01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Rosengård to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Swedish Ettan4°0,4 mm12 km/h
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Skövde AIKCounter-attacks & crossesvs
RosengårdPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Rosengård (48%)
Skövde AIK vs Rosengård · Swedish Ettan
1 · Skövde AIK 30%X 22%48% Rosengård · 2
30%
22%
48%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Skövde AIK vs Rosengård (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Skövde AIK win 30%, draw 22%, Rosengård win 48%. Expected goals (xG): Skövde AIK 1.41, Rosengård 1.73. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%. Double chance: Skövde AIK or draw 52%, Rosengård or draw 70%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Skövde AIK – Rosengård
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: Rosengård's 48% probability of winning sets the tone for their visit to Skövde AIK, with the model heavily leaning in their favor. The visitors not only have a better record in their single head-to-head matchup since 2023, but they also possess a superior points tally and expected points. The numbers paint a picture of a Rosengård side that excels in possession and high pressing, which might disrupt Skövde's counter-attacking and crossing strategy.
Skövde's reliability in front of goal is evident, having scored in 15 consecutive league matches. Yet, their defensive frailty, with an xGA of 1.7 per match, could be their undoing against a Rosengård team displaying a more robust defensive record. The expected goals also suggest a tightly contested battle, with Rosengård slightly ahead at 1.73 compared to Skövde's 1.41. This leans toward a match where both teams could find the net, reinforcing the 63% likelihood of both teams scoring.
Given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities, the over 2.5 goals market stands out at 61%. The numbers support a likely 1-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with 1-2 also among the top scorelines, putting the visitors in a strong position for a crucial away result.
Skövde AIKForm LWWLD
League ranking xG #18xGA #28xT #15xP/match #25Points #20
Key players
- Aldin BasicCDMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
- Samuel SörmanRWxG 0.04 · xT 0.30
- Hannes ForsgårdCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.09
RosengårdForm DWLDD
League ranking xG #7xGA #5xT #9xP/match #3Points #13
Key players
- Kalle LarssonCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
- Jens LynardRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.13
- Emmanuel OnotuLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Skövde AIK – Rosengård
Predicted score matrix
Rosengård →
Skövde AIK →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.6%
0–17.2%
0–26.5%
0–33.7%
0–4+2.4%
1
1–05.8%
1–110.9%
1–29.1%
1–35.3%
1–4+3.4%
2
2–04.3%
2–17.5%
2–26.4%
2–33.7%
2–4+2.4%
3
3–02.0%
3–13.5%
3–23.0%
3–31.8%
3–4+1.1%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.7%
4+–21.5%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.2-17%
- 4.0-17%
- 5.0-26%
Expected goals
1,41–1,73
Both teams to score
63%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
113%
222%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
–
Over 2,561%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Rosengård to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Argjend Malaj to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score63%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Arvid Södeliden to score23%
- Frederik Lesley Schmidt Petersen to be booked19%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesSkövde AIK 0Draw 0Rosengård 1
Goals: 0–3 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Skövde AIK have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
Skövde AIK (35–44)
Rosengård (43–39)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Skövde AIK | Rosengård |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 34 | 40 |
| xPoints | 34.3 | 43.7 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.7 | 1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| Playing style | Skövde AIK | Rosengård |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| Field tilt | 0.39 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 33 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 317 | 390 |
| Passes against per match | 441 | 351 |
| Switches of play per match | 18.8 | 16.4 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Skövde AIK | Rosengård |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Corners against per match | 5.5 | 3.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| Other | Skövde AIK | Rosengård |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| The goalkeepers | Amar Ibrahimovic (Skövde AIK) | Alexander Cederfelt (Rosengård) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 98 | 56 |
| Save % | 71% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 51% | 72% |
| Claims | 185 (91%) | 105 (91%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Skövde AIK vs Rosengård according to our model?
The model gives Rosengård a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Skövde AIK 30%, draw 22%, Rosengård 48%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Skövde AIK vs Rosengård?
The model expects 1.41 goals (xG) for Skövde AIK and 1.73 for Rosengård, 3.14 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Skövde AIK or draw (1X) 52%, Rosengård or draw (X2) 70% and no draw (12) 78%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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