01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hammarby TFF to win62%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Swedish Ettan5°11 km/h
Läs på svenska
Hammarby TFFPossession & high pressvs
GefleCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Hammarby TFF (62%)
Hammarby TFF vs Gefle · Swedish Ettan
1 · Hammarby TFF 62%X 20%19% Gefle · 2
62%
20%
19%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hammarby TFF vs Gefle (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Hammarby TFF win 62%, draw 20%, Gefle win 19%. Expected goals (xG): Hammarby TFF 2.12, Gefle 0.87. Most likely score: 2-0 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Hammarby TFF or draw 81%, Gefle or draw 38%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Hammarby TFF – Gefle
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: One match doesn't paint a full picture, but Hammarby TFF's solitary victory over Gefle in their sole meeting since 2023 sets a tone. That previous encounter suggests some familiarity with Gefle's counter-attacking style, perhaps even a tactical blueprint. Yet, the hosts' form this season further amplifies the gulf between these sides, with Hammarby perched on 49 points compared to Gefle's 32.
The numbers underpinning the clash add layers to this narrative. Hammarby TFF's expected goals tally of 2.12 dwarfs Gefle's 0.87, pointing to an anticipated dominance not only in possession but also in chances created. It's a justified expectation given their high-pressing approach, which has been a thorn for many teams this season. Gefle, reliant on counter-attacks and crosses, may find these opportunities stifled under the home side's relentless pressure.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals sits at 57%, with the model placing Hammarby as a 62% favorite to win. The forecasted scorelines further cement Hammarby's upper hand, with a 2-0 result leading the probabilities at 11%. However, the 51% chance of both teams scoring raises the specter of a 2-1 outcome, given Gefle's potential to break through on the counter at least once.
For those weighing this matchup, the model's clear lean points to Hammarby TFF as the side to back, with their form and statistical edge over Gefle suggesting a straightforward victory, aligning with the model's projection of a 2-0 scoreline.
Hammarby TFFForm WLLWD
League ranking xG #1xGA #3xT #1xP/match #8Points #5
Key players
- Jesper LindahlCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.19
- William LoqvistRWxG 0.28 · xT 0.09
- Gent ElezajCDMxG 0.13 · xT 0.22
GefleForm WLLDD
League ranking xG #29xGA #14xT #27xP/match #16Points #23
Key players
- Dillan IsmailCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
- Eric LarssonRWxG 0.12 · xT 0.32
- Rasmus NehrmanCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
Match prediction: Hammarby TFF – Gefle
Predicted score matrix
Gefle →
Hammarby TFF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–14.1%
0–21.9%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–010.4%
1–19.5%
1–24.0%
1–31.2%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–011.3%
2–19.8%
2–24.3%
2–31.2%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–08.0%
3–16.9%
3–23.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–06.9%
4+–16.0%
4+–22.6%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.1-110%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
2,12–0,87
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
115%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
–
Over 2,557%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Hammarby TFF to win62%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesHammarby TFF 1Draw 0Gefle 0
Goals: 4–0 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hammarby TFF
Gefle
Hammarby TFF (55–29)
Gefle (33–47)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hammarby TFF
Gefle
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hammarby TFF
Gefle
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hammarby TFF | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 49 | 32 |
| xPoints | 43 | 37.2 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 0.86 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Hammarby TFF | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.4 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.76 | 0.42 |
| xT per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 0.78 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 32 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.59 | 0.5 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 22 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 8 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 474 | 331 |
| Passes against per match | 288 | 440 |
| Switches of play per match | 13.9 | 16.5 |
| Long balls per match | 27 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Hammarby TFF | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Corners per match | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per match | 3.5 | 5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| Other | Hammarby TFF | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.67 | 0.6 |
| The goalkeepers | Elton Fischerström Opancar (Hammarby TFF) | Max Croon (Gefle) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 65 | 84 |
| Save % | 71% | 64% |
| xG prevented | 45% | 42% |
| Claims | 98 (91%) | 139 (94%) |
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- Lunds BK – Jönköpings Södra31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Skövde AIK – Rosengård31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Karlberg – Assyriska FF1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Trelleborgs FF – Laholm1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Piteå – IFK Stocksund1 November 2026 15:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hammarby TFF vs Gefle according to our model?
The model gives Hammarby TFF a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hammarby TFF 62%, draw 20%, Gefle 19%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Hammarby TFF vs Gefle?
The model expects 2.12 goals (xG) for Hammarby TFF and 0.87 for Gefle, 2.99 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Hammarby TFF or draw (1X) 81%, Gefle or draw (X2) 38% and no draw (12) 80%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.