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    FC ImabariFC ImabariCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    Hokkaido Consadole SapporoHokkaido Consadole SapporoPossession control
    The model's lean: 2 · Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (37%)Soft draw

    FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · J2 League

    1 · FC Imabari 35%X 28%37% Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (J2 League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): FC Imabari win 35%, draw 28%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win 37%. Expected goals (xG): FC Imabari 1.34, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1.41. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: FC Imabari or draw 63%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or draw 65%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

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    Analysis: FC Imabari – Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    The model gives Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo a slight edge with a 37% win probability, closely followed by FC Imabari at 35%. With the expected goals nearly neck-and-neck—1.34 for Imabari and 1.41 for the visitors—the narrow margin highlights a balanced duel. The most probable scoreline, 1-1 at 12%, underscores a likely stalemate, suggesting neither side will dominate.

    FC Imabari have been consistent scorers, finding the net in eight straight league matches. Their tactical reliance on counterattacks and crosses might counteract Sapporo's possession-based style. However, with only two head-to-head encounters ending in draws, this small sample should weigh less than current form and expected goals. Imabari's xG and xPoints suggest a competitive edge, yet Sapporo's better defensive xGA metric might balance it out in practice.

    The over 2.5 goals probability sits at 52%, hinting at a marginal lean towards more goals. However, the model's most likely outcomes, 1-1, 0-1, and 1-2, all indicate a cautious approach may be prudent, with a game where defensive control could dampen scoring.

    FC ImabariFC Imabari
    Form LWWDL
    League ranking xG #10xGA #19xT #8xP/match #16Points #19
    Key players
    • Rei UmekiRWBxG 0.16 · xT 0.13
    • Hikaru AraiRWxG 0.37 · xT 0.18
    • Yuki KajiuraCAMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
    Hokkaido Consadole SapporoHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Form DLWLW
    League ranking xG #14xGA #11xT #11xP/match #19Points #18
    Key players
    • Ryunosuke UmetsuCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.13
    • Shota NishinoCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.12
    • Ryu TakaoRWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.11

    Match prediction: FC Imabari – Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

    Predicted score matrix

    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo →
    FC Imabari →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.8%
    0–18.7%
    0–26.4%
    0–33.0%
    0–4+1.4%
    1
    1–08.2%
    1–112.4%
    1–28.5%
    1–34.0%
    1–4+1.9%
    2
    2–05.7%
    2–18.1%
    2–25.7%
    2–32.7%
    2–4+1.3%
    3
    3–02.5%
    3–13.6%
    3–22.5%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–01.1%
    4+–11.6%
    4+–21.1%
    4+–30.5%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.0-19%
    3. 3.1-29%
    4. 4.1-08%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,34–1,41
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,7
    Under 2,548%
    –
    Over 2,552%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or draw (X2)65%
    • Over 1.5 goals76%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.02

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or draw (X2)65%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%
    • Shuma Kido to score21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%
    • Shuma Kido to score21%
    • Niki Urakami to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    2 matches
    FC Imabari 0Draw 2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0
    Goals: 3–3 (⌀ 3)

    Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • FC Imabari have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    FC Imabari
    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    FC Imabari (15–25)
    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (13–19)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    FC Imabari
    Gabriel Gomes Ferreira: 158 passningar, xT 0.38FerreiraKenta Kikuchi: 119 passningar, xT 0.94KikuchiAleksandar Paločević: 114 passningar, xT 0.2PaločevićKazuki Kushibiki: 109 passningar, xT 0.14KushibikiYamato Maruyama: 105 passningar, xT 0.12MaruyamaYuki Kajiura: 99 passningar, xT 0.53KajiuraYoshiaki Komai: 93 passningar, xT 0.38KomaiKota Mori: 80 passningar, xT 1.05MoriRei Umeki: 71 passningar, xT 0.53UmekiKyota Mochii: 62 passningar, xT 0.11MochiiEdigar Junio Teixeira Lima: 47 passningar, xT 0.75Lima
    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Shota Nishino: 344 passningar, xT 0.64NishinoRyunosuke Umetsu: 299 passningar, xT 0.6UmetsuMizuki Uchida: 183 passningar, xT 0.23UchidaTomoki Tagawa: 138 passningar, xT 0.27TagawaRyota Aoki: 117 passningar, xT -0.01AokiNiki Urakami: 116 passningar, xT -0.1UrakamiRyu Takao: 116 passningar, xT 0.4TakaoHayato Kawahara: 109 passningar, xT 0.24KawaharaYuto Horigome: 108 passningar, xT 0.08HorigomeShuma Kido: 107 passningar, xT 0.04KidoHiroki Miyazawa: 80 passningar, xT 0.15Miyazawa
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    FC Imabari
    Gabriel Gomes Ferreira: 158 passningar, xT 0.38FerreiraKenta Kikuchi: 119 passningar, xT 0.94KikuchiAleksandar Paločević: 114 passningar, xT 0.2PaločevićKazuki Kushibiki: 109 passningar, xT 0.14KushibikiYamato Maruyama: 105 passningar, xT 0.12MaruyamaYuki Kajiura: 99 passningar, xT 0.53KajiuraYoshiaki Komai: 93 passningar, xT 0.38KomaiKota Mori: 80 passningar, xT 1.05MoriRei Umeki: 71 passningar, xT 0.53UmekiKyota Mochii: 62 passningar, xT 0.11MochiiEdigar Junio Teixeira Lima: 47 passningar, xT 0.75Lima
    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Shota Nishino: 344 passningar, xT 0.64NishinoRyunosuke Umetsu: 299 passningar, xT 0.6UmetsuMizuki Uchida: 183 passningar, xT 0.23UchidaTomoki Tagawa: 138 passningar, xT 0.27TagawaRyota Aoki: 117 passningar, xT -0.01AokiNiki Urakami: 116 passningar, xT -0.1UrakamiRyu Takao: 116 passningar, xT 0.4TakaoHayato Kawahara: 109 passningar, xT 0.24KawaharaYuto Horigome: 108 passningar, xT 0.08HorigomeShuma Kido: 107 passningar, xT 0.04KidoHiroki Miyazawa: 80 passningar, xT 0.15Miyazawa

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceFC ImabariHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Points1111
    xPoints14.611
    xG per match1.20.98
    xGA per match1.51.2
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.120.18
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.160.22
    Playing styleFC ImabariHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Build-up efficiency0.340.31
    Field tilt0.370.61
    xT per match0.960.94
    xTA per match1.20.84
    Won balls, offensive half1521
    Pressing intensity0.240.22
    Pressing efficiency0.290.36
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.270.32
    Entries into the box per match1112
    Entries into the box against1410
    Pass completion %0.720.76
    Pass completion % under pressure0.670.71
    Passes per match306423
    Passes against per match348261
    Switches of play per match18.232.5
    Long balls per match3340
    Set piecesFC ImabariHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    xG from free kicks0.110.04
    Corners per match4.16
    Corners against per match4.74.6
    xG per corner0.040.02
    xGA per corner against0.020.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.410.45
    First touch, defensive corners %0.610.58
    OtherFC ImabariHokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Throw-in control0.740.76
    The goalkeepersGenta Ito (FC Imabari)Tomoki Tagawa (Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo)
    Saves1826
    Save %75%58%
    xG prevented63%33%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    FC Imabari
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo according to our model?

    The model gives Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Imabari 35%, draw 28%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 37%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in FC Imabari vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo?

    The model expects 1.34 goals (xG) for FC Imabari and 1.41 for Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, 2.75 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    FC Imabari or draw (1X) 63%, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or draw (X2) 65% and no draw (12) 72%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.