teams finding the net.

While the most likely scoreline is 1-1, the hosts appear to have a decent shot at snatching a narrow victory, with a 2-1 or 1-0 result being plausible. The sharpest angle here lies in backing Odense to overcome their marginal underdog status, capitalizing on the market's mispricing.

Odense

Form DLWDD

League ranking xG #6xGA #10xT #3xP/match #9Points #9

Key players

Jakob BondeCMxG 0.28 · xT 0.13
Julius AskouCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.14
Rasmus FalkCDMxG 0.11 · xT 0.21

Brøndby

Form LLLLW

League ranking xG #7xGA #6xT #2xP/match #10Points #5

Key players

Marko DivkovicLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.18
Jordi VanlerbergheCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.15
Mats KohlertLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.11

Final score

2 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Odense 41% · Draw 26% · Brøndby 33%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Odense BKBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 7,37fair 9,51-23 %

Miss

Matchresultat - BrøndbyBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 5,75fair 10,09-43 %

Miss

Match prediction: Odense – Brøndby

Predicted score matrix

Brøndby →

Odense →

0–06.6%

0–18.1%

0–25.8%

0–32.7%

0–4+1.2%

1–08.4%

1–112.3%

1–28.2%

1–33.7%

1–4+1.7%

2–06.2%

2–18.5%

2–25.8%

2–32.6%

2–4+1.2%

3–02.9%

3–14.0%

3–22.7%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.6%

4+–01.4%

4+–11.9%

4+–21.3%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.2-18%
3.1-08%
4.1-28%
5.0-18%

Expected goals

1,41–1,37

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

117%

224%

322%

415%

5+15%

Under 2,547%

@2.32EV+10%

Over 2,553%

@1.60

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Odense or draw (1X)64%
Over 1.5 goals77%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Odense or draw (1X)64%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Jakob Bonde Jensen to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Jakob Bonde Jensen to score23%
Wandepanga Ismahila Ouédraogo to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Odense41% probability@2.99PinnacleEV+22%reference odds
1 · Odense41% probability@2.95LeoVegasEV+20%reference odds
1 · Odense41% probability@2.92NordicbetEV+19%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Odense	X	2 · Brøndby
Betsafe	EV+ 18% 2.90	3.60	2.25
LeoVegas	EV+ 20% 2.95	3.65	2.30
Nordicbet	EV+ 19% 2.92	3.65	2.28
Pinnacle	EV+ 22% 2.99	EV+ 0% 3.79	2.27

Odds updated 18 Oct, 13:36

Odds movement

1+6 %

35 %30 %

2.82 → 2.99

X+3 %

28 %23 %

3.67 → 3.79

2-3 %

44 %39 %

2.34 → 2.27

Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 16/10/2026 → 18/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

2 matches

Odense 0Draw 0Brøndby 2

Goals: 2–9 (⌀ 5,5)

Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Odense

Brøndby

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Odense (8–14)

Brøndby (17–17)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Odense

Brøndby

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Odense

Brøndby

The teams in numbers

Performance	Odense	Brøndby
Points	10	16
xPoints	12.7	12.3
xG per match	1.5	1.4
xGA per match	1.6	1.4
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.28	0.3
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.26	0.31

Playing style	Odense	Brøndby
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.32
Field tilt	0.55	0.63
xT per match	1.2	1.3
xTA per match	1.1	0.95
Won balls, offensive half	26	26
Pressing intensity	0.24	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.31
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.23	0.27
Entries into the box per match	14	17
Entries into the box against	14	13
Pass completion %	0.79	0.79
Pass completion % under pressure	0.74	0.73
Passes per match	436	416
Passes against per match	388	338
Switches of play per match	24.2	26
Long balls per match	29	31

Set pieces	Odense	Brøndby
xG from free kicks	0.05	0.14
Corners per match	6.3	6.3
Corners against per match	6	4.5
xG per corner	0.01	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.17	0.25
First touch, defensive corners %	0.65	0.58

Other	Odense	Brøndby
Throw-in control	0.72	0.72

The goalkeepers	Viljar Myhra (Odense)	Patrick Pentz (Brøndby)
Saves	22	25
Save %	63%	61%
xG prevented	44%	49%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Odense

Fixtures, form & tips

Brøndby

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Odense vs Brøndby according to our model?

The model gives Odense a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Odense 41%, draw 26%, Brøndby 33%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Odense vs Brøndby?

The model expects 1.41 goals (xG) for Odense and 1.37 for Brøndby, 2.78 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Odense or draw (1X) 67%, Brøndby or draw (X2) 59% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.