01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Omiya Ardija or draw (X2)69%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
J2 League21°9 km/h
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Tegevajaro Miyazakivs
Omiya ArdijaThe model's lean: 2 · Omiya Ardija (40%)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija · J2 League
1 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32%X 28%40% Omiya Ardija · 2
32%
28%
40%
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Analysis: Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Omiya Ardija
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
RB Omiya Ardija's unbeaten streak of seven league matches sets the tone for their encounter with Tegevajaro Miyazaki. The visitors hold a slight edge with a 40% win probability, compared to the hosts' 32%. This tilt is further supported by the expected goals, which favor Omiya at 1.56 against Miyazaki's 1.29. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, occurring at 12%, suggests a cautious affair, yet there is a 54% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, it's clear Omiya carries momentum into this fixture. Despite Miyazaki's home advantage, the model leans towards an away victory. With a 9% likelihood each, both a 1-2 and a 0-1 result reflect the visitors' defensive solidity and potential to edge out their hosts.
Emphasizing defense and form, the numbers suggest a close match with Omiya having the upper hand.
Tegevajaro MiyazakiForm DLLWW
Key players
- Mahiro AnoRWxG 0.14 · xT 0.06
- Koji OkumuraCAMxG 0.07 · xT 0.08
- Kaiga MurakoshiLWxG 0.29 · xT 0.06
Omiya ArdijaForm WDDDD
Key players
- Hijiri KatoLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
- Mauricio Caprini PintoRWxG 0.20 · xT 0.23
- Toya IzumiLWxG 0.26 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Omiya Ardija
Predicted score matrix
Omiya Ardija →
Tegevajaro Miyazaki →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–18.7%
0–27.0%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.0%
1
1–07.1%
1–112.0%
1–29.1%
1–34.7%
1–4+2.6%
2
2–04.8%
2–17.5%
2–25.9%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.7%
3
3–02.1%
3–13.2%
3–22.5%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.9%
4+–11.4%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
1,29–1,56
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@1.95
Over 2,554%
@1.75
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Omiya Ardija or draw (X2)69%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Carlos Antônio de Souza Júnior to score25%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Koji Okumura to score25%
- Yusei Ozaki to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki | X | 2 · Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betsson | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Nordicbet | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds updated 27 Sept, 11:35
Statistics
Key facts
- RB Omiya Ardija are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Omiya Ardija
Tegevajaro Miyazaki (9–10)
Omiya Ardija (11–6)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Omiya Ardija
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Omiya Ardija
| The goalkeepers | Ryoya Kimura (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) | Thomas William Glover (Omiya Ardija) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 14 | 12 |
| Save % | 70% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 39% | 45% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
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- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo – Iwaki FC4 October 2026
- Vegalta Sendai – Jubilo Iwata4 October 2026
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- Vanraure Hachinohe – Yokohama FC4 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija according to our model?
The model gives Omiya Ardija a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32%, draw 28%, Omiya Ardija 40%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.