01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Brøndby to win47%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Danish SuperligaCepheus Park, Randers9°1,5 mm21 km/h
Läs på svenska
RandersLow block & direct1–3
BrøndbyPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Brøndby (47%)Best value by the model: Under 0,5 @ 19.00 (+11 %)
Randers vs Brøndby · Danish Superliga
1 · Randers 27%X 26%47% Brøndby · 2
27%
26%
47%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Randers vs Brøndby (Danish Superliga, Friday, 23 October 2026): Randers win 27%, draw 26%, Brøndby win 47%. Expected goals (xG): Randers 1.30, Brøndby 1.60. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Randers or draw 53%, Brøndby or draw 73%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Randers – Brøndby
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Brøndby heads into their clash against Randers with a noticeable statistical edge, reflected in a 47% probability of victory from the model's analysis. This edge is mirrored across metrics such as xPoints and xG, where the visitors slightly outshine the hosts. Brøndby's possession and high-pressing style will look to dominate against Randers' more direct approach, which profiles as a low-defence style rather than defensive solidity.
Randers, despite their more cautious style, has managed only two wins in their last seven head-to-heads with Brøndby. This small sample size offers some insight into previous encounters, but it doesn't overshadow current form and expected goals, which favor the visitors slightly. The expected goals tally of 1.30 for Randers and 1.60 for Brøndby highlights the likely attacking superiority of the visitors.
The fixture typically features a high-scoring nature with an average of 3.1 goals per match. However, with the model projecting a 55% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood of both teams finding the net, the game's goal expectancy remains moderate. Most likely scorelines include a 1-1 draw at 12% and a 1-2 win for Brøndby at 9%, suggesting a tightly contested affair despite the potential for goals.
From a betting perspective, value appears in the under markets. Both Betsafe and Nordicbet offer under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.32, with a model-backed 3% edge. LeoVegas also presents under 3.5 at 1.55, showing a 4% edge. These suggest a promising yet cautious angle, given the historical goal averages and model's stance. However, for those looking for an edge, the under 3.5 goals with LeoVegas at 1.55 looks particularly inviting, aligning with the statistical picture painted by the model.
RandersForm WLLLD
League ranking xG #10xGA #8xT #10xP/match #8Points #9
Key players
- Mike ThemsenRWxG 0.17 · xT 0.12
- Elies MahmoudRWxG 0.14 · xT 0.13
- Laurits PedersenCMxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
BrøndbyForm LLLWL
League ranking xG #5xGA #5xT #2xP/match #7Points #5
Key players
- Jordi VanlerbergheCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.15
- Jacob AmbaekFxG 0.39 · xT 0.16
- Mats KohlertLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.11
Final score
1 – 3
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Randers 27% · Draw 26% · Brøndby 47%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Randers FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 7,98fair 11,22-29 %
MissMatchresultat - BrøndbyBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 4,83fair 7,45-35 %
HitMatch prediction: Randers – Brøndby
Predicted score matrix
Brøndby →
Randers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.8%
0–18.5%
0–27.0%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.1%
1
1–06.8%
1–111.8%
1–29.2%
1–34.9%
1–4+2.8%
2
2–04.7%
2–17.4%
2–26.0%
2–33.2%
2–4+1.8%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.2%
3–22.6%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–00.9%
4+–11.4%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-18%
- 4.2-17%
- 5.0-27%
Expected goals
1,30–1,60
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,545%
@2.48EV+11%
Over 2,555%
@1.53
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Brøndby to win47%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Max Isaac Ejdum to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Max Isaac Ejdum to score23%
- Luis Thomas Binks to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 0.56% probability@19.00BetsafeEV+11%reference odds
- Under 0.56% probability@19.00NordicbetEV+11%reference odds
- Under 2.545% probability@2.48BetsafeEV+11%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Randers | X | 2 · Brøndby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 3.40 | EV+ 2% 3.85 | 1.95 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60 | EV+ 2% 3.85 | 1.95 |
| Nordicbet | 3.45 | EV+ 2% 3.85 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | 3.62 | EV+ 2% 3.87 | 1.98 |
Odds updated 23 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
10 %
30 %25 %
3.61 → 3.62
X+1 %
28 %23 %
3.83 → 3.87
2+3 %
50 %45 %
1.93 → 1.98
Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesRanders 2Draw 3Brøndby 2
Goals: 12–10 (⌀ 3,1)
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.1 goals per meeting on average.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Randers
Brøndby
Randers (11–16)
Brøndby (18–19)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Randers
Brøndby
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Randers
Brøndby
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Randers | Brøndby |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 11 | 16 |
| xPoints | 14.1 | 14.4 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.15 | 0.3 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.3 |
| Playing style | Randers | Brøndby |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.39 | 0.63 |
| xT per match | 0.85 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.95 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 344 | 417 |
| Passes against per match | 458 | 337 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.6 | 27.1 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 32 |
| Set pieces | Randers | Brøndby |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| Corners per match | 4.3 | 6.6 |
| Corners against per match | 7.4 | 4.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.72 | 0.6 |
| Other | Randers | Brøndby |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Paul Izzo (Randers) | Patrick Pentz (Brøndby) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 24 | 28 |
| Save % | 73% | 62% |
| xG prevented | 52% | 50% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Randers vs Brøndby according to our model?
The model gives Brøndby a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Randers 27%, draw 26%, Brøndby 47%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Randers vs Brøndby?
The model expects 1.30 goals (xG) for Randers and 1.60 for Brøndby, 2.90 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Randers or draw (1X) 53%, Brøndby or draw (X2) 73% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.