01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slovan Bratislava to win64%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Slovak Super League11°9,3 mm11 km/h
Läs på svenska
SkalicaLow block & directvs
Slovan BratislavaPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Slovan Bratislava (64%)
Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava · Slovak Super League
1 · Skalica 15%X 21%64% Slovan Bratislava · 2
15%
21%
64%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Skalica – Slovan Bratislava
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
The text contains a factual error regarding the points vs xPoints comparison. Here is the corrected version:
Four recent encounters between Skalica and Slovan Bratislava all ended with the same outcome: victories for the visitors. This recurring pattern might tempt many to assume another straightforward win for Bratislava. However, the head-to-head sample is small, so while it indicates a trend, it's less predictive than the current form and expected goals data.
Skalica's playing style focuses on a low defense with direct play, but they struggle to break down teams with possession control, like Bratislava. The hosts have picked up 8 points this season, closely matching their xPoints of 8.4. Meanwhile, Bratislava's 16 points notably exceed their xPoints of 11.4, suggesting they have been somewhat fortunate in converting chances into results. The visitors' expected goals tally of 1.9 per match dwarfs Skalica's 1.0, emphasizing their attacking superiority.
In terms of goals, the model leans towards an over 2.5 goals outcome, with a 58% chance. Both teams to score is set at 55%, possibly reflecting Skalica's ability to snag the occasional goal, even when outmatched. The most likely scorelines, 1-1, 0-2, and 1-2, all sit at 10%, but with Bratislava's defensive strength (1.0 xGA per match against Skalica's 2.0), a clean sheet for the visitors seems plausible.
The standout angle lies in the market's tendency to underestimate the visitors' defensive prowess. With Bratislava's dominance in both head-to-head matches and current form, the 64% win probability holds value. For those looking for a sharper edge, consider a bet on a Bratislava win at odds of 1.57 with Bet365, reflecting the visitors' consistent edge in this matchup.
SkalicaForm LLDLL
League ranking xG #12xGA #11xT #11xP/match #12Points #8
Key players
- Philip Obinna OnyedikaFxG 0.45 · xT 0.08
- Erik DanielRWxG 0.15 · xT 0.18
- Petr PudhorockyCAMxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
Slovan BratislavaForm WLLDW
League ranking xG #4xGA #1xT #1xP/match #5Points #4
Key players
- Samuel KozlovskýLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.19
- Kenan BajricCBxG 0.21 · xT 0.26
- Alexej MarošLWxG 0.44 · xT 0.40
Match prediction: Skalica – Slovan Bratislava
Predicted score matrix
Slovan Bratislava →
Skalica →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.2%
0–19.6%
0–210.0%
0–36.7%
0–4+5.4%
1
1–04.6%
1–110.1%
1–210.0%
1–36.7%
1–4+5.4%
2
2–02.4%
2–14.9%
2–25.0%
2–33.3%
2–4+2.7%
3
3–00.8%
3–11.6%
3–21.6%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–00.2%
4+–10.5%
4+–20.5%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.0-210%
- 3.1-210%
- 4.0-110%
- 5.0-37%
Expected goals
1,00–2,02
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
@2.38
Over 2,558%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slovan Bratislava to win64%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Daiki Matsuoka to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Daiki Matsuoka to score28%
- Alen Mustafić to be booked23%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Skalica | X | 2 · Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 5.30 | 4.25 | 1.49 |
| Nordicbet | 5.30 | 4.25 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.90 | 4.35 | 1.55 |
Odds updated 4 Oct, 18:03
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesSkalica 0Draw 0Slovan Bratislava 4
Goals: 3–8 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Skalica
Slovan Bratislava
Skalica (11–19)
Slovan Bratislava (20–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Skalica
Slovan Bratislava
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Skalica
Slovan Bratislava
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 16 |
| xPoints | 8.4 | 11.4 |
| xG per match | 1 | 1.9 |
| xGA per match | 2 | 1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Playing style | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| xT per match | 0.86 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.72 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 18 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| Passes per match | 248 | 495 |
| Passes against per match | 337 | 215 |
| Switches of play per match | 14.4 | 37.4 |
| Long balls per match | 26 | 44 |
| Set pieces | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 5 | 5.9 |
| Corners against per match | 5.4 | 3.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| Other | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.8 |
| The goalkeepers | Richard Ludha (Skalica) | Aleksandar Popovic (Slovan Bratislava) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 18 | 10 |
| Save % | 60% | 77% |
| xG prevented | 53% | 71% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Slovan Bratislava – Skalica10 October 2026
- DAC – Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
- Košice – Komárno10 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Trenčín – Dukla Banska Bystrica10 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Zemplín Michalovce – DAC10 October 2026 18:00 CEST
- Ružomberok – Žilina11 October 2026 15:30 CEST
- Podbrezová – Spartak Trnava11 October 2026 18:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava according to our model?
The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 64% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Skalica 15%, draw 21%, Slovan Bratislava 64%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.