EFL League OneBloomfield Road, Blackpool17°0,1 mm23 km/h

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    BlackpoolBlackpoolLow block & direct
    1–1
    Wycombe WanderersWycombe WanderersPossession control
    The model's lean: 2 · Wycombe Wanderers (44%)

    Blackpool – Wycombe Wanderers · EFL League One

    1 · Blackpool 30%X 26%44% Wycombe Wanderers · 2

    Analysis: Blackpool – Wycombe Wanderers

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    Blackpool may be riding a wave of four consecutive victories, but numbers suggest a sterner challenge from Wycombe Wanderers at Bloomfield Road. Despite Blackpool's recent form, the model paints a broader picture favoring Wycombe, who command a 44% probability of victory compared to Blackpool's 30%. Wycombe has been the more consistent squad, underlined by a superior points tally and a hefty edge in expected points (xPoints) at 74.5 versus Blackpool's 56.1.

    Wycombe Wanderers emerge as the dominant force in terms of expected goals (xG), averaging 1.6 per match against Blackpool's 1.1. Their possession-based approach could unravel Blackpool's direct style. With an xGA of just 1.0, Wycombe also outclass Blackpool defensively, a team that concedes 1.5 xGA per game. The historical head-to-head is limited to a mere four matches, where Blackpool has managed a win and three draws. However, a small sample size like this holds little sway against current form and statistical insights.

    1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, but the model's lean towards a 0-1 or 1-2 finish for Wycombe (both at 9%) is hard to ignore. Over 2.5 goals is a slight favorite at 53%, while a 56% chance of both teams scoring indicates a competitive affair. Yet, with weather conditions such as rain and strong wind potentially in play, goal-scoring could dip, a factor already accounted for in the model's forecast.

    Wycombe fans should feel buoyed not just by the probabilities and model numbers but by the value on offer. Pinnacle provides compelling odds of 2.71 for a Wycombe win, offering an 18% edge given the model's valuation. Betsafe and Betsson also present opportunities at 2.62, each delivering a 15% edge. If you're looking for an angle with a calculated edge, backing Wycombe on the road seems the shrewdest play.

    BlackpoolBlackpool
    Form LWWWW
    League ranking xG #22xGA #20xT #21xP/match #20Points #14
    Key players
    • Ashley FletcherFxG 0.33 · xT 0.03
    • Lee EvansCMxG 0.11 · xT 0.08
    • Albie MorganCAMxG 0.12 · xT 0.05
    Wycombe WanderersWycombe Wanderers
    Form LDLLW
    League ranking xG #3xGA #1xT #2xP/match #2Points #11
    Key players
    • Daniel HarvieLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.20
    • Connor TaylorCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.10
    • Samuel John BellFxG 0.19 · xT 0.04
    Final score
    1 – 1
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Blackpool 30% · Draw 26% · Wycombe Wanderers 44%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - WycombeBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 9,41fair 7,42+27 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - BlackpoolBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 8,77fair 13,77-36 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Blackpool – Wycombe Wanderers

    Predicted score matrix

    Wycombe Wanderers →
    Blackpool →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.4%
    0–19.5%
    0–27.9%
    0–34.3%
    0–4+2.5%
    1
    1–06.8%
    1–112.0%
    1–29.4%
    1–35.1%
    1–4+3.0%
    2
    2–04.3%
    2–16.9%
    2–25.6%
    2–33.0%
    2–4+1.7%
    3
    3–01.7%
    3–12.7%
    3–22.2%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–00.6%
    4+–11.0%
    4+–20.8%
    4+–30.5%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.0-19%
    3. 3.1-29%
    4. 4.0-28%
    5. 5.2-17%
    Expected goals
    1,19–1,62
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    @1.88
    Over 2,553%
    @1.97EV+2%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Wycombe Wanderers or draw (X2)72%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    57%

    Fair odds

    1.77

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Wycombe Wanderers or draw (X2)72%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Wilfred Oluwafemi Onyedinma to score19%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Karoy Zidane Lovebourne Anderson to score23%
    • Connor Taylor to be booked22%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Wycombe Wanderers44% probability@2.75PinnacleEV+20%reference odds
    • 2 · Wycombe Wanderers44% probability@2.72BetsafeEV+19%reference odds
    • 2 · Wycombe Wanderers44% probability@2.72BetssonEV+19%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · BlackpoolX2 · Wycombe Wanderers
    Betsafe2.523.20
    EV+ 19%
    2.72
    Betsson2.523.20
    EV+ 19%
    2.72
    Nordicbet2.523.20
    EV+ 19%
    2.72
    Pinnacle2.653.33
    EV+ 20%
    2.75

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 10:23

    Odds movement

    1+1 %
    39 %34 %

    2.62 → 2.65

    X+2 %
    31 %26 %

    3.25 → 3.33

    2+1 %
    37 %32 %

    2.71 → 2.75

    Over 2,50 %
    51 %46 %

    1.96 → 1.97

    Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 11/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    4 matches
    Blackpool 1Draw 3Wycombe Wanderers 0
    Goals: 5–4 (⌀ 2,2)

    Head-to-head based on League One data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Blackpool come into this round on 4 straight wins.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Blackpool
    Wycombe Wanderers
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2025
    Blackpool (54–65)
    Wycombe Wanderers (69–58)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Blackpool
    Oliver Casey: 121 passningar, xT 0.55CaseyJames Husband: 97 passningar, xT 0.23HusbandCj Hamilton: 89 passningar, xT 0.59HamiltonReuell Joshua Walters: 77 passningar, xT 0.31WaltersJordan Brown: 71 passningar, xT 0.08BrownBailey Peacock Farrell: 71 passningar, xT 0.19FarrellKaroy Anderson: 69 passningar, xT -0.02AndersonLeighton Owen Clarkson: 63 passningar, xT 0.43ClarksonHayden Coulson: 44 passningar, xT 0.13CoulsonDale Taylor: 37 passningar, xT 0.25TaylorZac Ashworth: 34 passningar, xT 0.03Ashworth
    Wycombe Wanderers
    Daniel Harvie: 240 passningar, xT 0.56HarvieConnor Taylor: 237 passningar, xT 0.61TaylorAaron Morley: 199 passningar, xT 0.7MorleyWill Norris: 148 passningar, xT 0.21NorrisDeclan Skura: 137 passningar, xT 0.24SkuraJosh Scowen: 134 passningar, xT 0.82ScowenTaylor Ellis Allen: 132 passningar, xT 0.33AllenLuke Leahy: 99 passningar, xT 0.35LeahyEwan Henderson: 85 passningar, xT 0.35HendersonArmando Quitirna: 84 passningar, xT 0.04QuitirnaNiall Joseph Huggins: 70 passningar, xT 0.26Huggins
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Blackpool
    Oliver Casey: 121 passningar, xT 0.55CaseyJames Husband: 97 passningar, xT 0.23HusbandCj Hamilton: 89 passningar, xT 0.59HamiltonReuell Joshua Walters: 77 passningar, xT 0.31WaltersJordan Brown: 71 passningar, xT 0.08BrownBailey Peacock Farrell: 71 passningar, xT 0.19FarrellKaroy Anderson: 69 passningar, xT -0.02AndersonLeighton Owen Clarkson: 63 passningar, xT 0.43ClarksonHayden Coulson: 44 passningar, xT 0.13CoulsonDale Taylor: 37 passningar, xT 0.25TaylorZac Ashworth: 34 passningar, xT 0.03Ashworth
    Wycombe Wanderers
    Daniel Harvie: 240 passningar, xT 0.56HarvieConnor Taylor: 237 passningar, xT 0.61TaylorAaron Morley: 199 passningar, xT 0.7MorleyWill Norris: 148 passningar, xT 0.21NorrisDeclan Skura: 137 passningar, xT 0.24SkuraJosh Scowen: 134 passningar, xT 0.82ScowenTaylor Ellis Allen: 132 passningar, xT 0.33AllenLuke Leahy: 99 passningar, xT 0.35LeahyEwan Henderson: 85 passningar, xT 0.35HendersonArmando Quitirna: 84 passningar, xT 0.04QuitirnaNiall Joseph Huggins: 70 passningar, xT 0.26Huggins

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceBlackpoolWycombe Wanderers
    Points6063
    xPoints56.174.5
    xG per match1.11.6
    xGA per match1.51
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.210.25
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.260.2
    Playing styleBlackpoolWycombe Wanderers
    Build-up efficiency0.320.33
    Field tilt0.380.56
    xT per match0.671.1
    xTA per match0.960.78
    Won balls, offensive half2326
    Pressing intensity0.230.22
    Pressing efficiency0.330.34
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.340.37
    Entries into the box per match1013
    Entries into the box against1210
    Pass completion %0.670.71
    Pass completion % under pressure0.630.67
    Passes per match255334
    Passes against per match314282
    Switches of play per match20.922.6
    Long balls per match2936
    Set piecesBlackpoolWycombe Wanderers
    xG from free kicks0.10.1
    Corners per match4.25.5
    Corners against per match5.64.6
    xG per corner0.030.07
    xGA per corner against0.060.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.460.43
    First touch, defensive corners %0.660.62
    OtherBlackpoolWycombe Wanderers
    Throw-in control0.70.7
    The goalkeepersBailey Peacock Farrell (Blackpool)Will Norris (Wycombe Wanderers)
    Saves12670
    Save %67%63%
    xG prevented48%40%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Blackpool
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Wycombe Wanderers
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers according to our model?

    The model gives Wycombe Wanderers a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Blackpool 30%, draw 26%, Wycombe Wanderers 44%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.