01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Åtvidaberg to win70%
- Over 1.5 goals87%
Swedish Ettan5°14 km/h
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ÅtvidabergPossession & high pressvs
UtsiktenCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Åtvidaberg (70%)
Åtvidaberg vs Utsikten · Swedish Ettan
1 · Åtvidaberg 70%X 16%14% Utsikten · 2
70%
16%
14%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Åtvidaberg vs Utsikten (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Åtvidaberg win 70%, draw 16%, Utsikten win 14%. Expected goals (xG): Åtvidaberg 2.45, Utsikten 1.06. Most likely score: 2-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%. Double chance: Åtvidaberg or draw 86%, Utsikten or draw 30%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Åtvidaberg – Utsikten
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Åtvidaberg's dominance in this matchup is reflected not just in current form but also in the numbers. With a 70% win probability, the model heavily favors the hosts. The expected goals tell a similar story, with Åtvidaberg projected at 2.45 compared to Utsikten's 1.06. This suggests a likely 2-1 or 2-0 scoreline, underscoring the home side's superiority in both attack and defense.
While the head-to-head record might show a single victory for Åtvidaberg, the sample size is too small to influence our analysis significantly. More crucial is Utsikten's abysmal form, having lost three consecutive matches. Their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.2 xGA per match, which Åtvidaberg's high-press and possession-heavy approach is well-equipped to exploit.
The match is expected to lean heavily towards over 2.5 goals, with a 68% probability. Despite Utsikten's struggles, their style of counter-attacking with crosses could breach Åtvidaberg's defense, explaining the 60% chance of both teams scoring. However, given Åtvidaberg's stronger profile across the board—from xPoints to sheer goal-scoring potential—they're unlikely to drop points at home.
Utsikten's best chance lies in soaking up pressure and exploiting gaps on the break, but even this strategy might fall short against a disciplined Åtvidaberg side. The visitors' current trajectory offers little hope for an upset, supporting the model's prediction of a straightforward win for the home team.
With everything pointing towards a decisive home win, the numbers and form align clearly in Åtvidaberg's favor.
ÅtvidabergForm WWDDL
League ranking xG #10xGA #9xT #10xP/match #11Points #8
Key players
- Carl ThulinCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.11
- Albin BergströmRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.37
- Erik GrandeliusRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.31
UtsiktenForm LWLLL
League ranking xG #30xGA #32xT #22xP/match #32Points #32
Key players
- Enzo AndrénFxG 0.14 · xT 0.12
- Pontus OlssonLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.29
- Melvin KoliqiFxG 0.20 · xT 0.28
Match prediction: Åtvidaberg – Utsikten
Predicted score matrix
Utsikten →
Åtvidaberg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.2%
0–12.9%
0–21.7%
0–30.6%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–07.1%
1–18.0%
1–24.1%
1–31.5%
1–4+0.5%
2
2–08.9%
2–19.5%
2–25.1%
2–31.8%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–07.3%
3–17.8%
3–24.1%
3–31.5%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–08.0%
4+–18.5%
4+–24.5%
4+–31.6%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-110%
- 2.2-09%
- 3.1-18%
- 4.3-18%
- 5.3-07%
Expected goals
2,45–1,06
Both teams to score
60%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,50
110%
219%
322%
419%
5+28%
Under 2,532%
–
Over 2,568%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Åtvidaberg to win70%
- Over 2.5 goals68%
- Adam Samuelsson to score38%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score60%
- Over 2.5 goals68%
- Adam Samuelsson to score38%
- Felix Wennergrund to be booked20%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesÅtvidaberg 1Draw 0Utsikten 0
Goals: 3–0 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Utsikten have lost 3 in a row.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Åtvidaberg
Utsikten
Åtvidaberg (51–38)
Utsikten (24–66)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Åtvidaberg
Utsikten
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Åtvidaberg
Utsikten
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Åtvidaberg | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 47 | 12 |
| xPoints | 39.1 | 25.5 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.15 | 0.37 |
| Playing style | Åtvidaberg | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.42 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 18 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 432 | 332 |
| Passes against per match | 344 | 437 |
| Switches of play per match | 13.8 | 15.6 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Åtvidaberg | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.13 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per match | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| Other | Åtvidaberg | Utsikten |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.6 | 0.59 |
| The goalkeepers | Hugo Claesson (Åtvidaberg) | Joel Nöller (Utsikten) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 71 | 86 |
| Save % | 65% | 76% |
| xG prevented | 41% | 59% |
| Claims | 123 (93%) | 45 (83%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Åtvidaberg vs Utsikten according to our model?
The model gives Åtvidaberg a 70% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Åtvidaberg 70%, draw 16%, Utsikten 14%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and under at 32%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Åtvidaberg vs Utsikten?
The model expects 2.45 goals (xG) for Åtvidaberg and 1.06 for Utsikten, 3.51 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Åtvidaberg or draw (1X) 86%, Utsikten or draw (X2) 30% and no draw (12) 84%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.