Skövde AIK vs Olympic: Prediction & Odds (26 Sept 2026)

Swedish Ettan26 September 2026 16:00 CEST13°0,6 mm22 km/h

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Skövde AIKCounter-attacks & crosses

OlympicPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Olympic (39%)Soft draw

1 · Skövde AIK 38%X 23%39% Olympic · 2

38%

23%

39%

Analysis: Skövde AIK – Olympic

Oscar Nilsson · 18 September 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

The text contains an unsupported claim: it cites bookmaker odds of "2.75" for an Olympic win, which is not part of the provided facts.

Corrected text:

With only three encounters since 2023, the head-to-head record between Skövde AIK and BK Olympic is too slim to outweigh the nuances of current form and underlying stats. Skövde has the slight historical edge with two wins to Olympic's one, but the visitors are the ones creeping ahead in more meaningful metrics.

Skövde AIK holds a narrow advantage with 27 league points against Olympic's 26. However, when expected points are considered, it tilts towards Olympic, boasting 28.9 xPoints compared to Skövde's 27.9. This suggests that the hosts might have been riding a wave of good fortune, whereas Olympic's performances reflect a more sustainable level. The expected goals figures further highlight Olympic's attacking prowess, averaging 1.6 xG per match, outpacing Skövde's 1.2.

Skövde AIK will try to leverage their ongoing scoring streak, having netted in 10 consecutive matches. Their style is set up for counterattacks and crosses, which might open up opportunities, especially if Olympic's high press leaves gaps at the back. Yet, Olympic's possession-focused approach indicates they could dictate the tempo, potentially stifling Skövde's counter thrusts.

The model gives Olympic a 39% win probability, slightly ahead of Skövde's 38%, suggesting a closely contested match with a marginal lean toward the visitors. The most likely scoreline leans towards a 1-1 draw at 11%, though a 1-2 away win (8%) is also among the top outcomes. Expect goals on both ends, with the over 2.5 goals at 61% forming a compelling narrative for a lively affair. The underdog here isn't as clear-cut as it seems; Olympic is better poised to edge this contest based on the underlying metrics.

Skövde AIK

Form WDWWL

League ranking xG #23xGA #28xT #14xP/match #22Points #20

Key players

Alfons NygaardFxG 0.43 · xT 0.09
Oscar LennerskogFxG 0.24 · xT 0.10
Emil SkillermoFxG 0.17 · xT 0.11

Olympic

Form DLLWL

League ranking xG #6xGA #22xT #9xP/match #17Points #22

Key players

Albin SundgrenLWxG 0.08 · xT 0.30
Chibueze Blessing EjimoleFxG 0.46 · xT 0.12
Osama KhattabFxG 0.43 · xT 0.27

Match prediction: Skövde AIK – Olympic

Predicted score matrix

Olympic →

Skövde AIK →

0–04.6%

0–16.6%

0–25.4%

0–32.9%

0–4+1.6%

1–06.4%

1–111.0%

1–28.5%

1–34.5%

1–4+2.5%

2–05.2%

2–18.3%

2–26.6%

2–33.5%

2–4+2.0%

3–02.7%

3–14.3%

3–23.4%

3–31.8%

3–4+1.0%

4+–01.5%

4+–12.4%

4+–21.9%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.6%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-28%
3.2-18%
4.2-27%
5.0-17%

Expected goals

1,55–1,59

Both teams to score

63%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

–

Over 2,561%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Olympic or draw (X2)63%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Olympic or draw (X2)63%
Over 2.5 goals61%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score63%
Over 2.5 goals61%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Skövde AIK	X	2 · Olympic
Betsafe	2.62	3.60	2.28
Betsson	2.62	3.60	2.28
Nordicbet	2.62	3.60	2.28

Odds updated 21 Sept, 14:35

Statistics

Head-to-head

3 matches

Skövde AIK 2Draw 0Olympic 1

Goals: 6–5 (⌀ 3,7)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

Key facts

Skövde AIK have scored in 10 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Skövde AIK

Olympic

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Skövde AIK (24–32)

Olympic (38–43)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Skövde AIK

Olympic

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Skövde AIK

Olympic

The teams in numbers

Performance	Skövde AIK	Olympic
Points	27	26
xPoints	27.9	28.9
xG per match	1.2	1.6
xGA per match	1.6	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.2	0.16
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.37	0.3

Playing style	Skövde AIK	Olympic
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.35
Field tilt	0.37	0.5
xT per match	1.4	1.5
xTA per match	1.5	1.5
Won balls, offensive half	27	23
Pressing intensity	0.51	0.47
Pressing efficiency	0.24	0.26
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.24	0.28
Entries into the box per match	13	14
Entries into the box against	15	15
Pass completion %	0.76	0.83
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.77
Passes per match	316	408
Passes against per match	452	342
Switches of play per match	18.4	15.7
Long balls per match	35	31

Set pieces	Skövde AIK	Olympic
xG from free kicks	0.1	0.21
Corners per match	4.4	5.5
Corners against per match	5.7	5.6
xG per corner	0.05	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.35	0.51
First touch, defensive corners %	0.66	0.63

Other	Skövde AIK	Olympic
Throw-in control	0.56	0.65

The goalkeepers	Amar Ibrahimovic (Skövde AIK)	Joakim Persson (Olympic)
Saves	73	56
Save %	72%	58%
xG prevented	53%	40%
Claims	151 (91%)	93 (94%)

Teams & more matches this round

Skövde AIK

Fixtures, form & tips

Olympic

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Skövde AIK vs Olympic according to our model?

The model gives Olympic a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Skövde AIK 38%, draw 23%, Olympic 39%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.