Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction: Away win 39% (3 Nov 2026)

J2 League3 November 202615°21 km/h

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Fujieda MYFCLow block & direct

Jubilo IwataPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Jubilo Iwata (39%)

1 · Fujieda MYFC 33%X 28%39% Jubilo Iwata · 2

33%

28%

39%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata (J2 League, Tuesday, 3 November 2026): Fujieda MYFC win 33%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata win 39%. Expected goals (xG): Fujieda MYFC 1.22, Jubilo Iwata 1.22. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: Fujieda MYFC or draw 61%, Jubilo Iwata or draw 67%. Prediction updated Monday, 26 October 2026.

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Analysis: Fujieda MYFC – Jubilo Iwata

Marcus Johansson · 26 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

The TEXT contains an unsupported claim: the specific betting odds from Bet365 (1.80 for under 2.5 goals) are not present in the FACTS and should be removed.

Corrected TEXT:

Jubilo Iwata's possession-based approach will be put to the test against Fujieda MYFC's direct playstyle, creating a tactical clash that may tip the balance in J2 League's closely contested mid-table affair. Despite Fujieda's slight edge in the points tally, Iwata's superior expected goals (xG) of 1.4 per match suggests they might hold the key to unlocking the hosts' low defensive setup.

Fujieda MYFC, albeit a team that prefers to sit back and hit on the break, has managed to collect 15 points compared to Iwata's 14. However, with both teams having played only two head-to-head matches since 2023, where each secured a win apiece, the sample size is too small to draw definitive conclusions from their previous encounters. Instead, the focus shifts to other metrics, like Fujieda's slightly higher expected points (xPoints) of 17.6, which suggest that they might be punching below their weight.

When examining the expected goals against (xGA), Jubilo Iwata holds a slight advantage, conceding 0.99 xGA compared to Fujieda's 1.1. This defensive solidity might play a crucial role in stifling Fujieda's counterattacks. Yet, the expected goals for both sides sit identically at 1.22, indicating a potentially tight and cautious contest.

The model suggests a slim 39% probability edge for Iwata, with a most likely score of 1-1 at 13%, pointing towards a game that might hinge on fine margins. With the chance of over 2.5 goals sitting at just 44%, a low-scoring draw like 0-1 or 1-0, both at 10%, seems plausible.

The model's lean points towards a contained affair, where Iwata's possession control edges out Fujieda's reactive tactics.

Fujieda MYFC

Form DLDDL

League ranking xG #18xGA #9xT #20xP/match #12Points #11

Key players

Yusuke KikuiFxG 0.06 · xT 0.13
Yuri MoriCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.08
Yuto NakamuraLBxG 0.10 · xT 0.13

Jubilo Iwata

Form LLLWD

League ranking xG #5xGA #5xT #3xP/match #7Points #12

Key players

Kensuke FujiwaraCMxG 0.06 · xT 0.17
Daiki KanekoCDMxG 0.00 · xT 0.13
Ryusei YoshimuraLBxG 0.06 · xT 0.15

Match prediction: Fujieda MYFC – Jubilo Iwata

Predicted score matrix

Jubilo Iwata →

Fujieda MYFC →

0–09.1%

0–110.3%

0–26.5%

0–32.7%

0–4+1.1%

1–010.2%

1–113.4%

1–27.9%

1–33.2%

1–4+1.3%

2–06.5%

2–17.9%

2–24.8%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.8%

3–02.6%

3–13.2%

3–22.0%

3–30.8%

3–4+0.3%

4+–01.0%

4+–11.3%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.0-110%
3.1-010%
4.0-09%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,22–1,22

Both teams to score

50%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,4

09%

121%

226%

321%

413%

5+10%

Under 2,556%

–

Over 2,544%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Jubilo Iwata or draw (X2)64%
Under 3.5 goals77%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Jubilo Iwata or draw (X2)64%
Under 2.5 goals56%
Koshiro Sumi to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score50%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Riyo Kawamoto to score25%
Ryota Kajikawa to be booked21%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

2 matches

Fujieda MYFC 1Draw 0Jubilo Iwata 1

Goals: 2–2 (⌀ 2)

Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Fujieda MYFC

Jubilo Iwata

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Fujieda MYFC (15–14)

Jubilo Iwata (13–14)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Fujieda MYFC

Jubilo Iwata

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Fujieda MYFC

Jubilo Iwata

The teams in numbers

Performance	Fujieda MYFC	Jubilo Iwata
Points	15	14
xPoints	17.6	16.1
xG per match	0.87	1.4
xGA per match	1.1	0.99
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.14	0.12
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.22	0.19

Playing style	Fujieda MYFC	Jubilo Iwata
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.32
Field tilt	0.45	0.58
xT per match	0.69	1.1
xTA per match	1.1	0.85
Won balls, offensive half	16	22
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.32	0.33
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.32	0.33
Entries into the box per match	10	15
Entries into the box against	13	11
Pass completion %	0.69	0.73
Pass completion % under pressure	0.67	0.69
Passes per match	263	346
Passes against per match	327	282
Switches of play per match	23.9	27.4
Long balls per match	33	36

Set pieces	Fujieda MYFC	Jubilo Iwata
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.07
Corners per match	5.6	6.1
Corners against per match	5.7	4
xG per corner	0.03	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.01
First touch, offensive corners %	0.45	0.34
First touch, defensive corners %	0.48	0.58

Other	Fujieda MYFC	Jubilo Iwata
Throw-in control	0.74	0.81

The goalkeepers	Shun Yoshida (Fujieda MYFC)	Ayumi Niekawa (Jubilo Iwata)
Saves	55	22
Save %	81%	69%
xG prevented	59%	42%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Fujieda MYFC

Fixtures, form & tips

Jubilo Iwata

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata according to our model?

The model gives Jubilo Iwata a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Fujieda MYFC 33%, draw 28%, Jubilo Iwata 39%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Fujieda MYFC vs Jubilo Iwata?

The model expects 1.22 goals (xG) for Fujieda MYFC and 1.22 for Jubilo Iwata, 2.44 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X) 61%, Jubilo Iwata or draw (X2) 67% and no draw (12) 72%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.