Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw: Prediction & Odds (19 Sept 2026)

Ekstraklasa19 September 2026

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Wisla KrakowPossession control

Slask WroclawLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · Wisla Krakow (42%)

1 · Wisla Krakow 42%X 25%33% Slask Wroclaw · 2

42%

25%

33%

Analysis: Wisla Krakow – Slask Wroclaw

Erik Lindberg · 11 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

Wisla Krakow's 42% probability to win over Slask Wroclaw's 33% points to a slight edge for the hosts. Their possession control approach aligns well against the visitors' low defensive setup, suggesting a tactical chess match. Yet Wisla's 11 points to Slask's 6 gives them a clear form advantage, bolstered by xPoints (11.1 to 9.8) and expected goals per match (1.9 to 1.5).

The most likely scoreline is 1-1, though the model's overall lean still favors a Wisla Krakow win, and the 64% chance of over 2.5 goals indicates potential for a more open game than styles suggest. Both teams are likely to score, given a 65% likelihood. Despite Slask's defensive orientation, Wisla's superior xG suggests they can break through more than once, hinting at a likely 2-1 outcome.

With a penchant for stability, one might gravitate toward Wisla's win at odds of 42%. However, the real value lies in the over 2.5 goals market, given its 64% probability. This indicates that goals should flow despite conservative tactics, offering a promising angle for those seeking a solid bet.

Wisla Krakow

Form WLDWD

League ranking xG #2xGA #5xT #10xP/match #4Points #5

Key players

Jordi Sánchez RibasFxG 0.61 · xT 0.04
Julian LelieveldRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.26
Thody Élie YouanRWxG 0.36 · xT 0.13

Slask Wroclaw

Form DLDDL

League ranking xG #13xGA #8xT #3xP/match #9Points #14

Key players

Piotr Samiec-TalarRWxG 0.40 · xT 0.27
Luka MarjanacFxG 0.39 · xT 0.20
Przemyslaw BanaszakFxG 0.26 · xT 0.14

Match prediction: Wisla Krakow – Slask Wroclaw

Predicted score matrix

Slask Wroclaw →

Wisla Krakow →

0–04.1%

0–15.6%

0–24.5%

0–32.4%

0–4+1.3%

1–06.2%

1–110.4%

1–27.8%

1–34.1%

1–4+2.2%

2–05.6%

2–18.7%

2–26.8%

2–33.5%

2–4+1.9%

3–03.2%

3–15.0%

3–23.9%

3–32.0%

3–4+1.1%

4+–02.1%

4+–13.2%

4+–22.5%

4+–31.3%

4+–4+0.7%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.2-19%
3.1-28%
4.2-27%
5.1-06%

Expected goals

1,73–1,55

Both teams to score

65%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

112%

221%

322%

418%

5+23%

Under 2,536%

–

Over 2,564%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Wisla Krakow or draw (1X)66%
Over 1.5 goals84%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Wisla Krakow or draw (1X)66%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Jordi Sánchez Ribas to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score65%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Jordi Sánchez Ribas to score23%
Kacper Duda to be booked23%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Wisla Krakow

Slask Wroclaw

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Wisla Krakow (13–11)

Slask Wroclaw (9–11)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Wisla Krakow

Slask Wroclaw

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Wisla Krakow

Slask Wroclaw

The teams in numbers

Performance	Wisla Krakow	Slask Wroclaw
Points	11	6
xPoints	11.1	9.8
xG per match	1.9	1.5
xGA per match	1.3	1.4
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.1	0.35
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.17	0.28

Playing style	Wisla Krakow	Slask Wroclaw
Build-up efficiency	0.27	0.31
Field tilt	0.55	0.56
xT per match	1.1	1.3
xTA per match	0.98	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	25	24
Pressing intensity	0.24	0.25
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.24	0.22
Entries into the box per match	13	17
Entries into the box against	12	15
Pass completion %	0.77	0.74
Pass completion % under pressure	0.72	0.7
Passes per match	368	319
Passes against per match	314	352
Switches of play per match	21.9	21.9
Long balls per match	25	29

Set pieces	Wisla Krakow	Slask Wroclaw
xG from free kicks	0.02	0.01
Corners per match	5.4	4.2
Corners against per match	5.5	5.3
xG per corner	0.03	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.35	0.53
First touch, defensive corners %	0.61	0.66

Other	Wisla Krakow	Slask Wroclaw
Throw-in control	0.79	0.71

The goalkeepers	Marcel Łubik (Wisla Krakow)	Karol Stanisław Niemczycki (Slask Wroclaw)
Saves	31	20
Save %	74%	69%
xG prevented	51%	63%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Wisla Krakow

Fixtures, form & tips

Slask Wroclaw

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw according to our model?

The model gives Wisla Krakow a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wisla Krakow 42%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 33%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 65% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.