Swedish Ettan4°13 km/h

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    PiteåPiteåLow block & direct
    vs
    IFK StocksundIFK StocksundPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Piteå (46%)

    Piteå vs IFK Stocksund · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Piteå 46%X 23%30% IFK Stocksund · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Piteå vs IFK Stocksund (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Piteå win 46%, draw 23%, IFK Stocksund win 30%. Expected goals (xG): Piteå 1.94, IFK Stocksund 1.43. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%. Double chance: Piteå or draw 70%, IFK Stocksund or draw 54%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Piteå – IFK Stocksund

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    TEXT: A clash between contrasting styles sets the stage for Piteå hosting IFK Stocksund. The home side's more direct, low defence approach faces off against the visitors' penchant for possession. Despite their differing strategies, both teams have had their share of scoring opportunities, as evidenced by an expected goal model showing 1.94 xG for Piteå and 1.43 xG for Stocksund. This suggests a tightly contested match, likely to produce goals on both ends.

    While Piteå holds a slight edge with a 46% win probability, Stocksund isn't far behind at 30%, with a draw sitting at 23%. Historically, the fixtures between these two have been high-scoring, averaging 3.6 goals per meeting. However, the head-to-head record is evenly split, with each team securing two wins and a draw across a small sample of five matches. This balance makes current form a more reliable indicator: Piteå remains unbeaten in their last five outings.

    Though Piteå has a points advantage at 24 compared to Stocksund's 15, Stocksund's underlying numbers hint at potential. Their xPoints lead suggests they might have been unlucky, outperforming Piteå 29.7 to 27.9. Stocksund also edges in xG per match with 1.4 compared to the hosts' 1.1, yet both concede at a similar rate of 1.8 xGA per match. This defensive parity could see the match decided on fine margins.

    The model's lean towards Piteå, coupled with their current unbeaten streak, offers a reasoned case for backing the hosts. Expect a tightly fought contest, with a scoreline such as 1-1 or 2-1 a reasonable expectation, and over 2.5 goals a plausible outcome.

    PiteåPiteå
    Form WWDDD
    League ranking xG #31xGA #29xT #30xP/match #31Points #29
    Key players
    • Henrik MillbertCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.17
    • Fredrik JohanssonCMxG 0.16 · xT 0.32
    • Bekir KavurLWxG 0.02 · xT 0.27
    IFK StocksundIFK Stocksund
    Form LLDLL
    League ranking xG #12xGA #31xT #11xP/match #30Points #31
    Key players
    • Sebastian LagerCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
    • Endreas TesfaiCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
    • Alexander JohanssonCMxG 0.15 · xT 0.57

    Match prediction: Piteå – IFK Stocksund

    Predicted score matrix

    IFK Stocksund →
    Piteå →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.7%
    0–14.7%
    0–23.5%
    0–31.7%
    0–4+0.8%
    1
    1–06.4%
    1–19.8%
    1–26.8%
    1–33.2%
    1–4+1.6%
    2
    2–06.5%
    2–19.3%
    2–26.6%
    2–33.1%
    2–4+1.5%
    3
    3–04.2%
    3–16.0%
    3–24.3%
    3–32.0%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–03.2%
    4+–14.5%
    4+–23.2%
    4+–31.5%
    4+–4+0.7%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-27%
    4. 4.2-27%
    5. 5.2-07%
    Expected goals
    1,94–1,43
    Both teams to score
    65%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,4
    Under 2,535%
    –
    Over 2,565%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Piteå to win46%
    • Over 1.5 goals85%

    Combined probability

    43%

    Fair odds

    2.34

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Piteå to win46%
    • Over 2.5 goals65%
    • Siavash Jamehdar to score27%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score65%
    • Over 2.5 goals65%
    • Langston Jasper Wennerlind to score28%
    • Dary Izia Boto to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Piteå 2Draw 1IFK Stocksund 2
    Goals: 8–10 (⌀ 3,6)

    Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • A high-scoring fixture: 3.6 goals per meeting on average.
    • Piteå IF FF are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Piteå
    IFK Stocksund
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Piteå (34–50)
    IFK Stocksund (46–67)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Piteå
    Ties Oostra: 217 passningar, xT 0.32OostraAdam Ingemarson: 208 passningar, xT 0.33IngemarsonFredrik Johansson: 188 passningar, xT 1.91JohanssonFilip Eriksson: 137 passningar, xT 0.23ErikssonSiavash Jamehdar: 134 passningar, xT 0.16JamehdarLiam Jordan: 133 passningar, xT 0.8JordanJonathan Johnsson: 113 passningar, xT 0.65JohnssonHugo Bergström: 111 passningar, xT 0.23BergströmIsac Wikström: 102 passningar, xT 0.06WikströmJonathan Lundbäck: 94 passningar, xT 0.11LundbäckBilly Brooks: 61 passningar, xT 0.06Brooks
    IFK Stocksund
    Max Vogele: 252 passningar, xT 0.46VogeleEnzo Stone Gibson Mougnol: 239 passningar, xT 0.14MougnolSebastian Lager: 216 passningar, xT 0.01LagerAxel Floric: 160 passningar, xT 0.48FloricLangston Jasper Wennerlind: 151 passningar, xT 1.72WennerlindDary Izia Boto: 144 passningar, xT 0.17BotoBen Magnusson: 128 passningar, xT -0.05MagnussonClaus Emilio Royo: 121 passningar, xT 0.12RoyoCharlie Jonsson: 106 passningar, xT 0.02JonssonKasper Engström: 105 passningar, xT 0.2EngströmVilly Strindlund Larsen: 66 passningar, xT 0.13Larsen
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Piteå
    Ties Oostra: 217 passningar, xT 0.32OostraAdam Ingemarson: 208 passningar, xT 0.33IngemarsonFredrik Johansson: 188 passningar, xT 1.91JohanssonFilip Eriksson: 137 passningar, xT 0.23ErikssonSiavash Jamehdar: 134 passningar, xT 0.16JamehdarLiam Jordan: 133 passningar, xT 0.8JordanJonathan Johnsson: 113 passningar, xT 0.65JohnssonHugo Bergström: 111 passningar, xT 0.23BergströmIsac Wikström: 102 passningar, xT 0.06WikströmJonathan Lundbäck: 94 passningar, xT 0.11LundbäckBilly Brooks: 61 passningar, xT 0.06Brooks
    IFK Stocksund
    Max Vogele: 252 passningar, xT 0.46VogeleEnzo Stone Gibson Mougnol: 239 passningar, xT 0.14MougnolSebastian Lager: 216 passningar, xT 0.01LagerAxel Floric: 160 passningar, xT 0.48FloricLangston Jasper Wennerlind: 151 passningar, xT 1.72WennerlindDary Izia Boto: 144 passningar, xT 0.17BotoBen Magnusson: 128 passningar, xT -0.05MagnussonClaus Emilio Royo: 121 passningar, xT 0.12RoyoCharlie Jonsson: 106 passningar, xT 0.02JonssonKasper Engström: 105 passningar, xT 0.2EngströmVilly Strindlund Larsen: 66 passningar, xT 0.13Larsen

    The teams in numbers

    PerformancePiteåIFK Stocksund
    Points2415
    xPoints27.929.7
    xG per match1.11.4
    xGA per match1.81.8
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.210.27
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.350.31
    Playing stylePiteåIFK Stocksund
    Build-up efficiency0.330.35
    Field tilt0.380.5
    xT per match1.21.5
    xTA per match1.41.4
    Won balls, offensive half2325
    Pressing intensity0.50.55
    Pressing efficiency0.230.25
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.240.26
    Entries into the box per match1013
    Entries into the box against1615
    Pass completion %0.790.82
    Pass completion % under pressure0.740.77
    Passes per match340381
    Passes against per match400342
    Switches of play per match17.412.4
    Long balls per match3028
    Set piecesPiteåIFK Stocksund
    xG from free kicks0.110.2
    Corners per match3.93.9
    Corners against per match5.74.9
    xG per corner0.040.02
    xGA per corner against0.040.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.340.51
    First touch, defensive corners %0.560.53
    OtherPiteåIFK Stocksund
    Throw-in control0.60.58
    The goalkeepersFilip Eriksson (Piteå)Jakob Rhawi (IFK Stocksund)
    Saves11575
    Save %70%61%
    xG prevented52%37%
    Claims144 (91%)103 (86%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Piteå
    Fixtures, form & tips
    IFK Stocksund
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Piteå vs IFK Stocksund according to our model?

    The model gives Piteå a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Piteå 46%, draw 23%, IFK Stocksund 30%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 65% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Piteå vs IFK Stocksund?

    The model expects 1.94 goals (xG) for Piteå and 1.43 for IFK Stocksund, 3.36 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Piteå or draw (1X) 70%, IFK Stocksund or draw (X2) 54% and no draw (12) 77%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    IFK StocksundIFK Stocksund
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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.