Wigan Athletic vs Bromley Prediction: Home win 49% (31 Oct 2026)

EFL League One31 October 2026Brick Community Stadium, Wigan10°0,9 mm15 km/h

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Wigan AthleticPossession control

BromleyLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · Wigan Athletic (49%)Best value by the model: Under 0,5 @ 15.00 (+6 %)

1 · Wigan Athletic 49%X 27%24% Bromley · 2

49%

27%

24%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Wigan Athletic vs Bromley (EFL League One, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Wigan Athletic win 49%, draw 27%, Bromley win 24%. Expected goals (xG): Wigan Athletic 1.68, Bromley 1.02. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%. Double chance: Wigan Athletic or draw 76%, Bromley or draw 51%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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Analysis: Wigan Athletic – Bromley

Sofia Andersson · 23 October 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

TEXT: Wigan Athletic's possession-based approach meets Bromley's low block and directness, a clash that suggests a game of territorial dominance versus quick counterattacks. The numbers hint towards a narrow victory for the hosts, with the model giving them a 49% chance of winning. While recent form shows Bromley on a three-game losing streak, the Latics' expected goals of 1.68 suggest they are likely to create more meaningful opportunities.

The small sample size of their head-to-head encounters offers limited insight, making current form and expected goals more reliable indicators. Wigan's control in midfield should allow them to dictate the pace, while Bromley's reliance on direct play might struggle under the expected rainy conditions, which could impede their fast transitions.

Despite Bromley having a slight edge in actual points, Wigan's xPoints of 10.1 over Bromley's 9.4 reinforce the hosts' underlying strength. Furthermore, Wigan's superiority in xG (1.2) compared to Bromley's 0.74, along with a better defensive record in xGA, points to a home side that can both create and limit chances more effectively.

The model's most likely scoreline, a 1-1 draw at 12%, suggests a competitive match but with Wigan's 1-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 10% close behind, a narrow home victory seems probable. With a 51% lean towards over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, the game could see some scoring.

Wigan Athletic

Form DLLWL

League ranking xG #15xGA #22xT #16xP/match #23Points #24

Key players

Morgan Alexander FoxCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.12
Max Mcauley PowerCAMxG 0.03 · xT 0.11
Jensen Guy WeirCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.10

Bromley

Form DWLLL

League ranking xG #24xGA #24xT #24xP/match #24Points #23

Key players

Mitchell Bernard PinnockLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.15
George Alan SavilleCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
Michael CheekFxG 0.10 · xT -0.01

Match prediction: Wigan Athletic – Bromley

Predicted score matrix

Bromley →

Wigan Athletic →

0–07.1%

0–16.5%

0–23.5%

0–31.2%

0–4+0.4%

1–011.0%

1–111.9%

1–25.9%

1–32.0%

1–4+0.6%

2–09.5%

2–19.7%

2–24.9%

2–31.7%

2–4+0.5%

3–05.3%

3–15.4%

3–22.8%

3–30.9%

3–4+0.3%

4+–03.2%

4+–13.3%

4+–21.7%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-011%
3.2-110%
4.2-09%
5.0-07%

Expected goals

1,68–1,02

Both teams to score

52%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,7

07%

117%

225%

322%

415%

5+14%

Under 2,549%

@2.12EV+5%

Over 2,551%

@1.73

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Wigan Athletic to win49%
Under 3.5 goals71%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Wigan Athletic to win49%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Fraser Murray to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score52%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Fraser Murray to score23%
Omar Kolawole Olufemi Sowunmi to be booked20%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 0.57% probability@15.00BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
Under 0.57% probability@15.00NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
Under 2.549% probability@2.12BetsafeEV+5%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Wigan Athletic	X	2 · Bromley
Betsafe	1.82	3.60	3.95
LeoVegas	1.85	3.60	3.70
Nordicbet	1.82	3.60	3.95

Odds updated 25 Oct, 09:36

Odds movement

10 %

52 %47 %

1.85 → 1.85

X0 %

28 %23 %

3.60 → 3.60

2+1 %

27 %22 %

3.65 → 3.70

LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Key facts

Bromley FC have lost 3 in a row.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Wigan Athletic

Bromley

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Wigan Athletic (7–15)

Bromley (9–25)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Wigan Athletic

Bromley

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Wigan Athletic

Bromley

The teams in numbers

Performance	Wigan Athletic	Bromley
Points	7	8
xPoints	10.1	9.4
xG per match	1.2	0.74
xGA per match	1.9	2.2
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.24	0.13
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.32	0.49

Playing style	Wigan Athletic	Bromley
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.38
Field tilt	0.55	0.34
xT per match	0.9	0.58
xTA per match	1.2	1.3
Won balls, offensive half	18	26
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.24
Pressing efficiency	0.32	0.3
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.28	0.26
Entries into the box per match	10	8
Entries into the box against	13	17
Pass completion %	0.75	0.53
Pass completion % under pressure	0.71	0.53
Passes per match	362	149
Passes against per match	312	401
Switches of play per match	15.9	11.5
Long balls per match	24	27

Set pieces	Wigan Athletic	Bromley
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.06
Corners per match	5.3	3.2
Corners against per match	5.5	6.9
xG per corner	0.02	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.53	0.34
First touch, defensive corners %	0.58	0.45

Other	Wigan Athletic	Bromley
Throw-in control	0.74	0.73

The goalkeepers	Joe Whitworth (Wigan Athletic)	Shamal Tyrell George (Bromley)
Saves	27	27
Save %	75%	66%
xG prevented	67%	47%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Wigan Athletic

Fixtures, form & tips

Bromley

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Wigan Athletic vs Bromley according to our model?

The model gives Wigan Athletic a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wigan Athletic 49%, draw 27%, Bromley 24%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Wigan Athletic vs Bromley?

The model expects 1.68 goals (xG) for Wigan Athletic and 1.02 for Bromley, 2.70 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Wigan Athletic or draw (1X) 76%, Bromley or draw (X2) 51% and no draw (12) 73%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.