Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC: Prediction & Odds (8 Aug 2026)

J2 League8 August 202627°14,1 mm22 km/hUpdated 04/08/2026

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Tegevajaro Miyazaki

The model's lean: 1 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (46%)

Yokohama FC

1 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 46%X 27%28% Yokohama FC · 2

46%

27%

28%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Key players

Masato NakayamaFxG 0.38 · xT 0.04
Masahiro SugataCBxG 0.14 · xT 0.09
Rikuto IshioLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.11

Yokohama FC

Form WLLDD

Key players

Shion InoueCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.04
Akito FukumoriCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.23
Yuri LaraCDMxG 0.21 · xT 0.02

Match prediction: Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Yokohama FC

Predicted score matrix

Yokohama FC →

Tegevajaro Miyazaki →

0–07.3%

0–17.2%

0–24.0%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.5%

1–010.7%

1–112.2%

1–26.4%

1–32.3%

1–4+0.8%

2–08.8%

2–19.4%

2–25.1%

2–31.8%

2–4+0.6%

3–04.6%

3–15.0%

3–22.7%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.3%

4+–02.6%

4+–12.8%

4+–21.5%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-011%
3.2-19%
4.2-09%
5.0-07%

Expected goals

1,59–1,08

Both teams to score

53%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,7

07%

118%

225%

322%

415%

5+13%

Under 2,550%

–

Over 2,550%

–

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Analysis: Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Yokohama FC

Marcus Johansson · 4 August 2026 · How the predictions work

Tegevajaro Miyazaki have been making steady waves in the J2 League recently, and the numbers seem to favor them again as they take on Yokohama FC. The model assigns a 46% win probability to Miyazaki, a figure that hints at their growing confidence and capability on home turf. With an expected goals count of 1.59 against Yokohama's 1.08, this matchup seems tilted in Miyazaki's favor, especially when Yokohama's chances sit at a mere 28%.

Yokohama FC's prospects look dim, particularly on a rainy night that favors grounded play over flair. The expected weather of 26.8°C with over 14 mm of rain suggests a slippery pitch, shifting advantages to the more adaptable and technically efficient side. Miyazaki, known for their ability to grind out results in tough conditions, will likely relish this setup. The match could very well unfold as a test of physical and mental endurance rather than pure technical skill.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki appear well-equipped to edge this contest. The most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 1-0 indicate a cautious game, one where Miyazaki are expected to be slightly sharper. While a 1-1 draw at 12% probability seems the most likely scoreline, the subtle nod towards a 1-0 win for Miyazaki at 11% cannot be ignored. In games of tight margins, home advantage and resilience in rain can often be decisive.

A 50% chance of breaking the 2.5 goal mark suggests a balanced game. Yet, with both teams to score sitting at 53%, goals at both ends seem plausible. While the over/under 2.5 goals market sits on a knife edge, there’s intrigue in considering the under, given the conditions and tactical prospects.

Bet365’s offering of 2.20 for a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win carries a touch of value for those willing to back the home side's resilience and form. As the rain falls and boots slide, Miyazaki could very well emerge with a narrow but deserved victory.

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Yokohama FC

When goals are scored and conceded — 2024

Yokohama FC (56–25)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Yokohama FC

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Yokohama FC

The goalkeepers	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	Akinori Ichikawa (Yokohama FC)
Saves	–	85
Save %	–	78%
xG prevented	–	51%
Claims	–	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Yokohama FC according to our model?

The model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 46%, draw 27%, Yokohama FC 28%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.