Kristianstad FC vs Åtvidaberg: Prediction & Odds (29 Aug 2026)

Swedish Ettan29 August 2026 16:00 CEST19°2,2 mm17 km/h

Läs på svenska

Kristianstad FCCounter-attacks & crosses

5–2

ÅtvidabergPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Åtvidaberg (56%)

1 · Kristianstad FC 21%X 23%56% Åtvidaberg · 2

21%

23%

56%

Analysis: Kristianstad FC – Åtvidaberg

Sofia Andersson · 27 August 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

The numbers paint a clear picture heading into the clash between Kristianstad FC and Åtvidaberg. There's been just one meeting between these two, and it ended in favor of Åtvidabergs FF. However, with such a small sample size, this holds less weight compared to current form and expected goals. The visitors come into this match riding a three-game winning streak and appear well-positioned to continue their dominance.

Kristianstad may have the home advantage, but their approach of relying on counter-attacks and crosses might struggle against Åtvidaberg's possession and high-press style. Despite having a slightly higher xPoints than their actual points suggest, Kristianstad's xG per match is a mere 0.97, significantly lower than Åtvidaberg's 1.7. This discrepancy highlights the home team's struggle to convert chances and maintain a solid defense, as evidenced by their xGA of 1.3 compared to the visitors' 1.1.

The likelihood of goals is prominent here. The model places the probability of over 2.5 goals at 60%, with both teams expected to score in 59% of simulations. While Kristianstad is expected to concede more, their counter-attacking style might snatch a goal. The most likely scorelines range from a balanced 1-1 to a more decisive 1-2 in favor of Åtvidaberg, echoing the visitors' superior form and attacking potential.

With Åtvidaberg given a 56% chance of winning and the potential for the match to see over 2.5 goals, their recent form and tactical edge make them the smart choice to back in this matchup.

Kristianstad FC

Form DLWLL

League ranking xG #31xGA #11xT #27xP/match #24Points #28

Key players

Svante SvedinLWxG 0.09 · xT 0.25
Omar DamphaFxG 0.27 · xT 0.04
Paolo LiljaFxG 0.27 · xT 0.09

Åtvidaberg

Form DLWWW

League ranking xG #4xGA #7xT #8xP/match #6Points #5

Key players

Adam SamuelssonFxG 0.33 · xT 0.05
Haris RadetinacFxG 0.34 · xT 0.06
Ali KachmarLWxG 0.14 · xT 0.19

Final score

5 – 2

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Kristianstad FC 21% · Draw 23% · Åtvidaberg 56%

Match prediction: Kristianstad FC – Åtvidaberg

Predicted score matrix

Åtvidaberg →

Kristianstad FC →

0–04.9%

0–18.4%

0–28.2%

0–35.2%

0–4+3.8%

1–05.1%

1–110.6%

1–29.8%

1–36.2%

1–4+4.5%

2–03.2%

2–16.1%

2–25.8%

2–33.7%

2–4+2.7%

3–01.3%

3–12.4%

3–22.3%

3–31.5%

3–4+1.1%

4+–00.5%

4+–10.9%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-18%
4.0-28%
5.1-36%

Expected goals

1,19–1,90

Both teams to score

59%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,540%

–

Over 2,560%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Åtvidaberg to win56%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Åtvidaberg to win56%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Haris Radetinac to score28%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score59%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Haris Radetinac to score28%
Albert Ejupi to be booked19%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Kristianstad FC 0Draw 0Åtvidaberg 1

Goals: 1–2 (⌀ 3)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

Key facts

Åtvidabergs FF come into this round on 3 straight wins.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Kristianstad FC

Åtvidaberg

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Kristianstad FC (19–29)

Åtvidaberg (38–23)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Kristianstad FC

Åtvidaberg

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Kristianstad FC

Åtvidaberg

The teams in numbers

Performance	Kristianstad FC	Åtvidaberg
Points	17	35
xPoints	22	28.9
xG per match	0.97	1.7
xGA per match	1.3	1.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.2	0.3
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.26	0.12

Playing style	Kristianstad FC	Åtvidaberg
Build-up efficiency	0.3	0.33
Field tilt	0.4	0.6
xT per match	1.3	1.5
xTA per match	1.6	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	31	30
Pressing intensity	0.53	0.54
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.27	0.28
Entries into the box per match	11	15
Entries into the box against	15	10
Pass completion %	0.77	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.72	0.77
Passes per match	333	443
Passes against per match	401	345
Switches of play per match	20.1	13.9
Long balls per match	39	31

Set pieces	Kristianstad FC	Åtvidaberg
xG from free kicks	0.11	0.13
Corners per match	4.7	6.4
Corners against per match	4.8	5.5
xG per corner	0.02	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.03
First touch, offensive corners %	0.46	0.27
First touch, defensive corners %	0.62	0.66

Other	Kristianstad FC	Åtvidaberg
Throw-in control	0.54	0.58

The goalkeepers	Otto Larsson Wågert (Kristianstad FC)	Hugo Claesson (Åtvidaberg)
Saves	61	41
Save %	68%	64%
xG prevented	44%	43%
Claims	127 (96%)	75 (93%)

Teams & more matches this round

Kristianstad FC

Fixtures, form & tips

Åtvidaberg

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Kristianstad FC vs Åtvidaberg according to our model?

The model gives Åtvidaberg a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Kristianstad FC 21%, draw 23%, Åtvidaberg 56%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.