01 · 2 legs
Safe
- DAC to win68%
- Over 1.5 goals85%
Slovak Super LeagueMOL Aréna, Dunajská Streda12°6,6 mm14 km/h
Läs på svenska
DACPossession controlvs
Zemplín MichalovcePossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · DAC (68%)
DAC vs Zemplín Michalovce · Slovak Super League
1 · DAC 68%X 21%11% Zemplín Michalovce · 2
68%
21%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: DAC – Zemplín Michalovce
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
The clash between DAC and Zemplín Michalovce is set to showcase two teams both favoring possession-based play, yet the numbers distinctly tilt the scales towards the hosts, DAC. With a dominant 68% probability of winning, DAC's strategy is likely to grind down the visitors through controlled build-up play, leveraging their superior xG of 2.1 per match. Michalovce, on the other hand, is expected to struggle to maintain their possession control ethos against a DAC side that has outperformed them in both xPoints and xG metrics.
The historical context, albeit based on a relatively small sample of seven matches, further underlines DAC's upper hand with four victories compared to Michalovce's two. Additionally, DAC's unbeaten run in their last nine league games and their consistent scoring in ten consecutive matches suggest a resilience and attacking prowess that Michalovce could find hard to counter.
Analyzing the expected goals, DAC is projected at 2.53 while Michalovce stands at a modest 0.80. This disparity aligns with the most likely scorelines of 2-0 or 3-0, pointing to a comfortable margin for the home side. The fixture's historical average of 3.0 goals per meeting also supports the model's 65% lean towards over 2.5 goals, making this a reasonable expectation despite both teams' preference for possession football.
For bettors, the sharpest angle lies in DAC's expected dominance. The over 2.5 goals market at 65% presents value, particularly if your bookmaker offers odds around even money or better. With DAC's scoring form and Michalovce's defensive vulnerabilities, a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline seems the most plausible outcome.
DACForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #3xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- Ammar RamadanLWxG 0.35 · xT 0.41
- Matej TrusaFxG 0.89 · xT 0.03
- Giorgi GaguaLWxG 0.20 · xT 0.22
Zemplín MichalovceForm WWWLW
League ranking xG #11xGA #7xT #9xP/match #8Points #6
Key players
- Abdul ZubairuCDMxG 0.08 · xT 0.18
- Ben CottrellCAMxG 0.14 · xT 0.14
- Elvis MashikeFxG 0.17 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: DAC – Zemplín Michalovce
Predicted score matrix
Zemplín Michalovce →
DAC →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.8%
0–12.6%
0–21.1%
0–30.3%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–08.9%
1–17.4%
1–22.9%
1–30.8%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–011.5%
2–19.2%
2–23.7%
2–31.0%
2–4+0.2%
3
3–09.7%
3–17.7%
3–23.1%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–011.2%
4+–19.0%
4+–23.6%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.3-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-18%
Expected goals
2,53–0,80
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
111%
220%
322%
418%
5+24%
Under 2,535%
–
Over 2,565%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- DAC to win68%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Matej Trusa to score38%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Matej Trusa to score38%
- Martin Bednár to be booked22%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesDAC 4Draw 1Zemplín Michalovce 2
Goals: 14–7 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- DAC dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 2 in 7 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.0 goals per meeting on average.
- DAC are unbeaten in their last 9 league matches.
- DAC have scored in 10 consecutive league matches.
- DAC win 61% of their home matches all-time (38 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
DAC
Zemplín Michalovce
DAC (25–5)
Zemplín Michalovce (9–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
DAC
Zemplín Michalovce
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
DAC
Zemplín Michalovce
The teams in numbers
| Performance | DAC | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 13 |
| xPoints | 15.1 | 11.4 |
| xG per match | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.49 | 0.15 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.13 | 0.3 |
| Playing style | DAC | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 0.95 |
| xTA per match | 0.79 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 21 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 17 |
| Pass completion % | 0.8 | 0.71 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 369 | 297 |
| Passes against per match | 295 | 332 |
| Switches of play per match | 39.3 | 12.4 |
| Long balls per match | 46 | 27 |
| Set pieces | DAC | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Corners against per match | 5.3 | 7.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.53 |
| Other | DAC | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| The goalkeepers | Leandro Filipe de Almeida Dornelles (DAC) | Adam Jakubech (Zemplín Michalovce) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 19 | 32 |
| Save % | 79% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 59% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Slovan Bratislava – Skalica10 October 2026
- Košice – Komárno10 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Trenčín – Dukla Banska Bystrica10 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Skalica – Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Zemplín Michalovce – DAC10 October 2026 18:00 CEST
- Ružomberok – Žilina11 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Podbrezová – Spartak Trnava11 October 2026 18:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins DAC vs Zemplín Michalovce according to our model?
The model gives DAC a 68% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: DAC 68%, draw 21%, Zemplín Michalovce 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.