01 · 2 legs
Safe
- AFC Malmö to win49%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Swedish Ettan10°10 km/h
Läs på svenska
AFC MalmöPossession & high pressvs
FC TrollhättanPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · AFC Malmö (49%)
AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhättan · Swedish Ettan
1 · AFC Malmö 49%X 21%30% FC Trollhättan · 2
49%
21%
30%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhättan (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): AFC Malmö win 49%, draw 21%, FC Trollhättan win 30%. Expected goals (xG): AFC Malmö 2.03, FC Trollhättan 1.57. Most likely score: 1-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%. Double chance: AFC Malmö or draw 70%, FC Trollhättan or draw 51%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: AFC Malmö – FC Trollhättan
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
The TEXT contains an unsupported claim: "the odds on Malmö at 2.45 (Unibet)" — no odds data is provided in the FACTS. Here is the corrected text:
AFC Malmö's high-octane playing style is set to be at the forefront as they face FC Trollhättan. With a possession and high press philosophy, Malmö has been a formidable force in recent matches. The model gives Malmö a 49% chance of winning, underscoring their edge in several key metrics. Their xG of 2.03 against Trollhättan's 1.57 highlights their attacking prowess, while expected goals per match (1.6) further reinforce their offensive capabilities.
On the other side, Trollhättan enters with the confidence of a team that has found the back of the net in 11 consecutive league matches. Their possession control style has been effective, but the model suggests only a 30% chance of an away victory. Despite their scoring streak, the visitors' xGA of 1.4 per match slightly edges out Malmö's, hinting at a resilient, if not impenetrable, defense.
The head-to-head history is brief—just one encounter since 2023, which Malmö won. This limited sample size means it carries less weight than current form and expected goals metrics, both of which favor the hosts. Given the most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 2-1 at 9% each, and a hefty 70% chance of over 2.5 goals, this matchup is shaping up to be a lively contest. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 69% probability of both scoring.
While no outcome is guaranteed, the numbers suggest Malmö's high press could break Trollhättan's streak, with a 2-1 victory looking plausible, aligning with the model's lean towards a home win.
AFC MalmöForm WWWWL
League ranking xG #8xGA #22xT #4xP/match #24Points #12
Key players
- Albin Sjöstrand BjurnemarkCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.11
- Lucas LarsenCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.17
- Vicente CastroRWxG 0.36 · xT 0.37
FC TrollhättanForm WWDLL
League ranking xG #13xGA #18xT #6xP/match #26Points #14
Key players
- Melwin BergRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.28
- Filip SternerLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
- Nils SvenssonCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.09
Match prediction: AFC Malmö – FC Trollhättan
Predicted score matrix
FC Trollhättan →
AFC Malmö →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.0%
0–14.0%
0–23.4%
0–31.8%
0–4+1.0%
1
1–05.3%
1–18.9%
1–26.8%
1–33.6%
1–4+2.0%
2
2–05.6%
2–18.8%
2–26.9%
2–33.6%
2–4+2.0%
3
3–03.8%
3–16.0%
3–24.7%
3–32.5%
3–4+1.4%
4+
4+–03.1%
4+–14.9%
4+–23.8%
4+–32.0%
4+–4+1.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-19%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.2-27%
- 4.1-27%
- 5.3-16%
Expected goals
2,03–1,57
Both teams to score
69%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+29%
Under 2,530%
–
Over 2,570%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- AFC Malmö to win49%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Lukas Minter Wettergren to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score69%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Abdirsak Hassan to score24%
- Oliver Ocampo Hägglund to be booked22%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesAFC Malmö 1Draw 0FC Trollhättan 0
Goals: 2–0 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- FC Trollhättan have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
AFC Malmö
FC Trollhättan
AFC Malmö (50–39)
FC Trollhättan (46–44)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
AFC Malmö
FC Trollhättan
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
AFC Malmö
FC Trollhättan
The teams in numbers
| Performance | AFC Malmö | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 44 | 38 |
| xPoints | 34.2 | 32.6 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Playing style | AFC Malmö | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.54 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 32 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.5 | 0.58 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Passes per match | 405 | 510 |
| Passes against per match | 352 | 308 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.7 | 13.5 |
| Long balls per match | 38 | 24 |
| Set pieces | AFC Malmö | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Corners per match | 5.7 | 5.4 |
| Corners against per match | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Other | AFC Malmö | FC Trollhättan |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.6 | 0.58 |
| The goalkeepers | Philip Mårtensson (AFC Malmö) | Jimmy Henriksson (FC Trollhättan) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 41 | 60 |
| Save % | 70% | 76% |
| xG prevented | 34% | 58% |
| Claims | 69 (92%) | 105 (92%) |
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- Karlberg – Assyriska FF1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Trelleborgs FF – Laholm1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Piteå – IFK Stocksund1 November 2026 15:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhättan according to our model?
The model gives AFC Malmö a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: AFC Malmö 49%, draw 21%, FC Trollhättan 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 69% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in AFC Malmö vs FC Trollhättan?
The model expects 2.03 goals (xG) for AFC Malmö and 1.57 for FC Trollhättan, 3.61 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
AFC Malmö or draw (1X) 70%, FC Trollhättan or draw (X2) 51% and no draw (12) 79%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.