01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Motor Lublin or draw (X2)61%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Ekstraklasa9°1,5 mm15 km/h
Läs på svenska
Radomiak RadomCounter-attacks & crossesvs
Motor LublinBalanced & physicalThe model's lean: 2 · Motor Lublin (36%)Soft draw
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin · Ekstraklasa
1 · Radomiak Radom 36%X 28%36% Motor Lublin · 2
36%
28%
36%
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Analysis: Radomiak Radom – Motor Lublin
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
The text contains an unsupported claim: specific betting odds ("3.00 with Bet365") are not present in the FACTS and should be removed.
Four matches since 2023 and Radomiak still seek a win against Motor Lublin, a tale of narrow margins in a small sample size. While Radomiak's 8 points slightly edge their rivals’ 6, it's the expected points that tilt the balance towards the visitors, with Lublin's 11.8 xPoints surpassing Radomiak's 10.6. The hosts' defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding an average of 2.2 xGA per match compared to Lublin's more robust 1.7.
A 36% win probability for both teams points to a finely poised contest, yet the model leans towards Lublin, underscored by a more balanced, physical approach that could exploit Radomiak's leaky defense. With both sides generating 1.5 xG per match, the potential for goals is there, supported by a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals. Expect a clash where defenses are tested, but the odds favor a narrow visitor success.
If you're seeking value, consider Motor Lublin as the lean. The most likely outcome, a 1-1 draw at 12%, suggests other possibilities are on the table, particularly Lublin's 1-2 win at 8%. This matchup offers intrigue beyond the numbers, balancing form with Lublin's slight statistical edge.
Radomiak RadomForm DWDLL
League ranking xG #13xGA #17xT #16xP/match #14Points #14
Key players
- Rafal WolskiRWxG 0.32 · xT 0.18
- Guilherme Luiz Oliveira da SilvaFxG 0.38 · xT 0.10
- Jan GrzesikLWBxG 0.21 · xT 0.12
Motor LublinForm DLLLD
League ranking xG #14xGA #12xT #6xP/match #11Points #16
Key players
- Karol CzubakFxG 0.58 · xT -0.01
- Christopher SimonRWxG 0.14 · xT 0.09
- Bartosz BereszyńskiCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Radomiak Radom – Motor Lublin
Predicted score matrix
Motor Lublin →
Radomiak Radom →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.8%
0–17.4%
0–25.4%
0–32.5%
0–4+1.2%
1
1–07.9%
1–111.9%
1–28.1%
1–33.8%
1–4+1.8%
2
2–06.1%
2–18.6%
2–26.1%
2–32.8%
2–4+1.4%
3
3–03.1%
3–14.3%
3–23.0%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–01.6%
4+–12.2%
4+–21.6%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,50–1,41
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,545%
–
Over 2,555%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Motor Lublin or draw (X2)61%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Christopher Serge Simon to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Ronaldo Lumungo Afonso to score25%
- Christos Donis to be booked20%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesRadomiak Radom 0Draw 2Motor Lublin 2
Goals: 5–7 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ekstraklasa data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom (7–20)
Motor Lublin (9–15)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 6 |
| xPoints | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Field tilt | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| xT per match | 0.82 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.6 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 19 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 319 | 323 |
| Passes against per match | 375 | 392 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.8 | 21.5 |
| Long balls per match | 22 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 6.3 | 4 |
| Corners against per match | 5.8 | 3.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Other | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.8 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Filip Majchrowicz (Radomiak Radom) | Gasper Tratnik (Motor Lublin) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 23 | 15 |
| Save % | 62% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 36% | 29% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin according to our model?
The model gives Motor Lublin a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Radomiak Radom 36%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.